๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ช Population Growth Rate of Kenya

The current population growth rate of Kenya is 1.944%. A -1.42% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 1.972%. In the future, Kenya's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -0.038%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Kenya by -101.95% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Kenya (1950-2024)

Kenya has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.994% 115,021
1951 2.27% 133,761
1952 2.415% 145,677
1953 2.515% 155,515
1954 2.725% 172,986
1955 2.9% 189,325
1956 3.084% 207,462
1957 3.267% 226,894
1958 3.247% 232,948
1959 3.543% 262,964
1960 3.667% 282,160
1961 3.791% 302,765
1962 3.86% 320,313
1963 3.907% 337,012
1964 3.947% 354,117
1965 4.016% 374,969
1966 3.957% 384,506
1967 3.976% 401,975
1968 3.932% 413,557
1969 3.915% 428,188
1970 3.783% 430,005
1971 3.48% 410,220
1972 3.475% 424,093
1973 3.431% 433,456
1974 3.344% 437,030
1975 3.302% 446,155
1976 3.194% 445,750
1977 3.442% 496,642
1978 3.442% 513,971
1979 3.487% 539,110
1980 3.599% 576,476
1981 3.552% 589,621
1982 3.602% 619,714
1983 3.702% 660,683
1984 3.654% 676,382
1985 3.632% 697,341
1986 3.53% 702,416
1987 3.524% 726,485
1988 3.53% 753,760
1989 3.485% 770,670
1990 3.398% 777,765
1991 3.087% 729,959
1992 3.043% 741,933
1993 2.897% 727,524
1994 2.91% 752,360
1995 2.77% 736,883
1996 2.736% 748,036
1997 2.73% 767,077
1998 2.789% 805,503
1999 2.977% 885,197
2000 3.047% 933,768
2001 3.222% 1,018,792
2002 3.073% 1,002,485
2003 3.098% 1,042,344
2004 3.112% 1,080,121
2005 3.034% 1,085,936
2006 3.06% 1,129,112
2007 2.986% 1,135,571
2008 3.072% 1,204,433
2009 2.971% 1,200,646
2010 2.834% 1,178,705
2011 2.669% 1,141,084
2012 2.549% 1,118,600
2013 2.397% 1,078,375
2014 2.282% 1,050,925
2015 2.173% 1,023,246
2016 2.242% 1,079,076
2017 2.108% 1,037,080
2018 1.955% 981,603
2019 1.972% 1,009,837
2020 1.952% 1,019,175
2021 1.85% 984,489
2022 1.995% 1,082,101
2023 1.972% 1,090,983
2024 1.944% 1,096,901

Future Population Growth Rate of Kenya (2024-2100)

Kenya's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 1.972% all the way down to -0.038% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 1.944% 1,096,901
2025 1.916% 1,102,195
2026 1.886% 1,105,643
2027 1.863% 1,113,039
2028 1.834% 1,116,345
2029 1.809% 1,121,139
2030 1.783% 1,124,979
2031 1.761% 1,130,765
2032 1.724% 1,127,069
2033 1.691% 1,124,483
2034 1.65% 1,115,156
2035 1.612% 1,107,402
2036 1.573% 1,098,551
2037 1.529% 1,084,480
2038 1.495% 1,076,586
2039 1.447% 1,057,078
2040 1.41% 1,045,116
2041 1.365% 1,025,861
2042 1.325% 1,008,884
2043 1.278% 985,916
2044 1.236% 965,796
2045 1.191% 941,915
2046 1.156% 925,165
2047 1.121% 907,378
2048 1.088% 890,657
2049 1.061% 877,556
2050 1.035% 865,380
2051 1.008% 851,488
2052 0.977% 833,696
2053 0.952% 819,667
2054 0.925% 804,297
2055 0.905% 794,150
2056 0.883% 781,293
2057 0.872% 779,095
2058 0.851% 766,254
2059 0.823% 747,777
2060 0.799% 731,868
2061 0.777% 716,717
2062 0.75% 697,757
2063 0.715% 670,173
2064 0.689% 649,687
2065 0.658% 625,272
2066 0.634% 606,447
2067 0.603% 579,705
2068 0.577% 558,612
2069 0.546% 531,716
2070 0.519% 508,111
2071 0.494% 486,198
2072 0.469% 463,495
2073 0.434% 431,124
2074 0.41% 408,779
2075 0.386% 386,626
2076 0.368% 369,709
2077 0.342% 344,716
2078 0.319% 322,522
2079 0.301% 305,018
2080 0.286% 291,452
2081 0.261% 266,672
2082 0.241% 246,129
2083 0.225% 230,854
2084 0.207% 212,561
2085 0.194% 199,296
2086 0.18% 185,541
2087 0.164% 169,033
2088 0.152% 157,528
2089 0.138% 143,451
2090 0.123% 127,425
2091 0.103% 107,167
2092 0.088% 90,990
2093 0.068% 70,771
2094 0.054% 56,694
2095 0.042% 44,030
2096 0.029% 30,563
2097 0.006% 6,478
2098 0.0% -51
2099 -0.018% -19,089
2100 -0.038% -39,785

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Kenya

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Kenya.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Kenya is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Kenya's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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