๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ Population Growth Rate of Eastern Africa

The current population growth rate of Eastern Africa is 2.543%. A -4.29% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 2.657%. In the future, Eastern Africa's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.43%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Eastern Africa by -83.09% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Eastern Africa (1950-2024)

Eastern Africa has seen an increase in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.143% 1,408,866
1951 2.213% 1,486,745
1952 2.251% 1,546,087
1953 2.263% 1,589,754
1954 2.318% 1,666,478
1955 2.36% 1,737,004
1956 2.408% 1,814,673
1957 2.285% 1,762,840
1958 2.282% 1,801,378
1959 2.556% 2,066,916
1960 2.599% 2,156,488
1961 2.697% 2,297,885
1962 2.695% 2,359,631
1963 2.729% 2,454,313
1964 2.839% 2,625,311
1965 2.816% 2,679,584
1966 2.786% 2,726,248
1967 2.872% 2,890,913
1968 2.913% 3,017,742
1969 2.889% 3,080,871
1970 2.885% 3,166,934
1971 2.871% 3,243,625
1972 2.714% 3,153,093
1973 2.907% 3,473,895
1974 2.913% 3,583,112
1975 2.881% 3,647,773
1976 2.957% 3,855,608
1977 2.642% 3,542,275
1978 3.122% 4,308,531
1979 2.898% 4,121,067
1980 2.698% 3,945,594
1981 3.139% 4,727,122
1982 3.073% 4,773,805
1983 2.929% 4,688,686
1984 2.959% 4,878,632
1985 3.023% 5,135,110
1986 2.994% 5,241,137
1987 3.072% 5,543,949
1988 2.715% 5,043,157
1989 2.847% 5,436,810
1990 2.886% 5,671,978
1991 2.718% 5,492,610
1992 2.734% 5,678,672
1993 2.866% 6,121,556
1994 2.075% 4,542,818
1995 2.995% 6,726,470
1996 3.137% 7,263,011
1997 2.905% 6,933,923
1998 2.729% 6,699,761
1999 2.801% 7,068,175
2000 2.761% 7,163,168
2001 2.806% 7,486,061
2002 2.823% 7,745,452
2003 2.9% 8,189,599
2004 2.869% 8,338,269
2005 2.861% 8,558,141
2006 2.869% 8,830,504
2007 2.896% 9,175,059
2008 2.875% 9,374,151
2009 2.841% 9,533,167
2010 2.882% 9,951,427
2011 2.701% 9,587,808
2012 2.77% 10,107,955
2013 2.753% 10,325,752
2014 2.572% 9,908,808
2015 2.603% 10,291,310
2016 2.601% 10,551,999
2017 2.54% 10,575,643
2018 2.719% 11,618,916
2019 2.707% 11,888,113
2020 2.7% 12,183,464
2021 2.575% 11,928,276
2022 2.557% 12,154,095
2023 2.657% 12,960,748
2024 2.543% 12,732,282

Future Population Growth Rate of Eastern Africa (2024-2100)

Eastern Africa's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 2.657% all the way down to 0.43% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 2.543% 12,732,282
2025 2.499% 12,831,412
2026 2.463% 12,962,328
2027 2.43% 13,107,981
2028 2.382% 13,160,279
2029 2.352% 13,306,844
2030 2.314% 13,402,758
2031 2.28% 13,512,231
2032 2.23% 13,517,304
2033 2.188% 13,559,323
2034 2.164% 13,703,632
2035 2.136% 13,819,467
2036 2.089% 13,803,770
2037 2.055% 13,866,749
2038 2.015% 13,876,952
2039 1.981% 13,916,266
2040 1.952% 13,980,467
2041 1.908% 13,935,277
2042 1.873% 13,942,501
2043 1.845% 13,988,162
2044 1.807% 13,957,415
2045 1.768% 13,896,533
2046 1.734% 13,875,471
2047 1.714% 13,947,780
2048 1.675% 13,865,183
2049 1.639% 13,794,861
2050 1.602% 13,704,841
2051 1.585% 13,780,330
2052 1.549% 13,674,812
2053 1.516% 13,587,699
2054 1.492% 13,576,510
2055 1.464% 13,518,940
2056 1.441% 13,502,579
2057 1.402% 13,327,686
2058 1.373% 13,235,352
2059 1.363% 13,323,230
2060 1.327% 13,145,261
2061 1.308% 13,126,126
2062 1.263% 12,842,235
2063 1.234% 12,699,901
2064 1.21% 12,606,086
2065 1.19% 12,545,441
2066 1.152% 12,293,330
2067 1.135% 12,249,099
2068 1.102% 12,027,381
2069 1.078% 11,895,155
2070 1.055% 11,760,344
2071 1.027% 11,577,714
2072 1.006% 11,452,501
2073 0.978% 11,248,228
2074 0.959% 11,136,666
2075 0.933% 10,930,630
2076 0.907% 10,726,288
2077 0.892% 10,646,742
2078 0.863% 10,387,419
2079 0.834% 10,124,193
2080 0.808% 9,886,300
2081 0.784% 9,672,047
2082 0.774% 9,620,201
2083 0.746% 9,347,298
2084 0.721% 9,103,901
2085 0.71% 9,025,252
2086 0.691% 8,843,120
2087 0.663% 8,541,729
2088 0.635% 8,243,055
2089 0.623% 8,135,031
2090 0.604% 7,937,640
2091 0.578% 7,642,440
2092 0.562% 7,464,198
2093 0.545% 7,279,069
2094 0.527% 7,086,173
2095 0.509% 6,867,636
2096 0.5% 6,783,777
2097 0.476% 6,498,528
2098 0.46% 6,303,337
2099 0.443% 6,096,512
2100 0.43% 5,948,077

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Eastern Africa

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Eastern Africa.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Eastern Africa is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Eastern Africa's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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