๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡น Population Growth Rate of Guatemala

The current population growth rate of Guatemala is 1.534%. A -0.97% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 1.549%. In the future, Guatemala's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -0.345%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Guatemala by -122.49% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Guatemala (1950-2024)

Guatemala has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.514% 77,872
1951 2.596% 82,466
1952 2.64% 86,104
1953 2.634% 88,212
1954 2.686% 92,373
1955 2.718% 96,035
1956 2.746% 99,716
1957 2.77% 103,406
1958 2.741% 105,160
1959 2.883% 113,777
1960 2.967% 120,543
1961 2.975% 124,550
1962 2.949% 127,137
1963 2.912% 129,301
1964 2.896% 132,389
1965 2.876% 135,322
1966 2.823% 136,664
1967 2.795% 139,144
1968 2.723% 139,355
1969 2.636% 138,584
1970 2.616% 141,185
1971 2.557% 141,595
1972 2.593% 147,361
1973 2.576% 150,234
1974 2.49% 148,898
1975 2.385% 146,170
1976 1.935% 121,177
1977 2.453% 157,043
1978 2.484% 162,996
1979 2.52% 169,531
1980 2.541% 175,299
1981 2.481% 175,571
1982 2.122% 153,616
1983 2.766% 205,187
1984 2.843% 216,893
1985 2.817% 221,128
1986 2.74% 221,122
1987 2.775% 230,211
1988 2.825% 241,018
1989 2.802% 245,876
1990 2.799% 252,578
1991 2.621% 243,043
1992 2.692% 256,322
1993 2.645% 258,665
1994 2.681% 269,249
1995 2.611% 269,308
1996 2.568% 271,753
1997 2.549% 276,703
1998 2.568% 286,078
1999 2.465% 281,562
2000 2.289% 267,692
2001 2.306% 275,968
2002 2.278% 279,019
2003 2.226% 278,833
2004 2.22% 284,288
2005 2.11% 276,165
2006 2.121% 283,495
2007 2.093% 285,668
2008 2.014% 280,600
2009 1.972% 280,274
2010 1.991% 288,729
2011 1.996% 295,297
2012 1.986% 299,745
2013 1.921% 295,637
2014 1.869% 293,138
2015 1.796% 286,898
2016 1.888% 307,136
2017 1.751% 290,058
2018 1.583% 266,598
2019 1.46% 249,637
2020 1.483% 257,409
2021 1.28% 225,241
2022 1.531% 273,212
2023 1.549% 280,709
2024 1.534% 282,334

Future Population Growth Rate of Guatemala (2024-2100)

Guatemala's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 1.549% all the way down to -0.345% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 1.534% 282,334
2025 1.502% 280,711
2026 1.473% 279,482
2027 1.437% 276,577
2028 1.406% 274,419
2029 1.379% 272,928
2030 1.352% 271,220
2031 1.323% 269,033
2032 1.296% 266,976
2033 1.267% 264,435
2034 1.238% 261,732
2035 1.208% 258,396
2036 1.172% 253,816
2037 1.139% 249,419
2038 1.106% 245,074
2039 1.066% 238,681
2040 1.029% 232,890
2041 0.993% 226,897
2042 0.959% 221,265
2043 0.925% 215,526
2044 0.893% 210,031
2045 0.861% 204,109
2046 0.83% 198,624
2047 0.796% 191,947
2048 0.773% 187,872
2049 0.747% 182,855
2050 0.717% 176,832
2051 0.693% 172,120
2052 0.668% 167,015
2053 0.642% 161,705
2054 0.611% 154,809
2055 0.584% 148,917
2056 0.558% 143,002
2057 0.533% 137,327
2058 0.503% 130,380
2059 0.475% 123,788
2060 0.449% 117,368
2061 0.42% 110,366
2062 0.395% 104,101
2063 0.371% 98,270
2064 0.344% 91,431
2065 0.314% 83,720
2066 0.289% 77,244
2067 0.261% 69,921
2068 0.234% 62,914
2069 0.204% 54,892
2070 0.173% 46,782
2071 0.149% 40,350
2072 0.122% 33,136
2073 0.096% 25,972
2074 0.069% 18,764
2075 0.047% 12,846
2076 0.027% 7,268
2077 0.004% 1,157
2078 -0.021% -5,819
2079 -0.046% -12,428
2080 -0.066% -17,909
2081 -0.087% -23,492
2082 -0.11% -29,736
2083 -0.127% -34,289
2084 -0.146% -39,524
2085 -0.164% -44,168
2086 -0.184% -49,634
2087 -0.199% -53,586
2088 -0.212% -56,892
2089 -0.225% -60,183
2090 -0.24% -64,146
2091 -0.255% -67,853
2092 -0.268% -71,263
2093 -0.279% -73,793
2094 -0.29% -76,527
2095 -0.299% -78,855
2096 -0.309% -81,248
2097 -0.32% -83,823
2098 -0.327% -85,319
2099 -0.337% -87,508
2100 -0.345% -89,504

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Guatemala

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Guatemala.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Guatemala is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Guatemala's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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