๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ช Population Growth Rate of Kenya

The current population growth rate of Kenya is 1.982%. A 0.1% increase from 2023, when the population growth rate only was 1.98%. In the future, Kenya's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.105%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Kenya by -94.7% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Kenya (1950-2024)

Kenya has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.161% 124,752
1951 2.349% 138,695
1952 2.434% 147,217
1953 2.567% 159,225
1954 2.814% 179,257
1955 2.99% 196,101
1956 3.165% 214,040
1957 3.338% 233,238
1958 3.302% 238,518
1959 3.559% 266,070
1960 3.681% 285,295
1961 3.813% 306,776
1962 3.892% 325,440
1963 3.931% 341,803
1964 3.964% 358,571
1965 4.047% 381,069
1966 3.976% 389,729
1967 3.992% 407,196
1968 3.943% 418,421
1969 3.922% 432,928
1970 3.784% 434,145
1971 3.502% 416,593
1972 3.508% 432,299
1973 3.47% 442,706
1974 3.366% 444,381
1975 3.308% 451,539
1976 3.185% 449,180
1977 3.437% 500,977
1978 3.441% 519,176
1979 3.503% 547,205
1980 3.619% 585,817
1981 3.645% 611,858
1982 3.672% 639,200
1983 3.746% 676,739
1984 3.683% 690,692
1985 3.636% 707,278
1986 3.523% 710,159
1987 3.507% 732,271
1988 3.495% 755,783
1989 3.429% 767,580
1990 3.374% 781,353
1991 3.055% 730,579
1992 3.019% 744,396
1993 2.867% 727,818
1994 2.893% 756,009
1995 2.728% 733,199
1996 2.686% 741,579
1997 2.664% 755,476
1998 2.714% 790,742
1999 2.886% 864,770
2000 2.944% 908,184
2001 3.111% 989,291
2002 2.958% 969,667
2003 2.976% 1,004,931
2004 3.002% 1,044,498
2005 2.952% 1,057,850
2006 2.997% 1,106,637
2007 2.935% 1,116,443
2008 3.021% 1,183,759
2009 2.902% 1,171,341
2010 2.735% 1,135,561
2011 2.578% 1,098,936
2012 2.476% 1,082,389
2013 2.346% 1,050,734
2014 2.244% 1,028,257
2015 2.158% 1,010,993
2016 2.245% 1,075,370
2017 2.108% 1,031,564
2018 1.959% 978,770
2019 1.997% 1,017,522
2020 2.022% 1,051,138
2021 1.865% 988,530
2022 1.953% 1,055,216
2023 1.98% 1,090,983
2024 1.982% 1,113,904

Future Population Growth Rate of Kenya (2024-2100)

Kenya's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 1.98% all the way down to 0.105% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 1.982% 1,113,904
2025 1.968% 1,127,896
2026 1.948% 1,139,000
2027 1.938% 1,155,106
2028 1.912% 1,161,878
2029 1.893% 1,172,003
2030 1.864% 1,176,153
2031 1.843% 1,184,896
2032 1.813% 1,186,692
2033 1.777% 1,184,676
2034 1.744% 1,182,819
2035 1.704% 1,175,752
2036 1.652% 1,159,184
2037 1.617% 1,153,303
2038 1.585% 1,148,638
2039 1.539% 1,132,872
2040 1.491% 1,114,257
2041 1.454% 1,103,441
2042 1.41% 1,085,238
2043 1.374% 1,072,135
2044 1.336% 1,057,100
2045 1.306% 1,047,159
2046 1.268% 1,029,650
2047 1.24% 1,019,395
2048 1.204% 1,001,690
2049 1.18% 993,484
2050 1.144% 974,680
2051 1.117% 962,905
2052 1.09% 949,904
2053 1.062% 935,284
2054 1.039% 924,475
2055 1.021% 918,035
2056 0.995% 904,042
2057 0.972% 891,261
2058 0.948% 878,006
2059 0.918% 857,923
2060 0.889% 838,799
2061 0.857% 815,789
2062 0.837% 803,650
2063 0.809% 782,664
2064 0.787% 767,455
2065 0.753% 739,733
2066 0.736% 729,151
2067 0.702% 700,597
2068 0.682% 685,081
2069 0.657% 664,269
2070 0.63% 641,008
2071 0.603% 617,503
2072 0.578% 595,853
2073 0.559% 579,368
2074 0.536% 558,323
2075 0.509% 532,547
2076 0.489% 514,948
2077 0.466% 493,113
2078 0.452% 480,131
2079 0.428% 456,654
2080 0.41% 439,656
2081 0.395% 425,103
2082 0.378% 408,093
2083 0.361% 390,731
2084 0.346% 375,821
2085 0.329% 358,928
2086 0.307% 336,125
2087 0.292% 320,580
2088 0.276% 303,696
2089 0.26% 286,723
2090 0.242% 267,394
2091 0.221% 245,286
2092 0.205% 228,054
2093 0.192% 213,944
2094 0.171% 191,379
2095 0.158% 177,022
2096 0.142% 159,255
2097 0.136% 152,354
2098 0.124% 139,473
2099 0.115% 129,086
2100 0.105% 117,650

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Kenya

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Kenya.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Kenya is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Kenya's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

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