Total Fertility Rate by Country in 2040

-5 year -1 year 2040 +1 year +5 year

In the year 2040, the world is projected to have a total fertility rate of 2.1267 (births per woman).

The country with the highest total fertility rate is projected to be 🇹🇩Chad with a rate of 4.5527 births per woman. Closely followed by 🇨🇩Democratic Republic of the Congo with a fertility rate of 4.3801 births per woman, and 🇸🇴Somalia with 4.3502 child born per woman.

The country with the lowest annual fertility rate is projected to be 🇲🇴China, Macao SAR with 0.8317 births per woman. Followed by 🇭🇰China, Hong Kong SAR with a fertility rate of 0.8822 births per woman, and 🇰🇷Republic of Korea with 0.9335 child born per woman.

The geographic region with the highest total fertility rate is projected to be Africa with a rate of 3.1474 births per woman. Closely followed by Oceania with a fertility rate of 2.0002 births per woman, and Asia with 1.7951 child born per woman.

When devided into sub-subregions we can see that Middle Africa had the highest total fertility rate of 4.0791 births per woman. Closely followed by Western Africa with a fertility rate of 3.2107 births per woman, and Eastern Africa with 3.1119 child born per woman.

If we devide the global population into income groups we can see that Low-income countries has the highest total fertility rate of 3.375 children born per woman. While the lowest total fertility rate is recorded by Upper-middle-income countries with a TFR of only 1.5182.

Similar Population Metrics for 2040

Countries with the Highest Total Fertility Rate in 2040

Rank	Country	Total Fertility Rate (births per woman)
1	🇹🇩Chad	4.5527
2	🇨🇩Democratic Republic of the Congo	4.3801
3	🇸🇴Somalia	4.3502
4	🇨🇫Central African Republic	4.1458
5	🇲🇱Mali	4.0511
6	🇳🇪Niger	3.9131
7	🇦🇴Angola	3.8049
8	🇾🇹Mayotte	3.668
9	🇹🇿United Republic of Tanzania	3.6264
10	🇲🇷Mauritania	3.6028
11	🇦🇫Afghanistan	3.5587
12	🇧🇯Benin	3.4829
13	🇲🇿Mozambique	3.467
14	🇧🇮Burundi	3.4279
15	🇨🇮Côte d'Ivoire	3.4277
16	🇹🇬Togo	3.3684
17	🇸🇩Sudan	3.3602
18	🇨🇲Cameroon	3.3496
19	🇨🇬Congo	3.3463
20	🇾🇪Yemen	3.2647
21	🇼🇸Samoa	3.1687
22	🇿🇲Zambia	3.1502
23	🇲🇬Madagascar	3.1243
24	🇸🇳Senegal	3.1147
25	🇳🇬Nigeria	3.0969
26	🇬🇶Equatorial Guinea	3.0769
27	🇰🇲Comoros	3.0733
28	🇬🇳Guinea	3.0704
29	🇻🇺Vanuatu	3.0514
30	🇿🇼Zimbabwe	2.9921
31	🇺🇬Uganda	2.9861
32	🇧🇫Burkina Faso	2.9568
33	🇱🇷Liberia	2.9424
34	🇷🇼Rwanda	2.9162
35	🇬🇦Gabon	2.9074
36	🇪🇹Ethiopia	2.9019
37	🇪🇷Eritrea	2.8968
38	🇸🇸South Sudan	2.8815
39	🇸🇧Solomon Islands	2.8776
40	🇬🇼Guinea-Bissau	2.8713
41	🇸🇹Sao Tome and Principe	2.8689
42	🇵🇰Pakistan	2.8679
43	🇺🇿Uzbekistan	2.8414
44	🇲🇼Malawi	2.8242
45	🇬🇫French Guiana	2.7899
46	🇬🇭Ghana	2.7826
47	🇸🇱Sierra Leone	2.7555
48	🇳🇷Nauru	2.7469
49	🇬🇲Gambia	2.7136
50	🇹🇻Tuvalu	2.6944
51	🇰🇮Kiribati	2.6906
52	🇮🇶Iraq	2.6636
53	🇳🇦Namibia	2.655
54	🇹🇴Tonga	2.6539
55	🇰🇪Kenya	2.6064
56	🇵🇸State of Palestine	2.5925
57	🇰🇿Kazakhstan	2.5796
58	🇵🇬Papua New Guinea	2.5633
59	🇹🇯Tajikistan	2.5548
60	🇮🇱Israel	2.4565
61	🇰🇬Kyrgyzstan	2.3985
62	🇪🇬Egypt	2.3853
63	🇫🇲Micronesia (Fed. States of)	2.3312
64	🇲🇭Marshall Islands	2.31
65	🇬🇺Guam	2.3085
66	🇱🇸Lesotho	2.2882
67	🇹🇲Turkmenistan	2.2721
68	🇸🇿Eswatini	2.2591
69	🇹🇰Tokelau	2.2587
70	🇧🇼Botswana	2.2323
71	🇸🇾Syrian Arab Republic	2.2248
72	🇭🇹Haiti	2.208
73	🇲🇫Saint Martin (French part)	2.1927
74	🇧🇴Bolivia (Plurinational State of)	2.1922
75	🇩🇯Djibouti	2.1898
76	🇰🇭Cambodia	2.1662
77	🇯🇴Jordan	2.1638
78	🇩🇿Algeria	2.1586
79	🇳🇺Niue	2.1403
80	🇲🇳Mongolia	2.1385
81	🇭🇳Honduras	2.1308
82	🇵🇾Paraguay	2.1279
83	🇬🇾Guyana	2.097
84	🇹🇱Timor-Leste	2.0535
85	🇫🇴Faroe Islands	2.0362
86	🇴🇲Oman	2.0313
87	🇫🇯Fiji	2.0274
88	🇱🇦Lao People's Democratic Republic	2.0072
89	🇲🇨Monaco	2.0017
90	🇦🇸American Samoa	1.9964
91	🇱🇧Lebanon	1.9852
92	🇿🇦South Africa	1.9835
93	🇸🇦Saudi Arabia	1.9813
94	🇸🇷Suriname	1.9771
95	🇲🇵Northern Mariana Islands	1.9727
96	🇬🇹Guatemala	1.9719
97	🇷🇪Réunion	1.9573
98	🇩🇴Dominican Republic	1.9425
99	🇲🇦Morocco	1.9417
100	🇳🇮Nicaragua	1.9384
101	🇬🇵Guadeloupe	1.9246
102	🇪🇭Western Sahara	1.924
103	🇵🇦Panama	1.915
104	🇮🇩Indonesia	1.9087
105	🇻🇪Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)	1.8994
106	🇱🇾Libya	1.8961
107	🇲🇲Myanmar	1.8945
108	🇻🇮United States Virgin Islands	1.8942
109	🇸🇨Seychelles	1.8818
110	🇧🇩Bangladesh	1.8745
111	🇲🇶Martinique	1.8593
112	🇬🇮Gibraltar	1.8333
113	🇧🇿Belize	1.8314
114	🇨🇰Cook Islands	1.825
115	🇬🇱Greenland	1.8174
116	🇳🇨New Caledonia	1.8164
117	🇱🇰Sri Lanka	1.8076
118	🇮🇳India	1.8036
119	🇵🇪Peru	1.794
120	🇳🇵Nepal	1.7751
121	🇻🇳Viet Nam	1.7692
122	🇵🇭Philippines	1.7656
123	🇲🇪Montenegro	1.7485
124	🇵🇼Palau	1.7392
125	🇲🇽Mexico	1.7324
126	🇬🇪Georgia	1.7174
127	🇹🇳Tunisia	1.7152
128	🇧🇬Bulgaria	1.7077
129	🇲🇩Republic of Moldova	1.7067
130	🇪🇨Ecuador	1.7052
131	🇦🇲Armenia	1.6968
132	🇷🇴Romania	1.6899
133	🇫🇰Falkland Islands (Malvinas)	1.6898
134	🇰🇵Dem. People's Republic of Korea	1.6875
135	🇧🇧Barbados	1.6847
136	🇧🇭Bahrain	1.6837
137	🇻🇨Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	1.6696
138	🇸🇻El Salvador	1.6682
139	🇫🇷France	1.643
140	🇦🇿Azerbaijan	1.6412
141	🇺🇸United States of America	1.6389
142	🇦🇺Australia	1.6362
143	🇸🇭Saint Helena	1.6309
144	🇧🇳Brunei Darussalam	1.63
145	🇶🇦Qatar	1.6291
146	🇮🇷Iran (Islamic Republic of)	1.6284
147	🇳🇿New Zealand	1.6159
148	🇦🇼Aruba	1.6146
149	🇹🇷Türkiye	1.6116
150	🇮🇪Ireland	1.6033
151	🇸🇮Slovenia	1.595
152	🇸🇰Slovakia	1.5945
153	🇧🇷Brazil	1.573
154	🇨🇴Colombia	1.5718
155	🇦🇬Antigua and Barbuda	1.5688
156	🇩🇰Denmark	1.5584
157	🇵🇹Portugal	1.5584
158	🇱🇮Liechtenstein	1.5499
159	🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina	1.5471
160	🇨🇿Czechia	1.5438
161	🇷🇸Serbia	1.541
162	🇭🇺Hungary	1.5379
163	🇬🇧United Kingdom	1.5314
164	🇦🇷Argentina	1.5249
165	🇮🇲Isle of Man	1.5214
166	🇲🇻Maldives	1.5212
167	🇷🇺Russian Federation	1.5169
168	🇩🇪Germany	1.5139
169	🇹🇹Trinidad and Tobago	1.5106
170	🇲🇾Malaysia	1.5094
171	🇰🇾Cayman Islands	1.5057
172	🇽🇰Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244)	1.5034
173	🇭🇷Croatia	1.5
174	🇸🇪Sweden	1.4976
175	🇲🇰North Macedonia	1.4949
176	🇨🇺Cuba	1.4945
177	🇨🇭Switzerland	1.4937
178	🇮🇸Iceland	1.4911
179	🇳🇱Netherlands	1.4911
180	🇰🇳Saint Kitts and Nevis	1.491
181	🇲🇸Montserrat	1.4875
182	🇰🇼Kuwait	1.4847
183	🇵🇫French Polynesia	1.4812
184	🇨🇻Cabo Verde	1.4803
185	🇳🇴Norway	1.4734
186	🇪🇪Estonia	1.4723
187	🇩🇲Dominica	1.4711
188	🇧🇶Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba	1.4595
189	🇧🇪Belgium	1.4594
190	🇬🇩Grenada	1.4593
191	🇱🇺Luxembourg	1.459
192	🇧🇲Bermuda	1.4507
193	🇯🇪Jersey	1.4493
194	🇹🇨Turks and Caicos Islands	1.4401
195	🇸🇽Sint Maarten (Dutch part)	1.4341
196	🇧🇹Bhutan	1.433
197	🇼🇫Wallis and Futuna Islands	1.4281
198	🇬🇬Guernsey	1.4161
199	🇺🇾Uruguay	1.4118
200	🇱🇻Latvia	1.4098
201	🇦🇹Austria	1.4058
202	🇨🇾Cyprus	1.3918
203	🇱🇨Saint Lucia	1.3885
204	🇬🇷Greece	1.3863
205	🇧🇸Bahamas	1.3862
206	🇫🇮Finland	1.3798
207	🇦🇮Anguilla	1.3751
208	🇵🇱Poland	1.3695
209	🇦🇱Albania	1.3677
210	🇯🇲Jamaica	1.3675
211	🇨🇦Canada	1.3581
212	🇨🇷Costa Rica	1.3482
213	🇵🇲Saint Pierre and Miquelon	1.3424
214	🇧🇾Belarus	1.331
215	🇪🇸Spain	1.3152
216	🇯🇵Japan	1.3126
217	🇱🇹Lithuania	1.3099
218	🇮🇹Italy	1.3034
219	🇦🇪United Arab Emirates	1.2821
220	🇲🇺Mauritius	1.2667
221	🇹🇭Thailand	1.2507
222	🇸🇲San Marino	1.2499
223	🇲🇹Malta	1.2087
224	🇦🇩Andorra	1.1925
225	🇨🇱Chile	1.191
226	🇨🇼Curaçao	1.1672
227	🇻🇬British Virgin Islands	1.1648
228	🇨🇳China	1.1309
229	🇺🇦Ukraine	1.0862
230	🇸🇬Singapore	1.0796
231	🇵🇷Puerto Rico	1.0546
232	🇹🇼China, Taiwan Province of China	0.9954
233	🇻🇦Holy See	0.9918
234	🇧🇱Saint Barthélemy	0.9887
235	🇰🇷Republic of Korea	0.9335
236	🇭🇰China, Hong Kong SAR	0.8822
237	🇲🇴China, Macao SAR	0.8317

Regions with the Highest Total Fertility Rate in 2040

Rank	Region	Total Fertility Rate (births per woman)
1	Africa	3.1474
2	Oceania	2.0002
3	Asia	1.7951
4	Latin America and the Caribbean	1.7054
5	Americas	1.6812
6	Northern America	1.6106
7	Europe	1.4791

Sub-regions with the Highest Total Fertility Rate in 2040

Rank	Sub-region	Total Fertility Rate (births per woman)
1	Middle Africa	4.0791
2	Western Africa	3.2107
3	Eastern Africa	3.1119
4	Central Asia	2.641
5	Melanesia	2.5572
6	Northern Africa	2.4729
7	Micronesia	2.4231
8	Polynesia	2.3934
9	Western Asia	2.2647
10	Southern Africa	2.0392
11	Southern Asia	2.0075
12	Caribbean	1.8475
13	South-Eastern Asia	1.7984
14	Central America	1.7941
15	South America	1.6423
16	Australia/New Zealand	1.6331
17	Western Europe	1.5486
18	Northern Europe	1.5164
19	Eastern Europe	1.4561
20	Southern Europe	1.3607
21	Eastern Asia	1.15

Income Groups with the Highest Total Fertility Rate in 2040

Rank	Income Group	Total Fertility Rate (births per woman)
1	Low-income countries	3.375
2	Low-and-Lower-middle-income countries	2.5129
3	Lower-middle-income countries	2.2628
4	Low-and-middle-income countries	2.201
5	Middle-income countries	1.9843
6	No income group available	1.8979
7	High-and-upper-middle-income countries	1.523
8	High-income countries	1.5214
9	Upper-middle-income countries	1.5182

How is Total Fertility Rate calculated?

A population's fertility rate is most commonly calculated as Total Total Fertility Rate or TFR for short. The Total Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is a standard demographic indicator that is used internationally to estimate the average number of children born per woman in a population. It is calculated by adding up all the age-specific fertility rates, multiplying this sum by X (the width of the age-group interval), and then dividing by 1,000.

Population Total Fertility Rate Formula

Total Total Fertility Rate = (Sum of ASFR x 5 ) / 1000

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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