๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง Population Growth Rate of Lebanon

The current population growth rate of Lebanon is -2.425%. A -9.35% increase from 2023, when the population growth rate only was -2.675%. In the future, Lebanon's population growth rate is projected to increase to -0.492%, by the year 2100. A total increase of the population growth rate of Lebanon by -79.71% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Lebanon (1950-2024)

Lebanon has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.821% 38,071
1951 2.823% 39,184
1952 2.842% 40,577
1953 2.865% 42,092
1954 2.882% 43,573
1955 2.863% 44,556
1956 2.903% 46,500
1957 2.916% 48,093
1958 2.821% 47,881
1959 2.916% 50,930
1960 2.901% 52,166
1961 3.143% 58,240
1962 3.091% 59,089
1963 3.044% 60,013
1964 2.849% 57,846
1965 2.691% 56,163
1966 2.808% 60,240
1967 2.491% 54,871
1968 2.799% 63,307
1969 2.572% 59,758
1970 2.359% 56,179
1971 2.642% 64,510
1972 2.52% 63,147
1973 2.514% 64,605
1974 2.335% 61,472
1975 2.078% 55,939
1976 22.955% 701,727
1977 2.102% 72,669
1978 -19.573% -621,092
1979 2.02% 58,609
1980 2.175% 64,468
1981 2.067% 62,572
1982 0.757% 23,249
1983 1.624% 50,467
1984 1.981% 62,668
1985 1.975% 63,716
1986 2.987% 98,805
1987 1.973% 66,915
1988 1.899% 65,639
1989 2.016% 71,070
1990 1.818% 65,325
1991 2.202% 80,744
1992 2.045% 76,601
1993 1.838% 70,179
1994 1.762% 68,516
1995 1.881% 74,476
1996 1.852% 74,730
1997 1.75% 71,885
1998 1.689% 70,583
1999 1.692% 71,888
2000 1.605% 69,356
2001 1.544% 67,760
2002 1.061% 47,172
2003 1.534% 69,111
2004 1.549% 70,869
2005 1.413% 65,625
2006 1.865% 88,015
2007 1.902% 91,472
2008 1.32% 64,538
2009 1.262% 62,505
2010 0.537% 26,825
2011 1.421% 71,689
2012 3.764% 194,873
2013 14.22% 806,155
2014 6.135% 384,827
2015 -2.12% -135,633
2016 -2.317% -145,007
2017 -2.516% -153,729
2018 -2.741% -163,096
2019 -3.023% -174,769
2020 -1.116% -63,197
2021 -1.384% -77,388
2022 -2.339% -128,396
2023 -2.675% -143,225
2024 -2.425% -126,546

Future Population Growth Rate of Lebanon (2024-2100)

Lebanon's population growth rate is projected to increase in the future. According to the United Nation, it will climb from today's growth rate of -2.675% all the way up to -0.492% by the year 2100. The yearly upward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 -2.425% -126,546
2025 -2.282% -116,334
2026 -2.057% -102,584
2027 -1.597% -78,234
2028 -1.402% -67,623
2029 -1.167% -55,576
2030 -0.899% -42,360
2031 -0.625% -29,220
2032 -0.382% -17,778
2033 -0.189% -8,755
2034 0.005% 250
2035 0.196% 9,080
2036 0.35% 16,308
2037 0.451% 21,081
2038 0.485% 22,762
2039 0.497% 23,442
2040 0.503% 23,865
2041 0.503% 23,986
2042 0.5% 23,936
2043 0.483% 23,232
2044 0.464% 22,443
2045 0.43% 20,910
2046 0.392% 19,116
2047 0.351% 17,193
2048 0.303% 14,901
2049 0.255% 12,542
2050 0.212% 10,451
2051 0.163% 8,086
2052 0.112% 5,530
2053 0.069% 3,416
2054 0.028% 1,386
2055 -0.007% -328
2056 -0.033% -1,632
2057 -0.059% -2,901
2058 -0.071% -3,494
2059 -0.082% -4,077
2060 -0.089% -4,386
2061 -0.089% -4,388
2062 -0.083% -4,088
2063 -0.071% -3,503
2064 -0.061% -2,999
2065 -0.042% -2,088
2066 -0.026% -1,296
2067 -0.007% -338
2068 0.003% 164
2069 0.022% 1,089
2070 0.032% 1,570
2071 0.044% 2,151
2072 0.053% 2,629
2073 0.057% 2,813
2074 0.063% 3,119
2075 0.063% 3,105
2076 0.059% 2,923
2077 0.053% 2,620
2078 0.044% 2,189
2079 0.035% 1,724
2080 0.02% 986
2081 0.007% 345
2082 -0.011% -559
2083 -0.032% -1,574
2084 -0.052% -2,555
2085 -0.077% -3,827
2086 -0.1% -4,935
2087 -0.123% -6,074
2088 -0.147% -7,251
2089 -0.173% -8,513
2090 -0.201% -9,875
2091 -0.228% -11,191
2092 -0.259% -12,650
2093 -0.288% -14,064
2094 -0.318% -15,456
2095 -0.347% -16,828
2096 -0.378% -18,242
2097 -0.409% -19,671
2098 -0.438% -20,981
2099 -0.464% -22,145
2100 -0.492% -23,334

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Lebanon

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Lebanon.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Lebanon is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Lebanon's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

Data Disclaimer

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