๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡น Population Growth Rate of Guatemala

The current population growth rate of Guatemala is 1.52%. A 8.34% increase from 2023, when the population growth rate only was 1.403%. In the future, Guatemala's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -0.336%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Guatemala by -122.11% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Guatemala (1950-2024)

Guatemala has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.685% 83,214
1951 2.786% 88,757
1952 2.801% 91,760
1953 2.761% 92,987
1954 2.771% 95,945
1955 2.77% 98,628
1956 2.79% 102,107
1957 2.806% 105,637
1958 2.757% 106,697
1959 2.877% 114,519
1960 2.92% 119,678
1961 2.947% 124,351
1962 2.935% 127,560
1963 2.932% 131,227
1964 2.915% 134,337
1965 2.9% 137,590
1966 2.838% 138,572
1967 2.819% 141,574
1968 2.769% 143,013
1969 2.708% 143,758
1970 2.679% 146,070
1971 2.574% 144,111
1972 2.585% 148,502
1973 2.587% 152,490
1974 2.54% 153,644
1975 2.475% 153,487
1976 2.026% 128,499
1977 2.472% 160,354
1978 2.45% 162,880
1979 2.48% 169,014
1980 2.534% 177,086
1981 2.49% 178,385
1982 2.13% 156,190
1983 2.694% 202,327
1984 2.74% 211,519
1985 2.709% 214,908
1986 2.664% 217,093
1987 2.692% 225,254
1988 2.747% 236,249
1989 2.745% 242,606
1990 2.729% 247,878
1991 2.591% 241,675
1992 2.636% 252,473
1993 2.624% 258,002
1994 2.656% 268,104
1995 2.589% 268,234
1996 2.541% 270,172
1997 2.531% 276,004
1998 2.515% 281,299
1999 2.422% 277,645
2000 2.276% 267,134
2001 2.327% 279,466
2002 2.294% 281,858
2003 2.223% 279,437
2004 2.213% 284,429
2005 2.104% 276,326
2006 2.109% 282,857
2007 2.085% 285,545
2008 2.004% 280,144
2009 1.962% 279,776
2010 1.978% 287,644
2011 1.975% 293,021
2012 1.961% 296,684
2013 1.894% 292,027
2014 1.846% 290,130
2015 1.779% 284,604
2016 1.812% 295,189
2017 1.69% 280,250
2018 1.559% 262,655
2019 1.46% 249,669
2020 1.515% 263,093
2021 1.297% 228,437
2022 1.359% 242,412
2023 1.403% 253,824
2024 1.52% 278,984

Future Population Growth Rate of Guatemala (2024-2100)

Guatemala's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 1.403% all the way down to -0.336% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 1.52% 278,984
2025 1.488% 277,219
2026 1.467% 277,394
2027 1.427% 273,925
2028 1.397% 271,882
2029 1.373% 271,002
2030 1.343% 268,587
2031 1.317% 266,993
2032 1.29% 265,027
2033 1.258% 261,628
2034 1.235% 260,159
2035 1.203% 256,427
2036 1.17% 252,356
2037 1.135% 247,780
2038 1.11% 244,993
2039 1.076% 240,038
2040 1.037% 233,822
2041 1.002% 228,216
2042 0.966% 222,134
2043 0.932% 216,346
2044 0.896% 210,121
2045 0.865% 204,502
2046 0.835% 199,063
2047 0.804% 193,397
2048 0.776% 187,987
2049 0.748% 182,742
2050 0.724% 178,129
2051 0.695% 172,294
2052 0.675% 168,351
2053 0.65% 163,120
2054 0.621% 157,013
2055 0.598% 152,113
2056 0.569% 145,518
2057 0.54% 138,982
2058 0.52% 134,367
2059 0.495% 128,634
2060 0.47% 122,847
2061 0.439% 115,233
2062 0.418% 110,009
2063 0.392% 103,616
2064 0.365% 96,940
2065 0.336% 89,515
2066 0.312% 83,358
2067 0.289% 77,362
2068 0.261% 70,095
2069 0.236% 63,636
2070 0.212% 57,228
2071 0.184% 49,698
2072 0.159% 43,182
2073 0.134% 36,248
2074 0.108% 29,427
2075 0.084% 22,750
2076 0.061% 16,641
2077 0.04% 10,783
2078 0.017% 4,631
2079 -0.004% -1,129
2080 -0.025% -6,843
2081 -0.046% -12,455
2082 -0.068% -18,617
2083 -0.086% -23,351
2084 -0.107% -29,119
2085 -0.128% -34,725
2086 -0.148% -40,209
2087 -0.164% -44,384
2088 -0.181% -48,855
2089 -0.197% -53,106
2090 -0.211% -56,905
2091 -0.229% -61,592
2092 -0.241% -64,470
2093 -0.257% -68,659
2094 -0.27% -71,968
2095 -0.281% -74,649
2096 -0.298% -78,965
2097 -0.305% -80,698
2098 -0.316% -83,165
2099 -0.323% -84,830
2100 -0.336% -87,900

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Guatemala

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Guatemala.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Guatemala is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Guatemala's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

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