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🇧🇬 Population Growth Rate of Bulgaria

The current population growth rate of Bulgaria is -1.273%. A -16.47% increase from 2022, when the population growth rate only was -1.524%. In the future, Bulgaria's population growth rate is projected to increase to -1.194%, by the year 2100. A total increase of the population growth rate of Bulgaria by -6.21% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Bulgaria (1950-2023)

Bulgaria has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.031% 73,774
1951 0.947% 68,431
1952 0.837% 61,037
1953 1.052% 77,442
1954 1.026% 76,338
1955 1.068% 80,309
1956 1.001% 76,041
1957 0.989% 75,883
1958 1.015% 78,681
1959 0.82% 64,144
1960 0.987% 77,861
1961 0.97% 77,311
1962 0.815% 65,550
1963 0.854% 69,212
1964 0.855% 69,923
1965 0.786% 64,779
1966 0.757% 62,877
1967 0.705% 58,997
1968 0.923% 77,906
1969 0.838% 71,356
1970 0.8% 68,706
1971 0.67% 57,913
1972 0.573% 49,874
1973 0.649% 56,798
1974 0.653% 57,574
1975 0.485% 43,018
1976 0.449% 39,988
1977 0.291% 25,969
1978 0.219% 19,661
1979 0.141% 12,658
1980 -0.003% -300
1981 -0.046% -4,090
1982 -0.131% -11,764
1983 -0.182% -16,340
1984 -0.196% -17,546
1985 -0.306% -27,281
1986 -0.255% -22,673
1987 -0.339% -30,016
1988 -0.338% -29,864
1989 -0.374% -32,906
1990 -0.461% -40,399
1991 -0.594% -51,835
1992 -0.628% -54,405
1993 -0.692% -59,605
1994 -0.778% -66,534
1995 -0.888% -75,239
1996 -0.919% -77,168
1997 -1.054% -87,653
1998 -0.977% -80,424
1999 -0.794% -64,828
2000 -0.795% -64,392
2001 -0.763% -61,271
2002 -0.738% -58,830
2003 -0.699% -55,311
2004 -0.63% -49,535
2005 -0.648% -50,655
2006 -0.614% -47,716
2007 -0.6% -46,285
2008 -0.547% -41,960
2009 -0.503% -38,395
2010 -0.613% -46,531
2011 -0.686% -51,754
2012 -0.772% -57,818
2013 -0.761% -56,535
2014 -0.834% -61,517
2015 -0.879% -64,259
2016 -0.86% -62,299
2017 -0.902% -64,794
2018 -0.916% -65,203
2019 -0.916% -64,594
2020 -1.177% -82,121
2021 -1.518% -104,493
2022 -1.524% -103,336
2023 -1.273% -85,136

Future Population Growth Rate of Bulgaria (2023-2100)

Bulgaria's population growth rate is projected to increase in the future. According to the United Nation, it will climb from today's growth rate of -1.524% all the way up to -1.194% by the year 2100. The yearly upward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2023 -1.273% -85,136
2024 -0.802% -53,068
2025 -0.819% -53,782
2026 -0.834% -54,273
2027 -0.849% -54,841
2028 -0.864% -55,288
2029 -0.878% -55,732
2030 -0.89% -55,998
2031 -0.902% -56,217
2032 -0.913% -56,432
2033 -0.924% -56,564
2034 -0.934% -56,623
2035 -0.943% -56,637
2036 -0.951% -56,591
2037 -0.955% -56,304
2038 -0.961% -56,116
2039 -0.966% -55,883
2040 -0.971% -55,588
2041 -0.975% -55,274
2042 -0.978% -54,940
2043 -0.982% -54,602
2044 -0.983% -54,156
2045 -0.986% -53,780
2046 -0.992% -53,559
2047 -0.996% -53,264
2048 -1.001% -52,991
2049 -1.008% -52,836
2050 -1.019% -52,835
2051 -1.028% -52,780
2052 -1.037% -52,723
2053 -1.047% -52,679
2054 -1.062% -52,842
2055 -1.076% -52,975
2056 -1.091% -53,124
2057 -1.108% -53,366
2058 -1.126% -53,641
2059 -1.14% -53,679
2060 -1.153% -53,704
2061 -1.169% -53,795
2062 -1.183% -53,810
2063 -1.195% -53,735
2064 -1.204% -53,475
2065 -1.213% -53,246
2066 -1.218% -52,805
2067 -1.221% -52,275
2068 -1.221% -51,670
2069 -1.22% -50,999
2070 -1.219% -50,331
2071 -1.216% -49,599
2072 -1.21% -48,759
2073 -1.203% -47,886
2074 -1.195% -46,994
2075 -1.185% -46,045
2076 -1.173% -45,042
2077 -1.164% -44,193
2078 -1.154% -43,310
2079 -1.142% -42,384
2080 -1.132% -41,515
2081 -1.12% -40,623
2082 -1.109% -39,791
2083 -1.098% -38,954
2084 -1.087% -38,138
2085 -1.079% -37,447
2086 -1.068% -36,685
2087 -1.059% -35,992
2088 -1.056% -35,507
2089 -1.056% -35,143
2090 -1.057% -34,801
2091 -1.064% -34,663
2092 -1.075% -34,654
2093 -1.085% -34,597
2094 -1.097% -34,597
2095 -1.114% -34,729
2096 -1.129% -34,815
2097 -1.148% -34,990
2098 -1.167% -35,166
2099 -1.181% -35,181
2100 -1.194% -35,158

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Bulgaria

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Bulgaria.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Bulgaria is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Bulgaria's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

Data Disclaimer

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