๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ Population Growth Rate of Melanesia

The current population growth rate of Melanesia is 1.706%. A -1.73% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 1.736%. In the future, Melanesia's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.053%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Melanesia by -96.89% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Melanesia (1950-2024)

Melanesia has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.079% 43,178
1951 1.944% 41,188
1952 2.374% 51,397
1953 2.495% 55,353
1954 2.575% 58,587
1955 2.675% 62,497
1956 2.751% 66,031
1957 2.794% 68,950
1958 2.81% 71,324
1959 2.796% 72,989
1960 2.766% 74,243
1961 2.481% 68,347
1962 2.462% 69,520
1963 2.387% 69,054
1964 2.334% 69,156
1965 2.339% 70,930
1966 2.383% 74,002
1967 2.271% 72,183
1968 2.312% 75,187
1969 2.365% 78,739
1970 2.395% 81,649
1971 2.391% 83,465
1972 2.357% 84,262
1973 2.297% 84,045
1974 2.261% 84,631
1975 2.245% 85,950
1976 2.215% 86,717
1977 2.242% 89,749
1978 2.225% 91,093
1979 2.179% 91,190
1980 2.159% 92,349
1981 2.172% 94,922
1982 2.183% 97,493
1983 2.227% 101,697
1984 2.244% 104,762
1985 2.245% 107,189
1986 2.18% 106,443
1987 2.067% 103,109
1988 2.051% 104,423
1989 2.184% 113,581
1990 2.586% 137,714
1991 2.982% 163,312
1992 3.118% 176,024
1993 3.106% 180,911
1994 3.087% 185,457
1995 3.066% 189,925
1996 3.095% 197,738
1997 3.147% 207,417
1998 3.079% 209,373
1999 3.066% 214,944
2000 2.992% 216,225
2001 2.954% 219,922
2002 2.921% 223,935
2003 2.89% 228,140
2004 2.847% 231,302
2005 2.807% 234,547
2006 2.778% 238,740
2007 2.736% 241,628
2008 2.683% 243,529
2009 2.663% 248,244
2010 2.732% 261,639
2011 2.598% 255,473
2012 2.525% 254,799
2013 2.464% 254,936
2014 2.39% 253,261
2015 2.295% 248,960
2016 2.231% 247,567
2017 2.162% 245,284
2018 2.101% 243,510
2019 1.967% 232,596
2020 1.896% 228,593
2021 1.803% 221,486
2022 1.756% 219,606
2023 1.736% 220,868
2024 1.706% 220,805

Future Population Growth Rate of Melanesia (2024-2100)

Melanesia's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 1.736% all the way down to 0.053% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 1.706% 220,805
2025 1.668% 219,632
2026 1.628% 217,877
2027 1.591% 216,451
2028 1.553% 214,635
2029 1.518% 212,968
2030 1.489% 212,038
2031 1.446% 208,999
2032 1.418% 207,975
2033 1.386% 206,021
2034 1.365% 205,730
2035 1.329% 203,122
2036 1.309% 202,673
2037 1.279% 200,530
2038 1.249% 198,456
2039 1.216% 195,565
2040 1.186% 193,021
2041 1.155% 190,178
2042 1.127% 187,702
2043 1.106% 186,325
2044 1.088% 185,286
2045 1.068% 183,819
2046 1.033% 179,730
2047 1.006% 176,809
2048 0.983% 174,455
2049 0.96% 172,125
2050 0.923% 167,009
2051 0.903% 164,879
2052 0.884% 162,798
2053 0.85% 157,906
2054 0.836% 156,682
2055 0.799% 151,037
2056 0.775% 147,545
2057 0.757% 145,245
2058 0.734% 141,927
2059 0.716% 139,463
2060 0.701% 137,480
2061 0.664% 131,146
2062 0.641% 127,371
2063 0.623% 124,562
2064 0.615% 123,859
2065 0.6% 121,583
2066 0.582% 118,585
2067 0.564% 115,468
2068 0.541% 111,440
2069 0.517% 106,988
2070 0.496% 103,241
2071 0.486% 101,662
2072 0.464% 97,608
2073 0.439% 92,688
2074 0.422% 89,417
2075 0.409% 87,102
2076 0.391% 83,565
2077 0.382% 81,929
2078 0.374% 80,562
2079 0.351% 75,899
2080 0.358% 77,691
2081 0.325% 70,702
2082 0.307% 67,015
2083 0.305% 66,737
2084 0.281% 61,764
2085 0.274% 60,287
2086 0.261% 57,623
2087 0.241% 53,425
2088 0.227% 50,286
2089 0.212% 47,228
2090 0.217% 48,352
2091 0.193% 43,097
2092 0.177% 39,627
2093 0.159% 35,551
2094 0.146% 32,744
2095 0.129% 28,911
2096 0.115% 25,924
2097 0.097% 21,751
2098 0.078% 17,509
2099 0.069% 15,513
2100 0.053% 12,038

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Melanesia

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Melanesia.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Melanesia is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Melanesia's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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