๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡จ Population Growth Rate of New Caledonia

The current population growth rate of New Caledonia is 1.026%. A -3.3% decrease from 2022, when the population growth rate was 1.061%. In the future, New Caledonia's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -0.109%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of New Caledonia by -110.62% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of New Caledonia (1950-2023)

New Caledonia has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.644% 1,050
1951 1.711% 1,111
1952 1.796% 1,187
1953 1.878% 1,264
1954 1.944% 1,334
1955 2.023% 1,416
1956 2.528% 1,810
1957 3.144% 2,316
1958 3.223% 2,451
1959 3.311% 2,601
1960 3.351% 2,722
1961 3.409% 2,864
1962 3.261% 2,833
1963 2.969% 2,661
1964 2.768% 2,553
1965 2.733% 2,591
1966 2.778% 2,707
1967 2.783% 2,788
1968 3.041% 3,137
1969 3.675% 3,920
1970 4.201% 4,662
1971 4.283% 4,959
1972 4.293% 5,188
1973 4.215% 5,315
1974 4.116% 5,411
1975 3.535% 4,829
1976 2.357% 3,316
1977 1.45% 2,079
1978 1.173% 1,704
1979 1.134% 1,667
1980 1.101% 1,636
1981 1.08% 1,623
1982 1.22% 1,854
1983 1.567% 2,415
1984 1.844% 2,891
1985 1.881% 3,004
1986 1.957% 3,186
1987 2.006% 3,331
1988 2.069% 3,506
1989 2.229% 3,859
1990 2.457% 4,356
1991 2.508% 4,557
1992 2.431% 4,527
1993 2.365% 4,512
1994 2.28% 4,452
1995 2.214% 4,422
1996 2.131% 4,348
1997 2.074% 4,322
1998 2.044% 4,348
1999 2.016% 4,376
2000 2.014% 4,462
2001 1.963% 4,437
2002 1.904% 4,387
2003 1.783% 4,185
2004 1.569% 3,745
2005 1.337% 3,237
2006 1.527% 3,751
2007 1.489% 3,714
2008 1.464% 3,705
2009 1.594% 4,094
2010 1.838% 4,805
2011 1.858% 4,949
2012 1.861% 5,049
2013 1.858% 5,135
2014 1.308% 3,673
2015 0.281% 794
2016 0.224% 637
2017 0.199% 565
2018 0.175% 498
2019 0.172% 490
2020 0.547% 1,568
2021 0.426% 1,226
2022 1.061% 3,075
2023 1.026% 3,006

Future Population Growth Rate of New Caledonia (2023-2100)

New Caledonia's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 1.061% all the way down to -0.109% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2023 1.026% 3,006
2024 0.995% 2,945
2025 0.96% 2,868
2026 0.932% 2,811
2027 0.907% 2,762
2028 0.881% 2,707
2029 0.853% 2,645
2030 0.83% 2,595
2031 0.806% 2,541
2032 0.783% 2,486
2033 0.757% 2,422
2034 0.748% 2,411
2035 0.723% 2,350
2036 0.701% 2,293
2037 0.678% 2,235
2038 0.658% 2,181
2039 0.633% 2,112
2040 0.614% 2,061
2041 0.59% 1,993
2042 0.572% 1,945
2043 0.548% 1,872
2044 0.53% 1,821
2045 0.505% 1,743
2046 0.481% 1,670
2047 0.46% 1,606
2048 0.428% 1,501
2049 0.409% 1,440
2050 0.386% 1,362
2051 0.362% 1,282
2052 0.341% 1,214
2053 0.318% 1,135
2054 0.292% 1,046
2055 0.275% 988
2056 0.255% 918
2057 0.245% 884
2058 0.224% 811
2059 0.204% 740
2060 0.191% 695
2061 0.181% 659
2062 0.16% 582
2063 0.149% 543
2064 0.142% 520
2065 0.128% 467
2066 0.119% 436
2067 0.109% 401
2068 0.102% 374
2069 0.089% 326
2070 0.082% 300
2071 0.073% 269
2072 0.069% 253
2073 0.06% 220
2074 0.056% 206
2075 0.047% 175
2076 0.041% 153
2077 0.035% 130
2078 0.028% 102
2079 0.02% 73
2080 0.019% 72
2081 0.007% 26
2082 0.008% 28
2083 -0.003% -10
2084 -0.006% -21
2085 -0.013% -49
2086 -0.019% -70
2087 -0.024% -88
2088 -0.026% -97
2089 -0.036% -133
2090 -0.041% -151
2091 -0.049% -181
2092 -0.056% -205
2093 -0.063% -232
2094 -0.067% -247
2095 -0.076% -280
2096 -0.078% -286
2097 -0.092% -339
2098 -0.095% -348
2099 -0.105% -387
2100 -0.109% -401

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of New Caledonia

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of New Caledonia.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of New Caledonia is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, New Caledonia's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

Data Disclaimer

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