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🇨🇳 Population Growth Rate of China

The current population growth rate of China is -0.044%. A 76.0% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was -0.025%. In the future, China's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -1.207%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of China by 2643.18% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of China (1950-2024)

China has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.761% 9,578,456
1951 1.751% 9,691,054
1952 2.299% 12,990,015
1953 2.054% 11,858,305
1954 2.247% 13,256,338
1955 2.24% 13,511,947
1956 2.014% 12,413,803
1957 2.385% 15,026,203
1958 1.95% 12,550,909
1959 0.648% 4,224,317
1960 -0.037% -241,320
1961 0.369% 2,420,697
1962 2.451% 16,287,841
1963 3.26% 22,289,974
1964 2.71% 19,090,455
1965 2.682% 19,414,700
1966 2.529% 18,789,683
1967 2.277% 17,325,757
1968 2.743% 21,405,634
1969 2.585% 20,712,407
1970 2.613% 21,494,540
1971 2.373% 20,007,407
1972 2.214% 19,102,552
1973 2.101% 18,520,802
1974 1.88% 16,910,317
1975 1.596% 14,603,726
1976 1.496% 13,898,799
1977 1.327% 12,512,019
1978 1.32% 12,603,201
1979 1.417% 13,716,852
1980 1.469% 14,430,142
1981 1.539% 15,343,930
1982 1.688% 17,103,397
1983 1.398% 14,384,085
1984 1.485% 15,506,496
1985 1.568% 16,629,068
1986 1.71% 18,432,021
1987 1.799% 19,730,617
1988 1.644% 18,345,302
1989 1.649% 18,704,540
1990 1.723% 19,874,519
1991 1.193% 13,969,317
1992 1.048% 12,405,120
1993 0.977% 11,679,217
1994 0.926% 11,183,018
1995 0.865% 10,532,484
1996 0.796% 9,776,335
1997 0.746% 9,228,890
1998 0.709% 8,840,424
1999 0.665% 8,353,838
2000 0.71% 8,977,828
2001 0.652% 8,303,197
2002 0.63% 8,069,881
2003 0.607% 7,824,611
2004 0.622% 8,062,078
2005 0.619% 8,079,623
2006 0.634% 8,318,388
2007 0.646% 8,534,923
2008 0.66% 8,772,927
2009 0.683% 9,143,966
2010 0.667% 8,987,580
2011 0.65% 8,820,645
2012 0.74% 10,110,030
2013 0.652% 8,968,949
2014 0.665% 9,209,773
2015 0.563% 7,841,787
2016 0.607% 8,506,677
2017 0.586% 8,265,875
2018 0.376% 5,321,149
2019 0.3% 4,267,976
2020 0.131% 1,863,524
2021 0.004% 63,843
2022 -0.005% -76,098
2023 -0.025% -355,872
2024 -0.044% -629,267

Future Population Growth Rate of China (2024-2100)

China's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of -0.025% all the way down to -1.207% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 -0.044% -629,267
2025 -0.068% -964,451
2026 -0.091% -1,288,992
2027 -0.113% -1,603,293
2028 -0.135% -1,923,666
2029 -0.156% -2,218,213
2030 -0.178% -2,519,257
2031 -0.198% -2,800,544
2032 -0.217% -3,065,735
2033 -0.237% -3,339,239
2034 -0.26% -3,651,888
2035 -0.277% -3,882,742
2036 -0.295% -4,118,812
2037 -0.309% -4,297,794
2038 -0.323% -4,475,033
2039 -0.34% -4,694,732
2040 -0.358% -4,925,639
2041 -0.375% -5,143,442
2042 -0.393% -5,367,145
2043 -0.418% -5,692,561
2044 -0.439% -5,956,302
2045 -0.471% -6,355,535
2046 -0.502% -6,737,788
2047 -0.536% -7,156,875
2048 -0.574% -7,621,727
2049 -0.614% -8,117,077
2050 -0.657% -8,618,685
2051 -0.701% -9,140,763
2052 -0.742% -9,610,256
2053 -0.784% -10,072,171
2054 -0.825% -10,518,072
2055 -0.866% -10,946,330
2056 -0.905% -11,334,801
2057 -0.939% -11,649,194
2058 -0.965% -11,858,478
2059 -0.992% -12,077,960
2060 -1.012% -12,196,613
2061 -1.026% -12,234,232
2062 -1.039% -12,269,486
2063 -1.045% -12,204,737
2064 -1.05% -12,136,501
2065 -1.054% -12,052,941
2066 -1.055% -11,942,098
2067 -1.053% -11,800,454
2068 -1.057% -11,714,621
2069 -1.054% -11,560,266
2070 -1.054% -11,438,782
2071 -1.055% -11,331,688
2072 -1.058% -11,247,296
2073 -1.067% -11,216,673
2074 -1.072% -11,155,434
2075 -1.085% -11,163,061
2076 -1.099% -11,187,213
2077 -1.113% -11,207,425
2078 -1.129% -11,242,861
2079 -1.144% -11,262,362
2080 -1.161% -11,294,643
2081 -1.174% -11,293,169
2082 -1.184% -11,255,975
2083 -1.195% -11,220,608
2084 -1.202% -11,154,864
2085 -1.206% -11,052,304
2086 -1.206% -10,923,251
2087 -1.207% -10,798,293
2088 -1.203% -10,634,450
2089 -1.198% -10,463,892
2090 -1.192% -10,286,457
2091 -1.187% -10,129,060
2092 -1.181% -9,960,429
2093 -1.182% -9,849,260
2094 -1.18% -9,713,159
2095 -1.181% -9,611,342
2096 -1.184% -9,518,926
2097 -1.188% -9,441,304
2098 -1.193% -9,365,025
2099 -1.197% -9,286,746
2100 -1.207% -9,255,572

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of China

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of China.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of China is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, China's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

Data Disclaimer

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