๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Population Growth Rate of Guernsey

The current population growth rate of Guernsey is 0.375%. A -3.85% decrease from 2022, when the population growth rate was 0.39%. In the future, Guernsey's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -0.39%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Guernsey by -204.0% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Guernsey (1950-2023)

Guernsey has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 0.581% 258
1951 -0.922% -409
1952 0.249% 110
1953 0.397% 176
1954 0.507% 226
1955 0.614% 275
1956 0.738% 333
1957 0.762% 346
1958 0.899% 412
1959 0.956% 442
1960 1.034% 483
1961 0.912% 430
1962 0.964% 459
1963 1.05% 505
1964 1.207% 587
1965 1.251% 616
1966 1.345% 671
1967 1.416% 716
1968 1.388% 712
1969 1.297% 674
1970 1.305% 687
1971 0.356% 189
1972 0.049% 26
1973 0.068% 36
1974 0.068% 36
1975 -0.017% -9
1976 -0.047% -25
1977 -0.169% -90
1978 -0.194% -103
1979 -0.247% -131
1980 -0.257% -136
1981 0.489% 259
1982 0.768% 409
1983 0.77% 413
1984 0.854% 462
1985 0.885% 483
1986 1.011% 557
1987 1.133% 631
1988 1.179% 664
1989 1.221% 696
1990 1.252% 723
1991 0.335% 195
1992 0.015% 9
1993 0.007% 4
1994 -0.033% -19
1995 -0.031% -18
1996 0.295% 172
1997 0.337% 197
1998 0.324% 190
1999 0.345% 203
2000 0.311% 184
2001 0.277% 164
2002 0.252% 150
2003 0.206% 123
2004 0.244% 146
2005 0.246% 147
2006 0.285% 171
2007 0.294% 177
2008 0.321% 194
2009 0.355% 215
2010 0.291% 177
2011 0.361% 220
2012 0.353% 216
2013 0.266% 163
2014 0.229% 141
2015 0.062% 38
2016 -0.201% -124
2017 0.248% 153
2018 0.674% 417
2019 0.869% 542
2020 0.503% 316
2021 0.358% 226
2022 0.39% 247
2023 0.375% 238

Future Population Growth Rate of Guernsey (2023-2100)

Guernsey's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 0.39% all the way down to -0.39% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2023 0.375% 238
2024 0.393% 251
2025 0.353% 226
2026 0.384% 247
2027 0.349% 225
2028 0.317% 205
2029 0.347% 225
2030 0.304% 198
2031 0.286% 187
2032 0.282% 185
2033 0.251% 165
2034 0.24% 158
2035 0.211% 139
2036 0.197% 130
2037 0.177% 117
2038 0.158% 105
2039 0.119% 79
2040 0.108% 72
2041 0.074% 49
2042 0.056% 37
2043 0.048% 32
2044 0.016% 11
2045 -0.007% -5
2046 -0.025% -17
2047 -0.053% -35
2048 -0.083% -55
2049 -0.087% -58
2050 -0.12% -80
2051 -0.167% -111
2052 -0.158% -105
2053 -0.168% -111
2054 -0.209% -138
2055 -0.202% -133
2056 -0.228% -150
2057 -0.244% -160
2058 -0.241% -158
2059 -0.25% -163
2060 -0.261% -170
2061 -0.272% -177
2062 -0.264% -171
2063 -0.282% -182
2064 -0.289% -186
2065 -0.302% -194
2066 -0.284% -182
2067 -0.301% -192
2068 -0.298% -190
2069 -0.293% -186
2070 -0.329% -208
2071 -0.301% -190
2072 -0.308% -194
2073 -0.327% -205
2074 -0.339% -212
2075 -0.347% -216
2076 -0.348% -216
2077 -0.349% -216
2078 -0.37% -228
2079 -0.388% -238
2080 -0.368% -225
2081 -0.379% -231
2082 -0.417% -253
2083 -0.377% -228
2084 -0.415% -250
2085 -0.389% -233
2086 -0.437% -261
2087 -0.415% -247
2088 -0.407% -241
2089 -0.42% -248
2090 -0.426% -250
2091 -0.414% -242
2092 -0.405% -236
2093 -0.402% -233
2094 -0.402% -232
2095 -0.396% -228
2096 -0.405% -232
2097 -0.385% -220
2098 -0.39% -222
2099 -0.351% -199
2100 -0.39% -220

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Guernsey

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Guernsey.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Guernsey is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Guernsey's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

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