๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ช Population Growth Rate of Jersey

The current population growth rate of Jersey is 0.153%. A -13.56% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 0.177%. In the future, Jersey's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -0.014%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Jersey by -109.15% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Jersey (1950-2024)

Jersey has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.881% 1,074
1951 1.272% 738
1952 1.124% 660
1953 1.071% 636
1954 1.052% 631
1955 0.967% 586
1956 0.924% 565
1957 0.965% 596
1958 1.012% 631
1959 1.003% 632
1960 1.01% 643
1961 1.036% 666
1962 1.014% 659
1963 1.003% 658
1964 0.978% 648
1965 0.937% 627
1966 0.924% 624
1967 0.861% 587
1968 0.734% 504
1969 0.697% 482
1970 0.673% 469
1971 1.456% 1,025
1972 1.584% 1,132
1973 1.433% 1,040
1974 1.314% 967
1975 1.216% 906
1976 0.625% 470
1977 0.415% 314
1978 0.395% 300
1979 0.43% 328
1980 0.423% 324
1981 0.919% 708
1982 1.07% 833
1983 1.082% 851
1984 1.077% 856
1985 1.066% 857
1986 0.921% 748
1987 0.844% 691
1988 0.852% 704
1989 0.889% 741
1990 1.193% 1,004
1991 0.475% 403
1992 0.309% 263
1993 0.291% 249
1994 0.231% 198
1995 0.161% 138
1996 0.554% 477
1997 0.564% 489
1998 0.512% 446
1999 0.41% 359
2000 0.297% 261
2001 0.944% 834
2002 1.102% 984
2003 1.087% 981
2004 1.079% 985
2005 1.07% 987
2006 1.043% 972
2007 1.047% 986
2008 1.009% 960
2009 1.009% 970
2010 0.983% 955
2011 0.907% 889
2012 0.884% 874
2013 0.815% 813
2014 0.809% 814
2015 0.478% 484
2016 0.457% 465
2017 0.394% 402
2018 0.375% 384
2019 0.285% 293
2020 0.246% 254
2021 0.136% 141
2022 0.179% 185
2023 0.177% 183
2024 0.153% 159

Future Population Growth Rate of Jersey (2024-2100)

Jersey's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 0.177% all the way down to -0.014% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 0.153% 159
2025 0.122% 127
2026 0.103% 107
2027 0.107% 111
2028 0.1% 104
2029 0.092% 96
2030 0.092% 96
2031 0.081% 85
2032 0.092% 96
2033 0.086% 90
2034 0.078% 82
2035 0.062% 65
2036 0.042% 44
2037 0.063% 66
2038 0.047% 49
2039 0.02% 21
2040 0.048% 51
2041 0.008% 8
2042 0.018% 19
2043 -0.006% -6
2044 -0.026% -27
2045 -0.038% -40
2046 -0.044% -46
2047 -0.077% -81
2048 -0.07% -74
2049 -0.124% -130
2050 -0.136% -143
2051 -0.155% -162
2052 -0.169% -177
2053 -0.184% -192
2054 -0.199% -207
2055 -0.211% -219
2056 -0.233% -241
2057 -0.222% -230
2058 -0.227% -234
2059 -0.225% -232
2060 -0.218% -224
2061 -0.215% -220
2062 -0.2% -205
2063 -0.18% -184
2064 -0.188% -192
2065 -0.184% -187
2066 -0.15% -152
2067 -0.146% -148
2068 -0.122% -123
2069 -0.119% -120
2070 -0.127% -128
2071 -0.122% -123
2072 -0.102% -103
2073 -0.11% -111
2074 -0.094% -94
2075 -0.067% -67
2076 -0.057% -57
2077 -0.084% -84
2078 -0.066% -66
2079 -0.046% -46
2080 -0.042% -42
2081 -0.014% -14
2082 -0.017% -17
2083 -0.017% -17
2084 -0.034% -34
2085 -0.036% -36
2086 -0.024% -24
2087 -0.006% -6
2088 0.022% 22
2089 -0.003% -3
2090 -0.009% -9
2091 -0.007% -7
2092 -0.015% -15
2093 -0.006% -6
2094 -0.028% -28
2095 0.001% 1
2096 -0.028% -28
2097 -0.034% -34
2098 -0.022% -22
2099 -0.031% -31
2100 -0.014% -14

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Jersey

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Jersey.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Jersey is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Jersey's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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