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Annual Population Deaths by Country in 2040

-5 year -1 year 2040 +1 year +5 year

In the year 2040, It is projected that 79,467,005 people will die globally. Out of this group, 42,089,840 will be male and 37,377,165 female.

The country with the highest death count is projected to be 🇨🇳China, with a total of 14,967,399 people dying for the year. Closely followed by 🇮🇳India with a death count of 12,590,911, and 🇺🇸United States of America with 3,761,783 deaths recorded.

The country with the lowest annual death count is projected to be 🇻🇦Holy See with 9 people. Followed by 🇹🇰Tokelau with a death count of 17, and 🇳🇺Niue with 25 deaths recorded.

The geographic region with the highest death count is projected to be Asia with a total of 44,978,788 people dying for the year. Closely followed by Africa with a death count 15022.386, and Europe with 8,943,005 deaths recorded for the year.

When devided into sub-subregions we can see that Eastern Asia had the highest death count of 17,857,663 people. Closely followed by Southern Asia with a death count of 17,459,037, and South-Eastern Asia with 6,831,733 deaths recorded.

If we devide the global population into income groups we can see that Middle-income countries has the highest death count of 57,997,150. While the lowest death count is recorded by No income group available were only 293,946 people will die in that segment.

Similar Population Metrics for 2040

Countries with the Highest Death Count in 2040

Rank Country Deaths Male Deaths Female Deaths
1 🇨🇳China 14,967,399 7,816,919 7,150,481
2 🇮🇳India 12,590,911 6,890,493 5,700,418
3 🇺🇸United States of America 3,761,783 1,901,340 1,860,442
4 🇳🇬Nigeria 3,323,637 1,727,308 1,596,329
5 🇮🇩Indonesia 2,915,263 1,576,312 1,338,950
6 🇵🇰Pakistan 2,141,520 1,180,627 960,893
7 🇧🇷Brazil 2,013,640 1,049,520 964,120
8 🇷🇺Russian Federation 1,886,325 901,440 984,885
9 🇯🇵Japan 1,640,699 815,216 825,483
10 🇧🇩Bangladesh 1,247,512 666,595 580,916
11 🇨🇩Democratic Republic of the Congo 1,242,604 680,390 562,214
12 🇲🇽Mexico 1,152,368 618,329 534,039
13 🇵🇭Philippines 1,000,032 547,187 452,845
14 🇩🇪Germany 997,444 498,482 498,963
15 🇪🇹Ethiopia 979,501 564,066 415,435
16 🇻🇳Viet Nam 947,137 512,174 434,963
17 🇪🇬Egypt 889,357 492,134 397,223
18 🇹🇭Thailand 765,415 399,438 365,977
19 🇬🇧United Kingdom 729,112 361,733 367,379
20 🇫🇷France 724,137 365,470 358,667
21 🇮🇹Italy 708,895 351,775 357,120
22 🇮🇷Iran (Islamic Republic of) 694,194 382,418 311,775
23 🇿🇦South Africa 692,515 363,723 328,792
24 🇹🇷Türkiye 653,148 344,298 308,850
25 🇲🇲Myanmar 626,312 337,755 288,557
26 🇰🇷Republic of Korea 564,731 307,117 257,613
27 🇺🇦Ukraine 556,752 259,562 297,190
28 🇰🇪Kenya 531,564 291,165 240,398
29 🇪🇸Spain 515,654 266,989 248,664
30 🇹🇿United Republic of Tanzania 503,052 275,691 227,360
31 🇵🇱Poland 480,793 236,486 244,307
32 🇸🇩Sudan 453,998 250,926 203,072
33 🇨🇴Colombia 433,838 226,464 207,374
34 🇨🇦Canada 423,441 216,265 207,176
35 🇦🇷Argentina 404,596 207,586 197,010
36 🇺🇬Uganda 378,757 208,773 169,984
37 🇦🇴Angola 371,055 205,507 165,547
38 🇨🇮Côte d'Ivoire 334,399 181,335 153,064
39 🇦🇫Afghanistan 330,346 192,088 138,258
40 🇬🇭Ghana 330,011 179,233 150,779
41 🇺🇿Uzbekistan 319,508 173,608 145,900
42 🇲🇦Morocco 313,258 168,592 144,667
43 🇲🇿Mozambique 312,809 172,118 140,691
44 🇮🇶Iraq 311,537 169,521 142,016
45 🇰🇵Dem. People's Republic of Korea 310,105 163,058 147,047
46 🇩🇿Algeria 306,296 164,308 141,988
47 🇨🇲Cameroon 298,314 161,484 136,829
48 🇹🇩Chad 297,401 159,873 137,527
49 🇻🇪Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 286,859 156,429 130,430
50 🇲🇾Malaysia 285,605 157,775 127,830
51 🇾🇪Yemen 264,854 157,530 107,325
52 🇳🇪Niger 263,102 144,255 118,847
53 🇹🇼China, Taiwan Province of China 262,448 138,231 124,216
54 🇵🇪Peru 261,728 137,841 123,888
55 🇲🇱Mali 255,684 138,196 117,488
56 🇦🇺Australia 253,496 130,616 122,879
57 🇲🇬Madagascar 251,875 141,981 109,894
58 🇧🇫Burkina Faso 245,375 131,211 114,164
59 🇷🇴Romania 242,922 119,668 123,254
60 🇸🇴Somalia 241,938 132,534 109,404
61 🇳🇵Nepal 235,218 122,200 113,017
62 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia 218,551 148,624 69,928
63 🇱🇰Sri Lanka 210,654 105,196 105,457
64 🇰🇿Kazakhstan 206,367 105,567 100,800
65 🇳🇱Netherlands 204,274 102,319 101,955
66 🇿🇲Zambia 191,937 107,356 84,581
67 🇸🇾Syrian Arab Republic 188,859 108,809 80,051
68 🇿🇼Zimbabwe 174,371 89,647 84,724
69 🇨🇱Chile 170,991 87,441 83,550
70 🇲🇼Malawi 168,594 95,528 73,066
71 🇧🇯Benin 159,956 86,006 73,949
72 🇬🇳Guinea 159,479 82,452 77,027
73 🇰🇭Cambodia 154,517 81,488 73,029
74 🇸🇸South Sudan 142,158 73,948 68,210
75 🇨🇺Cuba 131,857 66,908 64,949
76 🇪🇨Ecuador 129,336 68,316 61,020
77 🇭🇺Hungary 129,175 62,083 67,093
78 🇧🇮Burundi 129,158 71,301 57,858
79 🇧🇪Belgium 128,114 64,596 63,517
80 🇧🇾Belarus 126,153 60,210 65,943
81 🇨🇿Czechia 125,942 61,192 64,750
82 🇬🇷Greece 124,877 61,374 63,503
83 🇵🇹Portugal 124,637 60,196 64,441
84 🇬🇹Guatemala 121,159 65,501 55,659
85 🇭🇹Haiti 113,126 62,305 50,820
86 🇸🇪Sweden 112,851 57,120 55,731
87 🇷🇼Rwanda 110,919 59,246 51,672
88 🇦🇿Azerbaijan 109,403 56,776 52,627
89 🇧🇴Bolivia (Plurinational State of) 108,709 60,262 48,447
90 🇸🇳Senegal 106,531 58,187 48,344
91 🇹🇳Tunisia 105,006 56,209 48,797
92 🇦🇹Austria 99,878 50,100 49,778
93 🇵🇬Papua New Guinea 98,799 57,762 41,037
94 🇧🇬Bulgaria 98,097 48,191 49,907
95 🇹🇬Togo 96,618 50,776 45,843
96 🇸🇱Sierra Leone 93,959 49,934 44,025
97 🇷🇸Serbia 93,897 44,427 49,470
98 🇩🇴Dominican Republic 93,700 51,701 41,999
99 🇨🇭Switzerland 91,958 46,873 45,085
100 🇭🇰China, Hong Kong SAR 79,857 42,734 37,124
101 🇨🇫Central African Republic 78,553 42,223 36,330
102 🇹🇯Tajikistan 74,817 41,349 33,468
103 🇭🇳Honduras 73,676 40,908 32,768
104 🇫🇮Finland 68,713 34,299 34,414
105 🇩🇰Denmark 68,089 34,042 34,047
106 🇸🇰Slovakia 66,509 33,044 33,464
107 🇮🇱Israel 65,849 33,107 32,743
108 🇹🇲Turkmenistan 64,199 34,889 29,310
109 🇨🇬Congo 63,375 34,003 29,372
110 🇸🇬Singapore 61,951 35,208 26,743
111 🇱🇦Lao People's Democratic Republic 61,767 34,124 27,643
112 🇯🇴Jordan 61,249 35,326 25,923
113 🇳🇴Norway 56,883 29,362 27,521
114 🇱🇾Libya 55,347 31,489 23,858
115 🇵🇾Paraguay 55,030 30,059 24,971
116 🇱🇷Liberia 54,894 29,177 25,718
117 🇰🇬Kyrgyzstan 54,328 29,791 24,538
118 🇸🇻El Salvador 54,158 27,566 26,592
119 🇭🇷Croatia 52,142 25,250 26,892
120 🇳🇿New Zealand 50,238 25,416 24,822
121 🇳🇮Nicaragua 48,143 26,008 22,135
122 🇮🇪Ireland 46,467 23,738 22,729
123 🇬🇪Georgia 44,700 21,411 23,289
124 🇨🇷Costa Rica 42,300 22,056 20,243
125 🇲🇩Republic of Moldova 41,961 20,934 21,026
126 🇵🇷Puerto Rico 41,808 20,442 21,366
127 🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina 41,487 20,486 21,001
128 🇱🇧Lebanon 40,717 19,751 20,966
129 🇲🇷Mauritania 39,916 21,665 18,251
130 🇱🇹Lithuania 36,580 17,042 19,538
131 🇺🇾Uruguay 35,390 17,538 17,852
132 🇵🇦Panama 34,085 18,268 15,817
133 🇱🇸Lesotho 32,882 17,533 15,349
134 🇰🇼Kuwait 31,279 22,345 8,934
135 🇦🇲Armenia 30,489 13,861 16,628
136 🇦🇱Albania 29,961 15,154 14,808
137 🇯🇲Jamaica 29,013 15,216 13,797
138 🇪🇷Eritrea 27,472 14,685 12,787
139 🇧🇼Botswana 27,206 14,742 12,464
140 🇲🇳Mongolia 26,789 15,099 11,690
141 🇳🇦Namibia 26,731 14,277 12,454
142 🇵🇸State of Palestine 26,527 14,200 12,327
143 🇱🇻Latvia 25,473 11,751 13,721
144 🇸🇮Slovenia 25,093 12,860 12,233
145 🇬🇲Gambia 24,348 13,081 11,267
146 🇲🇰North Macedonia 23,902 12,040 11,862
147 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 23,799 16,236 7,562
148 🇬🇦Gabon 22,771 13,004 9,767
149 🇬🇼Guinea-Bissau 22,123 11,758 10,366
150 🇬🇶Equatorial Guinea 19,307 11,281 8,026
151 🇹🇹Trinidad and Tobago 17,282 9,077 8,205
152 🇪🇪Estonia 16,035 7,496 8,538
153 🇴🇲Oman 15,741 9,397 6,343
154 🇲🇺Mauritius 15,511 8,116 7,395
155 🇸🇿Eswatini 13,430 7,455 5,975
156 🇽🇰Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244) 13,425 6,748 6,677
157 🇩🇯Djibouti 12,153 6,580 5,573
158 🇨🇾Cyprus 11,996 6,056 5,940
159 🇫🇯Fiji 9,850 5,313 4,537
160 🇹🇱Timor-Leste 9,594 5,302 4,292
161 🇷🇪Réunion 8,511 4,437 4,074
162 🇰🇲Comoros 8,424 4,727 3,697
163 🇬🇾Guyana 7,877 4,273 3,604
164 🇲🇪Montenegro 7,226 3,573 3,653
165 🇧🇭Bahrain 6,634 3,964 2,670
166 🇱🇺Luxembourg 6,336 3,367 2,969
167 🇧🇹Bhutan 6,244 3,575 2,669
168 🇪🇭Western Sahara 6,169 3,864 2,305
169 🇸🇷Suriname 6,056 3,281 2,775
170 🇶🇦Qatar 5,815 4,189 1,627
171 🇲🇴China, Macao SAR 5,619 3,117 2,502
172 🇲🇹Malta 5,564 2,906 2,659
173 🇸🇧Solomon Islands 5,314 2,970 2,344
174 🇲🇶Martinique 4,440 2,126 2,313
175 🇧🇸Bahamas 4,417 2,307 2,110
176 🇬🇵Guadeloupe 4,332 2,067 2,265
177 🇧🇳Brunei Darussalam 4,132 2,330 1,802
178 🇨🇻Cabo Verde 3,750 2,056 1,695
179 🇮🇸Iceland 3,487 1,811 1,677
180 🇧🇧Barbados 3,408 1,644 1,764
181 🇧🇿Belize 3,011 1,727 1,285
182 🇳🇨New Caledonia 2,438 1,334 1,104
183 🇲🇻Maldives 2,427 1,389 1,038
184 🇻🇺Vanuatu 2,331 1,319 1,012
185 🇵🇫French Polynesia 2,254 1,267 987
186 🇨🇼Curaçao 2,252 1,066 1,186
187 🇬🇫French Guiana 2,118 1,166 952
188 🇱🇨Saint Lucia 1,904 1,030 874
189 🇸🇹Sao Tome and Principe 1,873 1,070 803
190 🇼🇸Samoa 1,617 913 704
191 🇬🇺Guam 1,554 823 731
192 🇦🇼Aruba 1,427 695 732
193 🇾🇹Mayotte 1,379 783 597
194 🇻🇮United States Virgin Islands 1,305 624 681
195 🇰🇮Kiribati 1,174 608 566
196 🇬🇩Grenada 1,169 630 539
197 🇯🇪Jersey 1,150 582 567
198 🇻🇨Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 1,113 618 495
199 🇮🇲Isle of Man 1,068 540 528
200 🇸🇨Seychelles 1,012 589 423
201 🇫🇲Micronesia (Fed. States of) 957 523 434
202 🇦🇬Antigua and Barbuda 867 423 444
203 🇹🇴Tonga 852 456 395
204 🇧🇲Bermuda 805 401 404
205 🇦🇩Andorra 787 439 348
206 🇩🇲Dominica 773 428 345
207 🇰🇾Cayman Islands 756 421 335
208 🇬🇱Greenland 710 416 294
209 🇸🇽Sint Maarten (Dutch part) 658 355 304
210 🇬🇬Guernsey 623 314 310
211 🇲🇵Northern Mariana Islands 612 346 266
212 🇰🇳Saint Kitts and Nevis 576 308 267
213 🇫🇴Faroe Islands 571 302 269
214 🇲🇭Marshall Islands 498 273 224
215 🇹🇨Turks and Caicos Islands 496 275 221
216 🇲🇨Monaco 486 248 239
217 🇱🇮Liechtenstein 438 223 215
218 🇦🇸American Samoa 423 220 202
219 🇸🇲San Marino 394 194 200
220 🇬🇮Gibraltar 359 186 173
221 🇻🇬British Virgin Islands 359 193 166
222 🇧🇶Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba 332 185 147
223 🇲🇫Saint Martin (French part) 312 162 150
224 🇵🇼Palau 273 153 120
225 🇨🇰Cook Islands 182 95 87
226 🇦🇮Anguilla 160 87 73
227 🇹🇻Tuvalu 129 71 58
228 🇳🇷Nauru 112 63 49
229 🇼🇫Wallis and Futuna Islands 111 54 57
230 🇧🇱Saint Barthélemy 102 59 43
231 🇸🇭Saint Helena 88 46 42
232 🇵🇲Saint Pierre and Miquelon 72 39 33
233 🇲🇸Montserrat 61 34 28
234 🇫🇰Falkland Islands (Malvinas) 37 20 17
235 🇳🇺Niue 25 13 12
236 🇹🇰Tokelau 17 9 8
237 🇻🇦Holy See 9 4 5

Regions with the Highest Death Count in 2040

Rank Region Deaths Male Deaths Female Deaths
1 Asia 44,978,788 24,105,785 20,873,003
2 Africa 15,022,386 8,123,999 6,898,387
3 Europe 8,943,005 4,399,172 4,543,833
4 Latin America and the Caribbean 5,902,990 3,111,922 2,791,068
5 Northern America 4,186,785 2,118,451 2,068,333
6 Oceania 433,051 230,511 202,540

Sub-regions with the Highest Death Count in 2040

Rank Sub-region Deaths Male Deaths Female Deaths
1 Eastern Asia 17,857,663 9,301,512 8,556,151
2 Southern Asia 17,459,037 9,544,581 7,914,456
3 South-Eastern Asia 6,831,733 3,689,106 3,142,627
4 Western Africa 5,513,869 2,906,667 2,607,202
5 Eastern Africa 4,191,073 2,323,260 1,867,813
6 South America 3,916,189 2,050,197 1,865,992
7 Eastern Europe 3,754,643 1,802,813 1,951,830
8 Middle Africa 2,395,260 1,308,842 1,086,418
9 Western Europe 2,253,065 1,131,672 1,121,393
10 Northern Africa 2,129,422 1,167,512 961,910
11 Western Asia 2,111,145 1,185,390 925,755
12 Southern Europe 1,768,242 884,576 883,666
13 Central America 1,528,922 820,382 708,540
14 Northern Europe 1,167,055 580,111 586,944
15 Southern Africa 792,762 417,718 375,044
16 Central Asia 719,210 385,196 334,014
17 Caribbean 457,879 241,343 216,536
18 Australia/New Zealand 303,727 156,029 147,698
19 Melanesia 118,728 68,699 50,029
20 Polynesia 5,502 3,038 2,464
21 Micronesia 5,094 2,745 2,349

Income Groups with the Highest Death Count in 2040

Rank Income Group Deaths Male Deaths Female Deaths
1 Middle-income countries 57,997,150 30,836,798 27,160,352
2 Lower-middle-income countries 32,370,931 17,511,850 14,859,081
3 Upper-middle-income countries 25,626,219 13,324,948 12,301,271
4 High-income countries 13,858,491 7,045,000 6,813,491
5 Low-income countries 7,317,418 4,047,256 3,270,162
6 No income group available 293,946 160,786 133,160

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

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