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🇨🇳 Population Growth Rate of China

The current population growth rate of China is -0.224%. A -5.08% increase from 2023, when the population growth rate only was -0.236%. In the future, China's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -1.679%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of China by 649.55% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of China (1950-2024)

China has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.785% 9,708,705
1951 1.755% 9,719,074
1952 2.305% 13,027,307
1953 2.047% 11,824,094
1954 2.252% 13,289,347
1955 2.25% 13,576,951
1956 2.019% 12,446,199
1957 2.403% 15,149,053
1958 1.952% 12,577,488
1959 0.674% 4,399,988
1960 -0.032% -212,285
1961 0.329% 2,155,120
1962 2.473% 16,445,289
1963 3.289% 22,512,621
1964 2.551% 17,978,618
1965 2.662% 19,256,318
1966 2.521% 18,716,642
1967 2.435% 18,530,984
1968 2.745% 21,439,013
1969 2.596% 20,819,602
1970 2.614% 21,517,668
1971 2.37% 20,004,132
1972 2.225% 19,211,762
1973 2.106% 18,586,502
1974 1.874% 16,874,770
1975 1.609% 14,743,652
1976 1.48% 13,767,347
1977 1.333% 12,580,817
1978 1.323% 12,649,403
1979 1.404% 13,603,767
1980 1.439% 14,147,179
1981 1.5% 14,967,879
1982 1.654% 16,766,337
1983 1.379% 14,187,216
1984 1.474% 15,382,148
1985 1.56% 16,534,217
1986 1.7% 18,317,356
1987 1.793% 19,650,322
1988 1.65% 18,403,117
1989 1.684% 19,090,568
1990 1.742% 20,092,864
1991 1.223% 14,318,744
1992 1.119% 13,252,674
1993 1.02% 12,216,002
1994 0.924% 11,173,041
1995 0.909% 11,088,621
1996 0.856% 10,533,148
1997 0.794% 9,856,472
1998 0.764% 9,558,537
1999 0.722% 9,100,520
2000 0.765% 9,708,521
2001 0.671% 8,579,253
2002 0.599% 7,704,299
2003 0.587% 7,596,676
2004 0.581% 7,569,303
2005 0.632% 8,284,337
2006 0.589% 7,769,464
2007 0.585% 7,749,627
2008 0.62% 8,265,242
2009 0.681% 9,138,158
2010 0.661% 8,939,438
2011 0.62% 8,438,863
2012 0.738% 10,101,537
2013 0.643% 8,872,815
2014 0.65% 9,015,048
2015 0.526% 7,349,355
2016 0.605% 8,487,562
2017 0.575% 8,116,628
2018 0.366% 5,191,830
2019 0.269% 3,830,973
2020 0.094% 1,340,498
2021 -0.048% -678,150
2022 -0.129% -1,837,246
2023 -0.236% -3,352,027
2024 -0.224% -3,175,283

Future Population Growth Rate of China (2024-2100)

China's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of -0.236% all the way down to -1.679% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 -0.224% -3,175,283
2025 -0.231% -3,275,084
2026 -0.219% -3,088,927
2027 -0.24% -3,380,438
2028 -0.263% -3,704,887
2029 -0.285% -4,003,095
2030 -0.304% -4,254,746
2031 -0.327% -4,555,579
2032 -0.347% -4,821,696
2033 -0.369% -5,105,326
2034 -0.387% -5,333,847
2035 -0.405% -5,564,960
2036 -0.424% -5,804,533
2037 -0.442% -6,020,909
2038 -0.457% -6,193,804
2039 -0.479% -6,462,175
2040 -0.499% -6,693,947
2041 -0.521% -6,958,903
2042 -0.542% -7,203,085
2043 -0.562% -7,433,795
2044 -0.587% -7,715,827
2045 -0.619% -8,088,571
2046 -0.655% -8,503,841
2047 -0.69% -8,890,469
2048 -0.732% -9,365,214
2049 -0.776% -9,857,666
2050 -0.819% -10,326,437
2051 -0.87% -10,866,674
2052 -0.921% -11,404,138
2053 -0.966% -11,850,417
2054 -1.013% -12,302,600
2055 -1.058% -12,719,150
2056 -1.1% -13,084,454
2057 -1.136% -13,360,993
2058 -1.172% -13,629,481
2059 -1.202% -13,811,601
2060 -1.228% -13,938,353
2061 -1.246% -13,966,595
2062 -1.262% -13,968,572
2063 -1.271% -13,892,287
2064 -1.283% -13,845,356
2065 -1.286% -13,705,349
2066 -1.291% -13,581,440
2067 -1.295% -13,451,194
2068 -1.296% -13,287,538
2069 -1.301% -13,162,986
2070 -1.304% -13,024,756
2071 -1.312% -12,930,762
2072 -1.323% -12,871,016
2073 -1.336% -12,829,560
2074 -1.349% -12,782,373
2075 -1.368% -12,783,139
2076 -1.388% -12,794,923
2077 -1.41% -12,811,273
2078 -1.434% -12,850,213
2079 -1.461% -12,903,413
2080 -1.485% -12,925,850
2081 -1.507% -12,921,409
2082 -1.523% -12,857,627
2083 -1.541% -12,811,431
2084 -1.559% -12,767,191
2085 -1.567% -12,633,414
2086 -1.572% -12,478,186
2087 -1.579% -12,332,887
2088 -1.584% -12,176,283
2089 -1.586% -12,003,761
2090 -1.585% -11,808,787
2091 -1.587% -11,637,973
2092 -1.593% -11,495,439
2093 -1.599% -11,358,126
2094 -1.606% -11,226,269
2095 -1.616% -11,113,102
2096 -1.628% -11,013,314
2097 -1.64% -10,917,433
2098 -1.653% -10,822,796
2099 -1.666% -10,729,181
2100 -1.679% -10,633,395

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of China

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of China.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of China is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, China's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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