๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง Population Growth Rate of Lebanon

The current population growth rate of Lebanon is 0.695%. A 63.15% increase from 2023, when the population growth rate only was 0.426%. In the future, Lebanon's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -0.331%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Lebanon by -147.63% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Lebanon (1950-2024)

Lebanon has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.786% 37,596
1951 2.8% 38,847
1952 2.816% 40,180
1953 2.839% 41,677
1954 2.856% 43,127
1955 2.843% 44,177
1956 2.876% 45,983
1957 2.89% 47,571
1958 2.816% 47,685
1959 2.912% 50,750
1960 2.927% 52,522
1961 3.18% 58,834
1962 3.15% 60,153
1963 3.113% 61,324
1964 2.912% 59,129
1965 2.75% 57,447
1966 2.859% 61,413
1967 2.516% 55,527
1968 2.813% 63,748
1969 2.57% 59,834
1970 2.35% 56,076
1971 2.63% 64,322
1972 2.491% 62,507
1973 2.484% 63,906
1974 2.3% 60,594
1975 2.058% 55,417
1976 0.409% 11,140
1977 2.181% 60,233
1978 2.155% 60,819
1979 2.05% 59,089
1980 2.213% 65,166
1981 2.103% 63,269
1982 0.937% 28,632
1983 1.664% 51,498
1984 2.03% 63,998
1985 2.029% 65,265
1986 3.052% 100,715
1987 2.058% 69,663
1988 1.984% 68,527
1989 2.064% 72,743
1990 1.865% 67,037
1991 2.193% 80,439
1992 2.041% 76,478
1993 1.834% 70,074
1994 1.754% 68,230
1995 1.859% 73,642
1996 1.845% 74,450
1997 1.772% 72,798
1998 1.745% 72,954
1999 1.763% 75,038
2000 1.688% 73,087
2001 1.637% 72,070
2002 1.145% 51,102
2003 1.611% 72,907
2004 1.623% 74,634
2005 1.477% 69,012
2006 1.917% 91,057
2007 1.959% 94,907
2008 1.372% 67,563
2009 1.328% 66,303
2010 0.629% 31,700
2011 1.526% 77,765
2012 3.852% 201,678
2013 14.191% 813,711
2014 6.2% 393,397
2015 -2.201% -142,440
2016 -2.473% -156,379
2017 -2.751% -169,484
2018 -3.051% -182,533
2019 -3.392% -196,518
2020 0.213% 12,125
2021 0.338% 19,323
2022 0.582% 33,411
2023 0.426% 24,597
2024 0.695% 40,341

Future Population Growth Rate of Lebanon (2024-2100)

Lebanon's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 0.426% all the way down to -0.331% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 0.695% 40,341
2025 0.796% 46,577
2026 0.84% 49,515
2027 0.835% 49,678
2028 0.865% 51,893
2029 0.879% 53,172
2030 0.879% 53,682
2031 0.888% 54,704
2032 0.818% 50,806
2033 0.754% 47,175
2034 0.808% 50,990
2035 0.736% 46,800
2036 0.829% 53,099
2037 0.856% 55,296
2038 0.82% 53,458
2039 0.801% 52,596
2040 0.748% 49,512
2041 0.72% 48,026
2042 0.635% 42,659
2043 0.542% 36,604
2044 0.637% 43,288
2045 0.565% 38,651
2046 0.508% 34,932
2047 0.573% 39,558
2048 0.443% 30,783
2049 0.381% 26,600
2050 0.374% 26,148
2051 0.374% 26,300
2052 0.319% 22,508
2053 0.308% 21,806
2054 0.329% 23,337
2055 0.304% 21,668
2056 0.329% 23,458
2057 0.316% 22,614
2058 0.284% 20,414
2059 0.28% 20,168
2060 0.308% 22,276
2061 0.245% 17,763
2062 0.27% 19,636
2063 0.235% 17,133
2064 0.22% 16,027
2065 0.214% 15,633
2066 0.169% 12,373
2067 0.176% 12,896
2068 0.115% 8,487
2069 0.158% 11,644
2070 0.192% 14,188
2071 0.169% 12,467
2072 0.157% 11,639
2073 0.192% 14,222
2074 0.231% 17,135
2075 0.083% 6,181
2076 0.054% 3,998
2077 0.089% 6,667
2078 0.016% 1,202
2079 0.03% 2,216
2080 -0.004% -281
2081 -0.015% -1,126
2082 -0.002% -138
2083 -0.085% -6,336
2084 0.012% 920
2085 -0.113% -8,383
2086 -0.051% -3,818
2087 -0.146% -10,862
2088 -0.135% -9,989
2089 -0.143% -10,599
2090 -0.183% -13,520
2091 -0.226% -16,664
2092 -0.227% -16,724
2093 -0.282% -20,740
2094 -0.305% -22,354
2095 -0.287% -20,949
2096 -0.329% -23,974
2097 -0.334% -24,277
2098 -0.298% -21,582
2099 -0.312% -22,500
2100 -0.331% -23,803

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Lebanon

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Lebanon.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Lebanon is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Lebanon's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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