๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Population Growth Rate of Japan

The current population growth rate of Japan is -0.514%. A 6.64% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was -0.482%. In the future, Japan's population growth rate is projected to increase to -0.501%, by the year 2100. A total increase of the population growth rate of Japan by -2.53% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Japan (1950-2024)

Japan has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.728% 1,493,471
1951 1.502% 1,319,828
1952 1.403% 1,250,583
1953 1.248% 1,127,522
1954 1.137% 1,039,454
1955 1.078% 996,156
1956 0.897% 836,903
1957 0.741% 697,035
1958 0.821% 778,925
1959 0.809% 773,118
1960 0.81% 780,433
1961 0.88% 855,247
1962 0.879% 862,377
1963 0.911% 901,274
1964 0.964% 962,620
1965 1.079% 1,089,063
1966 0.839% 854,568
1967 1.263% 1,300,817
1968 1.193% 1,243,070
1969 1.168% 1,232,327
1970 1.164% 1,242,070
1971 1.146% 1,237,253
1972 1.224% 1,336,598
1973 1.279% 1,414,965
1974 1.228% 1,374,950
1975 1.101% 1,248,054
1976 0.974% 1,115,145
1977 0.889% 1,027,818
1978 0.839% 977,517
1979 0.776% 911,706
1980 0.644% 762,694
1981 0.427% 507,901
1982 0.398% 475,542
1983 0.376% 450,801
1984 0.349% 420,094
1985 0.393% 475,445
1986 0.489% 593,697
1987 0.459% 560,008
1988 0.414% 506,723
1989 0.353% 434,198
1990 0.381% 470,505
1991 0.411% 509,707
1992 0.384% 477,967
1993 0.348% 434,534
1994 0.367% 459,271
1995 0.249% 312,338
1996 0.233% 292,936
1997 0.228% 288,318
1998 0.22% 278,186
1999 0.179% 226,580
2000 0.178% 225,870
2001 0.188% 238,848
2002 0.165% 210,052
2003 0.128% 163,255
2004 0.098% 125,790
2005 0.054% 69,323
2006 0.077% 98,511
2007 0.064% 82,358
2008 0.042% 54,258
2009 0.015% 18,701
2010 -0.026% -33,090
2011 -0.113% -144,595
2012 -0.15% -191,700
2013 -0.17% -217,579
2014 -0.201% -256,503
2015 -0.13% -164,961
2016 -0.053% -66,882
2017 -0.097% -123,640
2018 -0.141% -178,875
2019 -0.197% -249,143
2020 -0.428% -540,618
2021 -0.565% -709,792
2022 -0.523% -653,728
2023 -0.482% -599,535
2024 -0.514% -636,276

Future Population Growth Rate of Japan (2024-2100)

Japan's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of -0.482% all the way down to -0.501% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 -0.514% -636,276
2025 -0.538% -662,848
2026 -0.562% -688,648
2027 -0.577% -702,133
2028 -0.59% -713,852
2029 -0.597% -718,666
2030 -0.61% -729,269
2031 -0.618% -734,804
2032 -0.627% -741,085
2033 -0.632% -742,248
2034 -0.642% -749,198
2035 -0.649% -752,006
2036 -0.651% -749,161
2037 -0.653% -747,168
2038 -0.652% -740,406
2039 -0.653% -737,759
2040 -0.655% -734,697
2041 -0.661% -737,024
2042 -0.653% -723,147
2043 -0.652% -716,806
2044 -0.649% -708,899
2045 -0.651% -706,169
2046 -0.646% -696,659
2047 -0.643% -688,562
2048 -0.637% -678,720
2049 -0.639% -676,250
2050 -0.638% -671,103
2051 -0.642% -670,315
2052 -0.654% -678,342
2053 -0.656% -676,143
2054 -0.678% -694,262
2055 -0.683% -694,404
2056 -0.704% -710,816
2057 -0.715% -717,187
2058 -0.728% -725,312
2059 -0.753% -743,896
2060 -0.762% -747,441
2061 -0.772% -751,704
2062 -0.782% -755,409
2063 -0.79% -757,233
2064 -0.798% -758,589
2065 -0.811% -764,780
2066 -0.808% -756,326
2067 -0.804% -746,106
2068 -0.807% -743,121
2069 -0.796% -726,847
2070 -0.789% -715,224
2071 -0.763% -685,638
2072 -0.745% -665,106
2073 -0.728% -644,869
2074 -0.697% -613,089
2075 -0.67% -585,221
2076 -0.644% -559,148
2077 -0.622% -536,772
2078 -0.596% -511,081
2079 -0.573% -487,856
2080 -0.556% -470,827
2081 -0.533% -449,327
2082 -0.521% -436,656
2083 -0.505% -421,273
2084 -0.499% -413,844
2085 -0.491% -405,350
2086 -0.482% -396,430
2087 -0.473% -386,976
2088 -0.469% -381,437
2089 -0.469% -380,123
2090 -0.468% -377,486
2091 -0.468% -375,852
2092 -0.476% -380,204
2093 -0.475% -378,024
2094 -0.474% -375,370
2095 -0.479% -376,922
2096 -0.486% -380,533
2097 -0.482% -376,220
2098 -0.489% -379,280
2099 -0.498% -384,757
2100 -0.501% -384,998

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Japan

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Japan.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Japan is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Japan's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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