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Population Growth Rate by Country in 2038

-5 year -1 year 2038 +1 year +5 year

In the year 2038, the world is projected to have a population growth rate of 0.639% and the global population will grow with a total of 57,905,834 people.

The country with the highest annual population growth rate is projected to be 🇻🇦Holy See with a rate of 3.1%. Closely followed by 🇨🇩Democratic Republic of the Congo with a population growth rate of 2.576%, and 🇦🇴Angola with 2.573% population growth.

The country with the lowest annual population growth rate is projected to be 🇸🇭Saint Helena with -1.287%. Followed by 🇨🇰Cook Islands with a population growth rate of -1.213%, and 🇵🇷Puerto Rico with -1.085% population decline.

The geographic region with the highest population growth rate is projected to be Africa with a rate of 1.841%. Closely followed by Oceania with a population growth rate of 0.831%, and Northern America with a 0.389% population growth.

When devided into sub-subregions we can see that Middle Africa had the highest population growth rate of 2.478%. Closely followed by Eastern Africa with a population growth rate of 2.015%, and Western Africa with a 1.81% population growth.

If we devide the global population into income groups we can see that Low-income countries has the highest population growth rate of 2.058%. While the lowest population growth rate was recorded by Upper-middle-income countries with a rate of only -0.032%.

Similar Population Metrics for 2038

Countries with the Highest Population Growth Rate in 2038

Rank Country Growth Rate Population Change +/-
1 🇻🇦Holy See 3.1% 17
2 🇨🇩Democratic Republic of the Congo 2.576% 4,226,183
3 🇦🇴Angola 2.573% 1,441,952
4 🇾🇹Mayotte 2.539% 12,262
5 🇨🇫Central African Republic 2.528% 205,127
6 🇸🇴Somalia 2.52% 717,089
7 🇳🇪Niger 2.465% 993,987
8 🇹🇩Chad 2.431% 725,721
9 🇲🇱Mali 2.43% 867,122
10 🇹🇿United Republic of Tanzania 2.42% 2,399,210
11 🇲🇿Mozambique 2.299% 1,145,417
12 🇲🇷Mauritania 2.261% 166,129
13 🇿🇲Zambia 2.171% 656,356
14 🇨🇮Côte d'Ivoire 2.164% 948,498
15 🇦🇫Afghanistan 2.157% 1,307,346
16 🇨🇲Cameroon 2.138% 865,227
17 🇨🇬Congo 2.132% 185,721
18 🇧🇮Burundi 2.13% 411,162
19 🇾🇪Yemen 2.024% 1,150,854
20 🇲🇼Malawi 2.021% 607,834
21 🇬🇶Equatorial Guinea 2.009% 51,532
22 🇧🇯Benin 2.008% 394,642
23 🇪🇹Ethiopia 1.979% 3,586,921
24 🇺🇬Uganda 1.968% 1,363,881
25 🇲🇬Madagascar 1.909% 824,381
26 🇸🇩Sudan 1.893% 1,308,201
27 🇪🇷Eritrea 1.885% 88,447
28 🇹🇬Togo 1.883% 238,003
29 🇻🇺Vanuatu 1.873% 8,151
30 🇸🇳Senegal 1.868% 464,521
31 🇬🇦Gabon 1.817% 60,523
32 🇷🇼Rwanda 1.771% 331,702
33 🇱🇷Liberia 1.764% 130,663
34 🇧🇫Burkina Faso 1.748% 543,714
35 🇸🇧Solomon Islands 1.73% 19,000
36 🇿🇼Zimbabwe 1.717% 369,354
37 🇬🇳Guinea 1.712% 333,613
38 🇮🇶Iraq 1.705% 1,025,386
39 🇸🇹Sao Tome and Principe 1.687% 5,156
40 🇵🇸State of Palestine 1.681% 118,492
41 🇬🇼Guinea-Bissau 1.665% 47,837
42 🇬🇲Gambia 1.663% 60,092
43 🇸🇸South Sudan 1.662% 259,199
44 🇬🇫French Guiana 1.656% 6,511
45 🇳🇬Nigeria 1.651% 4,998,289
46 🇰🇲Comoros 1.564% 17,186
47 🇵🇰Pakistan 1.552% 4,891,760
48 🇹🇯Tajikistan 1.528% 203,291
49 🇳🇦Namibia 1.509% 58,086
50 🇰🇪Kenya 1.495% 1,076,586
51 🇯🇴Jordan 1.494% 209,859
52 🇬🇭Ghana 1.455% 630,142
53 🇸🇱Sierra Leone 1.455% 161,030
54 🇮🇱Israel 1.301% 146,793
55 🇪🇬Egypt 1.29% 1,826,691
56 🇸🇾Syrian Arab Republic 1.288% 434,257
57 🇺🇿Uzbekistan 1.28% 574,404
58 🇵🇬Papua New Guinea 1.277% 166,649
59 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia 1.242% 516,166
60 🇴🇲Oman 1.229% 83,155
61 🇰🇾Cayman Islands 1.223% 1,124
62 🇹🇰Tokelau 1.194% 41
63 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 1.181% 157,903
64 🇭🇳Honduras 1.16% 152,959
65 🇹🇱Timor-Leste 1.151% 19,328
66 🇰🇮Kiribati 1.149% 1,850
67 🇳🇷Nauru 1.131% 155
68 🇰🇬Kyrgyzstan 1.118% 95,727
69 🇶🇦Qatar 1.117% 40,528
70 🇧🇼Botswana 1.107% 33,867
71 🇬🇹Guatemala 1.106% 245,074
72 🇼🇸Samoa 1.038% 2,513
73 🇲🇳Mongolia 1.035% 41,520
74 🇩🇯Djibouti 0.999% 13,765
75 🇧🇭Bahrain 0.994% 19,020
76 🇧🇴Bolivia (Plurinational State of) 0.972% 142,099
77 🇪🇭Western Sahara 0.963% 6,835
78 🇱🇸Lesotho 0.962% 26,039
79 🇰🇿Kazakhstan 0.942% 224,039
80 🇰🇼Kuwait 0.92% 52,676
81 🇹🇲Turkmenistan 0.897% 78,700
82 🇩🇿Algeria 0.869% 468,829
83 🇱🇾Libya 0.868% 73,834
84 🇳🇮Nicaragua 0.868% 69,934
85 🇱🇦Lao People's Democratic Republic 0.84% 75,768
86 🇭🇹Haiti 0.839% 113,360
87 🇲🇾Malaysia 0.832% 339,834
88 🇱🇧Lebanon 0.82% 53,458
89 🇵🇦Panama 0.815% 42,433
90 🇰🇭Cambodia 0.811% 164,003
91 🇵🇾Paraguay 0.809% 64,412
92 🇬🇮Gibraltar 0.784% 370
93 🇿🇦South Africa 0.759% 553,815
94 🇧🇿Belize 0.741% 3,592
95 🇧🇩Bangladesh 0.733% 1,463,969
96 🇸🇿Eswatini 0.723% 10,204
97 🇦🇺Australia 0.714% 213,734
98 🇳🇵Nepal 0.678% 220,159
99 🇪🇨Ecuador 0.62% 125,121
100 🇵🇪Peru 0.617% 236,380
101 🇸🇽Sint Maarten (Dutch part) 0.591% 291
102 🇱🇺Luxembourg 0.59% 4,447
103 🇵🇭Philippines 0.586% 750,916
104 🇳🇨New Caledonia 0.569% 1,845
105 🇸🇷Suriname 0.536% 3,752
106 🇮🇳India 0.532% 8,542,307
107 🇬🇾Guyana 0.483% 4,343
108 🇨🇦Canada 0.482% 210,010
109 🇲🇽Mexico 0.475% 681,515
110 🇲🇦Morocco 0.468% 195,527
111 🇲🇻Maldives 0.465% 2,601
112 🇧🇱Saint Barthélemy 0.462% 58
113 🇮🇩Indonesia 0.458% 1,416,942
114 🇩🇴Dominican Republic 0.458% 57,172
115 🇧🇳Brunei Darussalam 0.457% 2,296
116 🇬🇺Guam 0.457% 832
117 🇮🇪Ireland 0.456% 26,283
118 🇹🇻Tuvalu 0.442% 40
119 🇫🇲Micronesia (Fed. States of) 0.411% 496
120 🇧🇹Bhutan 0.408% 3,487
121 🇻🇪Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 0.398% 120,608
122 🇫🇴Faroe Islands 0.388% 235
123 🇺🇸United States of America 0.378% 1,388,711
124 🇳🇺Niue 0.37% 7
125 🇨🇴Colombia 0.368% 214,177
126 🇮🇷Iran (Islamic Republic of) 0.367% 362,681
127 🇹🇨Turks and Caicos Islands 0.359% 180
128 🇳🇿New Zealand 0.353% 19,706
129 🇻🇳Viet Nam 0.349% 375,492
130 🇨🇾Cyprus 0.338% 4,989
131 🇨🇻Cabo Verde 0.322% 1,785
132 🇦🇿Azerbaijan 0.317% 34,928
133 🇬🇧United Kingdom 0.303% 222,051
134 🇫🇯Fiji 0.287% 2,811
135 🇷🇪Réunion 0.278% 2,572
136 🇱🇰Sri Lanka 0.262% 63,944
137 🇮🇸Iceland 0.261% 1,117
138 🇱🇮Liechtenstein 0.26% 110
139 🇲🇵Northern Mariana Islands 0.255% 107
140 🇲🇲Myanmar 0.241% 139,863
141 🇦🇷Argentina 0.234% 111,607
142 🇹🇴Tonga 0.222% 227
143 🇧🇸Bahamas 0.214% 898
144 🇹🇳Tunisia 0.212% 27,353
145 🇸🇪Sweden 0.203% 22,403
146 🇸🇻El Salvador 0.193% 12,784
147 🇧🇶Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba 0.187% 65
148 🇳🇴Norway 0.178% 10,382
149 🇹🇷Türkiye 0.169% 152,914
150 🇨🇷Costa Rica 0.16% 8,550
151 🇸🇬Singapore 0.137% 8,499
152 🇻🇬British Virgin Islands 0.134% 55
153 🇫🇷France 0.112% 75,837
154 🇸🇲San Marino 0.109% 37
155 🇨🇭Switzerland 0.096% 8,847
156 🇧🇷Brazil 0.085% 187,053
157 🇳🇱Netherlands 0.078% 14,877
158 🇵🇫French Polynesia 0.076% 221
159 🇸🇨Seychelles 0.07% 100
160 🇨🇱Chile 0.069% 14,235
161 🇩🇰Denmark 0.051% 3,120
162 🇧🇪Belgium 0.05% 5,896
163 🇯🇪Jersey 0.047% 49
164 🇩🇲Dominica 0.019% 12
165 🇦🇬Antigua and Barbuda 0.017% 17
166 🇽🇰Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244) 0.016% 260
167 🇫🇰Falkland Islands (Malvinas) 0.0% 0
168 🇼🇫Wallis and Futuna Islands -0.085% -9
169 🇦🇮Anguilla -0.113% -17
170 🇬🇩Grenada -0.116% -135
171 🇲🇨Monaco -0.12% -44
172 🇬🇬Guernsey -0.122% -79
173 🇦🇩Andorra -0.123% -106
174 🇺🇾Uruguay -0.134% -4,496
175 🇦🇹Austria -0.162% -14,521
176 🇬🇪Georgia -0.168% -6,284
177 🇰🇵Dem. People's Republic of Korea -0.175% -46,517
178 🇲🇹Malta -0.202% -1,120
179 🇫🇮Finland -0.221% -12,141
180 🇷🇺Russian Federation -0.227% -315,052
181 🇪🇸Spain -0.238% -111,287
182 🇱🇨Saint Lucia -0.246% -443
183 🇵🇹Portugal -0.25% -25,376
184 🇸🇮Slovenia -0.252% -5,184
185 🇰🇳Saint Kitts and Nevis -0.264% -123
186 🇨🇼Curaçao -0.278% -505
187 🇩🇪Germany -0.28% -227,003
188 🇮🇲Isle of Man -0.296% -243
189 🇹🇭Thailand -0.298% -208,459
190 🇨🇿Czechia -0.309% -31,379
191 🇧🇧Barbados -0.313% -872
192 🇹🇹Trinidad and Tobago -0.347% -5,152
193 🇦🇼Aruba -0.356% -376
194 🇻🇨Saint Vincent and the Grenadines -0.386% -360
195 🇭🇺Hungary -0.417% -38,108
196 🇲🇫Saint Martin (French part) -0.42% -80
197 🇸🇰Slovakia -0.447% -23,443
198 🇨🇳China -0.457% -6,193,804
199 🇵🇼Palau -0.465% -78
200 🇬🇷Greece -0.472% -44,238
201 🇬🇱Greenland -0.492% -262
202 🇪🇪Estonia -0.494% -6,176
203 🇮🇹Italy -0.5% -278,822
204 🇧🇲Bermuda -0.506% -313
205 🇬🇵Guadeloupe -0.526% -1,856
206 🇲🇸Montserrat -0.531% -21
207 🇲🇺Mauritius -0.535% -6,472
208 🇰🇷Republic of Korea -0.568% -281,439
209 🇲🇴China, Macao SAR -0.592% -4,225
210 🇨🇺Cuba -0.602% -61,688
211 🇵🇱Poland -0.603% -214,947
212 🇯🇲Jamaica -0.603% -16,351
213 🇻🇮United States Virgin Islands -0.637% -488
214 🇯🇵Japan -0.652% -740,406
215 🇦🇲Armenia -0.658% -17,766
216 🇲🇶Martinique -0.664% -2,060
217 🇷🇴Romania -0.676% -117,983
218 🇲🇪Montenegro -0.681% -3,968
219 🇭🇷Croatia -0.683% -24,149
220 🇹🇼China, Taiwan Province of China -0.684% -147,547
221 🇦🇸American Samoa -0.684% -273
222 🇲🇰North Macedonia -0.74% -12,334
223 🇧🇾Belarus -0.751% -61,484
224 🇱🇻Latvia -0.783% -13,054
225 🇷🇸Serbia -0.788% -47,921
226 🇦🇱Albania -0.864% -21,658
227 🇺🇦Ukraine -0.869% -311,985
228 🇵🇲Saint Pierre and Miquelon -0.879% -43
229 🇱🇹Lithuania -0.892% -22,576
230 🇧🇬Bulgaria -0.904% -54,400
231 🇭🇰China, Hong Kong SAR -0.92% -63,552
232 🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina -0.945% -26,465
233 🇲🇭Marshall Islands -1.0% -271
234 🇲🇩Republic of Moldova -1.005% -26,321
235 🇵🇷Puerto Rico -1.085% -31,658
236 🇨🇰Cook Islands -1.213% -123
237 🇸🇭Saint Helena -1.287% -58

Regions with the Highest Population Growth Rate in 2038

Rank Region Growth Rate Population Change +/-
1 Africa 1.841% 37,213,384
2 Oceania 0.831% 437,631
3 Northern America 0.389% 1,598,103
4 Americas 0.364% 4,091,793
5 Latin America and the Caribbean 0.35% 2,493,690
6 Asia 0.347% 17,860,255
7 Europe -0.234% -1,697,229

Sub-regions with the Highest Population Growth Rate in 2038

Rank Sub-Region Growth Rate Population Change +/-
1 Middle Africa 2.478% 7,767,142
2 Eastern Africa 2.015% 13,876,952
3 Western Africa 1.81% 10,980,009
4 Melanesia 1.249% 198,456
5 Northern Africa 1.189% 3,907,270
6 Central Asia 1.184% 1,176,161
7 Western Asia 1.122% 4,177,328
8 Southern Africa 0.812% 682,011
9 Southern Asia 0.721% 16,858,254
10 Australia/New Zealand 0.657% 233,440
11 Central America 0.595% 1,216,841
12 Micronesia 0.549% 3,091
13 South-Eastern Asia 0.411% 3,084,482
14 Polynesia 0.373% 2,644
15 South America 0.265% 1,225,802
16 Northern Europe 0.203% 231,371
17 Caribbean 0.111% 51,047
18 Western Europe -0.066% -131,554
19 Southern Europe -0.419% -601,944
20 Eastern Europe -0.444% -1,195,102
21 Eastern Asia -0.471% -7,435,970

Income Groups with the Highest Population Growth Rate in 2038

Rank Income Group Growth Rate Population Change +/-
1 Low-income countries 2.058% 21,689,653
2 Low-and-Lower-middle-income countries 1.181% 57,829,390
3 Lower-middle-income countries 0.941% 36,139,737
4 Low-and-middle-income countries 0.735% 56,927,708
5 Middle-income countries 0.527% 35,238,055
6 No income group available 0.41% 127,345
7 High-income countries 0.066% 852,637
8 High-and-upper-middle-income countries -0.001% -49,045
9 Upper-middle-income countries -0.032% -901,682

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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