Annual Population Deaths by Country in 2038

-5 year -1 year 2038 +1 year +5 year

In the year 2038, It is projected that 76,921,971 people will die globally. Out of this group, 40,878,802 will be male and 36,043,169 female.

The country with the highest death count is projected to be 🇨🇳China, with a total of 14,417,267 people dying for the year. Closely followed by 🇮🇳India with a death count of 12,173,306, and 🇺🇸United States of America with 3,659,628 deaths recorded.

The country with the lowest annual death count is projected to be 🇻🇦Holy See with 9 people. Followed by 🇹🇰Tokelau with a death count of 16, and 🇳🇺Niue with 25 deaths recorded.

The geographic region with the highest death count is projected to be Asia with a total of 43,403,229 people dying for the year. Closely followed by Africa with a death count 14515.099, and Europe with 8,822,090 deaths recorded for the year.

When devided into sub-subregions we can see that Eastern Asia had the highest death count of 17,265,110 people. Closely followed by Southern Asia with a death count of 16,865,901, and South-Eastern Asia with 6,579,231 deaths recorded.

If we devide the global population into income groups we can see that Middle-income countries has the highest death count of 56,026,575. While the lowest death count is recorded by No income group available were only 285,234 people will die in that segment.

Similar Population Metrics for 2038

Countries with the Highest Death Count in 2038

Rank	Country	Deaths	Male Deaths	Female Deaths
1	🇨🇳China	14,417,267	7,605,369	6,811,898
2	🇮🇳India	12,173,306	6,668,844	5,504,461
3	🇺🇸United States of America	3,659,628	1,860,391	1,799,237
4	🇳🇬Nigeria	3,252,522	1,686,572	1,565,950
5	🇮🇩Indonesia	2,813,238	1,522,521	1,290,717
6	🇵🇰Pakistan	2,069,641	1,142,450	927,192
7	🇧🇷Brazil	1,942,145	1,019,997	922,148
8	🇷🇺Russian Federation	1,865,541	897,913	967,628
9	🇯🇵Japan	1,648,459	824,494	823,965
10	🇨🇩Democratic Republic of the Congo	1,199,472	655,316	544,156
11	🇧🇩Bangladesh	1,199,068	646,107	552,960
12	🇲🇽Mexico	1,111,131	600,729	510,403
13	🇩🇪Germany	988,725	492,696	496,029
14	🇵🇭Philippines	956,430	523,437	432,993
15	🇪🇹Ethiopia	943,040	543,172	399,868
16	🇻🇳Viet Nam	911,078	497,201	413,877
17	🇪🇬Egypt	850,792	471,128	379,664
18	🇹🇭Thailand	737,562	387,894	349,668
19	🇬🇧United Kingdom	716,366	355,683	360,684
20	🇫🇷France	705,115	357,494	347,621
21	🇮🇹Italy	699,500	346,582	352,918
22	🇿🇦South Africa	669,992	350,750	319,242
23	🇮🇷Iran (Islamic Republic of)	661,234	367,317	293,918
24	🇹🇷Türkiye	623,843	330,477	293,366
25	🇲🇲Myanmar	608,850	329,145	279,705
26	🇺🇦Ukraine	554,591	260,204	294,387
27	🇰🇷Republic of Korea	539,541	293,608	245,932
28	🇰🇪Kenya	511,695	280,249	231,446
29	🇪🇸Spain	501,989	260,503	241,486
30	🇹🇿United Republic of Tanzania	483,809	264,628	219,181
31	🇵🇱Poland	471,459	233,829	237,630
32	🇸🇩Sudan	436,039	240,883	195,157
33	🇨🇴Colombia	413,300	217,540	195,760
34	🇨🇦Canada	407,376	208,757	198,619
35	🇦🇷Argentina	396,883	204,182	192,702
36	🇺🇬Uganda	361,550	198,614	162,935
37	🇦🇴Angola	356,846	197,392	159,454
38	🇨🇮Côte d'Ivoire	321,549	174,274	147,276
39	🇦🇫Afghanistan	318,243	184,867	133,376
40	🇬🇭Ghana	316,756	171,983	144,773
41	🇺🇿Uzbekistan	305,220	166,360	138,860
42	🇲🇿Mozambique	303,067	166,165	136,902
43	🇰🇵Dem. People's Republic of Korea	302,072	158,501	143,571
44	🇲🇦Morocco	301,765	163,496	138,269
45	🇮🇶Iraq	294,430	159,904	134,525
46	🇩🇿Algeria	289,514	155,768	133,747
47	🇹🇩Chad	286,997	154,150	132,847
48	🇨🇲Cameroon	286,123	154,557	131,567
49	🇻🇪Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)	278,497	153,232	125,265
50	🇲🇾Malaysia	273,330	151,892	121,437
51	🇳🇪Niger	254,257	138,778	115,479
52	🇾🇪Yemen	253,437	150,729	102,707
53	🇵🇪Peru	251,686	133,185	118,501
54	🇹🇼China, Taiwan Province of China	250,918	133,254	117,664
55	🇲🇱Mali	247,631	133,437	114,194
56	🇦🇺Australia	244,108	126,329	117,779
57	🇲🇬Madagascar	242,435	136,610	105,825
58	🇷🇴Romania	241,399	119,598	121,801
59	🇧🇫Burkina Faso	237,452	126,667	110,786
60	🇸🇴Somalia	235,562	128,793	106,768
61	🇳🇵Nepal	230,259	120,148	110,111
62	🇱🇰Sri Lanka	205,902	103,934	101,968
63	🇰🇿Kazakhstan	200,858	103,130	97,728
64	🇳🇱Netherlands	200,102	100,411	99,692
65	🇸🇦Saudi Arabia	199,082	134,784	64,298
66	🇿🇲Zambia	182,727	102,070	80,657
67	🇸🇾Syrian Arab Republic	180,757	104,928	75,830
68	🇿🇼Zimbabwe	168,269	86,380	81,889
69	🇨🇱Chile	164,052	84,037	80,015
70	🇲🇼Malawi	161,707	91,461	70,246
71	🇬🇳Guinea	154,973	79,865	75,108
72	🇧🇯Benin	154,074	82,688	71,386
73	🇰🇭Cambodia	148,372	78,114	70,258
74	🇸🇸South Sudan	139,047	72,331	66,717
75	🇨🇺Cuba	129,519	66,126	63,393
76	🇭🇺Hungary	129,455	62,275	67,180
77	🇨🇿Czechia	125,748	61,108	64,638
78	🇧🇾Belarus	125,651	60,668	64,983
79	🇧🇪Belgium	124,809	62,938	61,870
80	🇧🇮Burundi	123,994	68,304	55,689
81	🇬🇷Greece	123,953	61,239	62,713
82	🇪🇨Ecuador	123,874	65,782	58,091
83	🇵🇹Portugal	123,081	59,568	63,513
84	🇬🇹Guatemala	116,100	63,056	53,044
85	🇸🇪Sweden	111,599	56,571	55,029
86	🇭🇹Haiti	109,722	60,457	49,265
87	🇷🇼Rwanda	106,464	56,706	49,758
88	🇧🇴Bolivia (Plurinational State of)	104,752	58,047	46,705
89	🇦🇿Azerbaijan	104,256	54,638	49,618
90	🇸🇳Senegal	102,549	56,033	46,516
91	🇹🇳Tunisia	100,741	54,505	46,236
92	🇧🇬Bulgaria	99,135	48,730	50,405
93	🇦🇹Austria	98,070	49,103	48,967
94	🇵🇬Papua New Guinea	94,367	55,522	38,845
95	🇷🇸Serbia	94,308	44,745	49,562
96	🇹🇬Togo	93,393	48,942	44,451
97	🇸🇱Sierra Leone	91,118	48,328	42,789
98	🇩🇴Dominican Republic	90,405	50,221	40,184
99	🇨🇭Switzerland	89,458	45,457	44,002
100	🇨🇫Central African Republic	76,628	41,127	35,501
101	🇭🇰China, Hong Kong SAR	76,036	41,165	34,871
102	🇹🇯Tajikistan	71,013	39,414	31,599
103	🇭🇳Honduras	69,796	38,886	30,910
104	🇫🇮Finland	67,661	33,907	33,754
105	🇩🇰Denmark	67,528	33,842	33,687
106	🇸🇰Slovakia	65,250	32,580	32,670
107	🇮🇱Israel	63,260	31,844	31,416
108	🇹🇲Turkmenistan	61,659	33,649	28,010
109	🇨🇬Congo	60,651	32,509	28,141
110	🇱🇦Lao People's Democratic Republic	59,474	32,876	26,598
111	🇸🇬Singapore	57,568	32,809	24,759
112	🇯🇴Jordan	57,138	33,094	24,044
113	🇳🇴Norway	55,287	28,557	26,729
114	🇱🇷Liberia	53,238	28,217	25,020
115	🇸🇻El Salvador	53,009	27,236	25,772
116	🇵🇾Paraguay	52,821	28,981	23,840
117	🇱🇾Libya	52,617	30,111	22,505
118	🇭🇷Croatia	52,066	25,293	26,773
119	🇰🇬Kyrgyzstan	52,011	28,792	23,219
120	🇳🇿New Zealand	48,347	24,538	23,809
121	🇳🇮Nicaragua	46,005	24,982	21,023
122	🇮🇪Ireland	44,806	22,939	21,868
123	🇬🇪Georgia	44,434	21,524	22,910
124	🇲🇩Republic of Moldova	41,975	21,069	20,906
125	🇵🇷Puerto Rico	41,508	20,487	21,021
126	🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina	41,027	20,359	20,668
127	🇨🇷Costa Rica	40,372	21,204	19,168
128	🇱🇧Lebanon	39,109	19,106	20,003
129	🇲🇷Mauritania	38,439	20,874	17,565
130	🇱🇹Lithuania	36,793	17,183	19,610
131	🇺🇾Uruguay	35,067	17,387	17,680
132	🇵🇦Panama	32,664	17,621	15,043
133	🇱🇸Lesotho	32,378	17,257	15,121
134	🇦🇲Armenia	29,777	13,798	15,979
135	🇦🇱Albania	29,310	14,994	14,316
136	🇯🇲Jamaica	28,046	14,765	13,281
137	🇰🇼Kuwait	28,030	20,121	7,908
138	🇪🇷Eritrea	26,675	14,242	12,432
139	🇧🇼Botswana	25,973	14,062	11,911
140	🇳🇦Namibia	25,879	13,820	12,058
141	🇱🇻Latvia	25,808	11,893	13,914
142	🇲🇳Mongolia	25,647	14,627	11,020
143	🇵🇸State of Palestine	25,078	13,461	11,617
144	🇸🇮Slovenia	24,550	12,574	11,975
145	🇲🇰North Macedonia	23,398	11,839	11,559
146	🇬🇲Gambia	23,364	12,559	10,804
147	🇦🇪United Arab Emirates	22,033	15,032	7,001
148	🇬🇦Gabon	21,743	12,410	9,332
149	🇬🇼Guinea-Bissau	21,351	11,318	10,033
150	🇬🇶Equatorial Guinea	18,525	10,780	7,745
151	🇹🇹Trinidad and Tobago	16,810	8,896	7,914
152	🇪🇪Estonia	15,995	7,445	8,550
153	🇲🇺Mauritius	15,121	7,976	7,146
154	🇴🇲Oman	14,655	8,744	5,911
155	🇸🇿Eswatini	13,047	7,234	5,814
156	🇽🇰Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244)	12,953	6,549	6,404
157	🇩🇯Djibouti	11,758	6,376	5,382
158	🇨🇾Cyprus	11,583	5,854	5,729
159	🇫🇯Fiji	9,608	5,182	4,427
160	🇹🇱Timor-Leste	9,414	5,182	4,232
161	🇰🇲Comoros	8,148	4,563	3,587
162	🇷🇪Réunion	8,138	4,275	3,864
163	🇬🇾Guyana	7,687	4,190	3,497
164	🇲🇪Montenegro	7,163	3,563	3,600
165	🇧🇭Bahrain	6,087	3,651	2,436
166	🇱🇺Luxembourg	6,082	3,230	2,852
167	🇧🇹Bhutan	5,998	3,432	2,566
168	🇸🇷Suriname	5,870	3,193	2,677
169	🇪🇭Western Sahara	5,848	3,652	2,196
170	🇲🇹Malta	5,424	2,833	2,591
171	🇶🇦Qatar	5,267	3,785	1,482
172	🇲🇴China, Macao SAR	5,184	2,909	2,275
173	🇸🇧Solomon Islands	5,045	2,823	2,223
174	🇲🇶Martinique	4,315	2,086	2,229
175	🇧🇸Bahamas	4,248	2,238	2,009
176	🇬🇵Guadeloupe	4,216	2,035	2,181
177	🇧🇳Brunei Darussalam	3,889	2,205	1,684
178	🇨🇻Cabo Verde	3,538	1,948	1,590
179	🇮🇸Iceland	3,350	1,741	1,609
180	🇧🇧Barbados	3,311	1,610	1,701
181	🇧🇿Belize	2,866	1,658	1,207
182	🇳🇨New Caledonia	2,330	1,282	1,048
183	🇲🇻Maldives	2,238	1,279	959
184	🇻🇺Vanuatu	2,224	1,267	958
185	🇨🇼Curaçao	2,214	1,061	1,154
186	🇵🇫French Polynesia	2,108	1,192	916
187	🇬🇫French Guiana	2,001	1,115	886
188	🇱🇨Saint Lucia	1,842	1,004	837
189	🇸🇹Sao Tome and Principe	1,795	1,027	768
190	🇼🇸Samoa	1,564	887	677
191	🇬🇺Guam	1,508	807	702
192	🇦🇼Aruba	1,389	684	705
193	🇻🇮United States Virgin Islands	1,317	643	674
194	🇾🇹Mayotte	1,289	741	548
195	🇬🇩Grenada	1,137	616	521
196	🇰🇮Kiribati	1,126	581	545
197	🇯🇪Jersey	1,117	568	550
198	🇻🇨Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	1,091	610	481
199	🇮🇲Isle of Man	1,050	532	518
200	🇸🇨Seychelles	973	572	401
201	🇫🇲Micronesia (Fed. States of)	935	516	418
202	🇹🇴Tonga	834	449	385
203	🇦🇬Antigua and Barbuda	827	407	420
204	🇧🇲Bermuda	776	388	388
205	🇩🇲Dominica	751	419	332
206	🇦🇩Andorra	743	415	328
207	🇰🇾Cayman Islands	715	401	314
208	🇬🇱Greenland	692	412	280
209	🇸🇽Sint Maarten (Dutch part)	621	340	281
210	🇬🇬Guernsey	606	304	302
211	🇲🇵Northern Mariana Islands	578	332	246
212	🇫🇴Faroe Islands	570	303	267
213	🇰🇳Saint Kitts and Nevis	562	305	256
214	🇲🇨Monaco	493	251	242
215	🇲🇭Marshall Islands	481	266	215
216	🇹🇨Turks and Caicos Islands	474	264	210
217	🇱🇮Liechtenstein	419	214	205
218	🇦🇸American Samoa	412	217	195
219	🇸🇲San Marino	380	187	192
220	🇬🇮Gibraltar	349	181	168
221	🇻🇬British Virgin Islands	340	185	155
222	🇧🇶Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba	321	181	140
223	🇲🇫Saint Martin (French part)	291	153	138
224	🇵🇼Palau	272	154	119
225	🇨🇰Cook Islands	178	94	83
226	🇦🇮Anguilla	153	85	68
227	🇹🇻Tuvalu	128	71	57
228	🇳🇷Nauru	109	62	47
229	🇼🇫Wallis and Futuna Islands	108	53	54
230	🇧🇱Saint Barthélemy	96	55	41
231	🇸🇭Saint Helena	89	48	41
232	🇵🇲Saint Pierre and Miquelon	71	39	32
233	🇲🇸Montserrat	61	34	27
234	🇫🇰Falkland Islands (Malvinas)	35	19	16
235	🇳🇺Niue	25	13	12
236	🇹🇰Tokelau	16	9	8
237	🇻🇦Holy See	9	4	5

Regions with the Highest Death Count in 2038

Rank	Region	Deaths	Male Deaths	Female Deaths
1	Asia	43,403,229	23,372,411	20,030,818
2	Africa	14,515,099	7,838,666	6,676,433
3	Europe	8,822,090	4,352,604	4,469,486
4	Latin America and the Caribbean	5,696,776	3,022,575	2,674,201
5	Northern America	4,068,525	2,069,982	1,998,543
6	Oceania	416,252	222,564	193,688

Sub-regions with the Highest Death Count in 2038

Rank	Sub-region	Deaths	Male Deaths	Female Deaths
1	Eastern Asia	17,265,110	9,073,922	8,191,188
2	Southern Asia	16,865,901	9,238,377	7,627,524
3	South-Eastern Asia	6,579,231	3,563,290	3,015,941
4	Western Africa	5,366,291	2,822,526	2,543,765
5	Eastern Africa	4,035,478	2,234,226	1,801,252
6	South America	3,778,653	1,990,891	1,787,762
7	Eastern Europe	3,720,199	1,797,962	1,922,237
8	Middle Africa	2,308,779	1,259,260	1,049,519
9	Western Europe	2,213,263	1,111,793	1,101,470
10	Northern Africa	2,037,288	1,119,529	917,759
11	Western Asia	2,002,229	1,125,468	876,761
12	Southern Europe	1,740,148	871,406	868,742
13	Central America	1,471,972	795,384	676,588
14	Northern Europe	1,148,480	571,443	577,037
15	Southern Africa	767,263	403,125	364,138
16	Central Asia	690,758	371,354	319,404
17	Caribbean	446,151	236,300	209,851
18	Australia/New Zealand	292,460	150,874	141,586
19	Melanesia	113,579	66,073	47,506
20	Polynesia	5,275	2,935	2,340
21	Micronesia	4,938	2,682	2,256

Income Groups with the Highest Death Count in 2038

Rank	Income Group	Deaths	Male Deaths	Female Deaths
1	Middle-income countries	56,026,575	29,916,077	26,110,498
2	Lower-middle-income countries	31,280,276	16,945,322	14,334,954
3	Upper-middle-income countries	24,746,299	12,970,755	11,775,544
4	High-income countries	13,553,487	6,908,281	6,645,206
5	Low-income countries	7,056,675	3,897,070	3,159,605
6	No income group available	285,234	157,374	127,860

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

Data Disclaimer

People at database.earth has not verified data entry and collection processes in person. We take all open data provided by governmental and non-governmental organization at face value.

This data is the foundation for most content and visualization found on this page. If you find errors in the representation of the data, please contact us and we will correct it.

All data from sources are archived for future reference.