๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ Population Growth Rate of Eastern Africa

The current population growth rate of Eastern Africa is 2.521%. A 0.2% increase from 2022, when the population growth rate only was 2.516%. In the future, Eastern Africa's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.371%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Eastern Africa by -85.28% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Eastern Africa (1950-2023)

Eastern Africa has seen an increase in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.296% 1,510,842
1951 2.313% 1,557,315
1952 2.317% 1,596,329
1953 2.313% 1,630,927
1954 2.359% 1,702,695
1955 2.397% 1,771,820
1956 2.434% 1,843,229
1957 2.304% 1,786,332
1958 2.292% 1,818,325
1959 2.572% 2,091,159
1960 2.612% 2,179,422
1961 2.711% 2,322,862
1962 2.707% 2,383,073
1963 2.732% 2,471,405
1964 2.839% 2,640,448
1965 2.814% 2,692,414
1966 2.775% 2,730,305
1967 2.858% 2,892,000
1968 2.906% 3,026,933
1969 2.895% 3,104,590
1970 2.895% 3,195,044
1971 2.869% 3,259,097
1972 2.714% 3,170,345
1973 2.896% 3,479,501
1974 2.884% 3,567,060
1975 2.843% 3,618,069
1976 2.912% 3,814,584
1977 2.602% 3,503,558
1978 3.074% 4,257,360
1979 2.858% 4,078,662
1980 2.67% 3,916,669
1981 3.144% 4,747,845
1982 3.071% 4,784,553
1983 2.913% 4,675,230
1984 2.952% 4,878,830
1985 3.028% 5,156,101
1986 3.001% 5,267,810
1987 3.079% 5,570,091
1988 2.7% 5,027,720
1989 2.814% 5,387,555
1990 2.881% 5,674,318
1991 2.697% 5,461,957
1992 2.694% 5,606,295
1993 2.757% 5,895,299
1994 1.936% 4,238,719
1995 2.957% 6,632,692
1996 3.08% 7,120,867
1997 2.791% 6,644,919
1998 2.67% 6,531,643
1999 2.774% 6,974,338
2000 2.744% 7,091,785
2001 2.79% 7,414,412
2002 2.789% 7,619,350
2003 2.856% 8,026,146
2004 2.821% 8,156,917
2005 2.809% 8,352,288
2006 2.832% 8,663,872
2007 2.864% 9,014,364
2008 2.839% 9,193,668
2009 2.81% 9,360,975
2010 2.87% 9,837,117
2011 2.754% 9,706,661
2012 2.812% 10,190,084
2013 2.793% 10,411,090
2014 2.635% 10,093,679
2015 2.689% 10,577,355
2016 2.69% 10,868,153
2017 2.609% 10,823,368
2018 2.638% 11,237,834
2019 2.695% 11,789,907
2020 2.642% 11,870,938
2021 2.565% 11,827,821
2022 2.516% 11,898,184
2023 2.521% 12,225,972

Future Population Growth Rate of Eastern Africa (2023-2100)

Eastern Africa's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 2.516% all the way down to 0.371% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2023 2.521% 12,225,972
2024 2.496% 12,411,809
2025 2.463% 12,555,648
2026 2.432% 12,706,692
2027 2.403% 12,861,627
2028 2.37% 12,991,158
2029 2.334% 13,097,815
2030 2.297% 13,191,918
2031 2.26% 13,277,663
2032 2.227% 13,383,838
2033 2.186% 13,432,094
2034 2.153% 13,518,052
2035 2.114% 13,557,501
2036 2.073% 13,579,292
2037 2.041% 13,642,681
2038 2.003% 13,665,039
2039 1.968% 13,693,261
2040 1.93% 13,695,549
2041 1.894% 13,701,694
2042 1.858% 13,693,752
2043 1.83% 13,735,226
2044 1.794% 13,709,846
2045 1.762% 13,707,904
2046 1.728% 13,680,653
2047 1.696% 13,663,343
2048 1.661% 13,602,866
2049 1.631% 13,583,545
2050 1.598% 13,525,054
2051 1.565% 13,453,669
2052 1.539% 13,434,433
2053 1.508% 13,372,901
2054 1.477% 13,296,376
2055 1.446% 13,204,380
2056 1.413% 13,086,021
2057 1.384% 12,998,311
2058 1.353% 12,887,409
2059 1.322% 12,758,730
2060 1.289% 12,607,117
2061 1.26% 12,478,162
2062 1.233% 12,367,376
2063 1.2% 12,183,518
2064 1.174% 12,061,099
2065 1.143% 11,879,455
2066 1.118% 11,745,255
2067 1.089% 11,574,354
2068 1.063% 11,422,031
2069 1.039% 11,275,551
2070 1.012% 11,093,488
2071 0.984% 10,900,209
2072 0.956% 10,694,253
2073 0.931% 10,510,707
2074 0.904% 10,298,930
2075 0.881% 10,131,266
2076 0.854% 9,904,579
2077 0.831% 9,714,075
2078 0.809% 9,533,394
2079 0.786% 9,344,146
2080 0.764% 9,151,730
2081 0.742% 8,958,321
2082 0.719% 8,738,381
2083 0.699% 8,559,028
2084 0.678% 8,361,527
2085 0.656% 8,138,970
2086 0.633% 7,912,003
2087 0.612% 7,697,778
2088 0.594% 7,507,995
2089 0.571% 7,260,334
2090 0.551% 7,051,528
2091 0.531% 6,833,796
2092 0.514% 6,645,404
2093 0.494% 6,413,279
2094 0.475% 6,198,346
2095 0.456% 5,983,441
2096 0.437% 5,763,833
2097 0.419% 5,544,418
2098 0.403% 5,359,282
2099 0.387% 5,165,285
2100 0.371% 4,969,223

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Eastern Africa

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Eastern Africa.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Eastern Africa is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Eastern Africa's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

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