๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Population Growth Rate of Antigua and Barbuda

The current population growth rate of Antigua and Barbuda is 0.551%. A -6.13% decrease from 2022, when the population growth rate was 0.587%. In the future, Antigua and Barbuda's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -0.637%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Antigua and Barbuda by -215.61% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Antigua and Barbuda (1950-2023)

Antigua and Barbuda has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.144% 974
1951 2.052% 952
1952 2.048% 970
1953 1.958% 946
1954 1.989% 980
1955 1.964% 987
1956 1.924% 986
1957 1.922% 1,004
1958 1.936% 1,031
1959 1.919% 1,042
1960 1.885% 1,043
1961 1.358% 764
1962 1.337% 762
1963 1.345% 777
1964 1.698% 996
1965 1.615% 963
1966 1.618% 981
1967 1.659% 1,022
1968 1.692% 1,060
1969 1.738% 1,108
1970 0.687% 443
1971 0.091% 59
1972 -0.318% -206
1973 -0.4% -258
1974 -0.363% -233
1975 -0.206% -132
1976 0.067% 43
1977 0.328% 210
1978 0.331% 213
1979 0.537% 347
1980 0.331% 215
1981 0.244% 159
1982 0.228% 149
1983 0.315% 206
1984 -0.457% -299
1985 -0.504% -328
1986 -0.533% -345
1987 -0.58% -373
1988 -0.575% -368
1989 -0.511% -325
1990 -0.458% -290
1991 1.418% 902
1992 1.776% 1,148
1993 1.824% 1,201
1994 1.902% 1,276
1995 2.012% 1,376
1996 2.04% 1,424
1997 1.987% 1,415
1998 1.783% 1,294
1999 1.631% 1,204
2000 1.684% 1,264
2001 1.386% 1,056
2002 1.171% 904
2003 1.095% 855
2004 1.112% 878
2005 1.225% 978
2006 1.329% 1,075
2007 1.42% 1,165
2008 1.569% 1,306
2009 1.489% 1,259
2010 1.242% 1,064
2011 1.158% 1,004
2012 1.011% 886
2013 0.859% 760
2014 0.805% 718
2015 0.768% 691
2016 0.615% 557
2017 0.606% 552
2018 0.503% 461
2019 0.566% 521
2020 0.619% 574
2021 0.576% 537
2022 0.587% 550
2023 0.551% 520

Future Population Growth Rate of Antigua and Barbuda (2023-2100)

Antigua and Barbuda's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 0.587% all the way down to -0.637% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2023 0.551% 520
2024 0.544% 516
2025 0.513% 489
2026 0.502% 481
2027 0.46% 443
2028 0.442% 427
2029 0.419% 407
2030 0.388% 378
2031 0.351% 344
2032 0.32% 314
2033 0.306% 301
2034 0.264% 261
2035 0.232% 230
2036 0.192% 191
2037 0.164% 163
2038 0.135% 134
2039 0.103% 103
2040 0.073% 73
2041 0.042% 42
2042 -0.009% -9
2043 -0.015% -15
2044 -0.05% -50
2045 -0.075% -75
2046 -0.096% -96
2047 -0.135% -134
2048 -0.16% -159
2049 -0.18% -179
2050 -0.218% -216
2051 -0.225% -222
2052 -0.238% -235
2053 -0.273% -268
2054 -0.284% -278
2055 -0.303% -296
2056 -0.317% -309
2057 -0.332% -323
2058 -0.343% -332
2059 -0.363% -350
2060 -0.368% -354
2061 -0.403% -386
2062 -0.398% -380
2063 -0.418% -397
2064 -0.428% -405
2065 -0.425% -400
2066 -0.465% -436
2067 -0.464% -433
2068 -0.478% -444
2069 -0.49% -453
2070 -0.498% -458
2071 -0.512% -469
2072 -0.518% -472
2073 -0.519% -470
2074 -0.548% -494
2075 -0.541% -485
2076 -0.582% -519
2077 -0.582% -516
2078 -0.577% -508
2079 -0.601% -526
2080 -0.604% -526
2081 -0.621% -537
2082 -0.622% -535
2083 -0.648% -554
2084 -0.631% -536
2085 -0.647% -546
2086 -0.653% -547
2087 -0.645% -537
2088 -0.656% -543
2089 -0.655% -538
2090 -0.653% -533
2091 -0.656% -532
2092 -0.666% -537
2093 -0.646% -517
2094 -0.669% -532
2095 -0.652% -515
2096 -0.634% -498
2097 -0.65% -507
2098 -0.645% -500
2099 -0.636% -490
2100 -0.637% -487

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Antigua and Barbuda

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Antigua and Barbuda.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Antigua and Barbuda is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Antigua and Barbuda's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

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