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🇳🇬 Total Fertility Rate of Nigeria

4.38
Total Fertility Rate
32.49
Crude Birth Rate
7,560,407
Overall Births

The current population fertility rate of Nigeria is 4.3818 births per woman. A -2.23% decrease from 2023, when the fertility rate was 4.4817 births per woman. In the future, Nigeria's fertility rate is projected to decrease to 1.9129 childern born per woman, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the fertility rate of Nigeria's by -56.34% from today's standard.

Historic Total Fertility Rate of Nigeria (1950-2024)

Nigeria has seen a decrease of the population fertility rate since the 1950's. From 6.4191 to 4.3818 births per woman, a decrease of -31.74% in total.

Year Total Fertility Rate (births per woman) Crude Birth Rate Overall Births
1950 6.4191 45.783 1,706,938
1951 6.4148 45.86 1,742,392
1952 6.3911 45.796 1,773,064
1953 6.396 45.927 1,811,346
1954 6.3962 45.988 1,847,612
1955 6.402 46.107 1,887,407
1956 6.409 46.228 1,928,436
1957 6.4039 46.34 1,970,252
1958 6.3861 46.371 2,009,025
1959 6.3747 46.374 2,047,963
1960 6.3636 46.462 2,093,279
1961 6.3529 46.554 2,141,004
1962 6.356 46.743 2,195,278
1963 6.3491 46.759 2,243,201
1964 6.362 46.87 2,297,200
1965 6.3673 46.898 2,348,954
1966 6.3855 47.001 2,405,893
1967 6.4006 47.064 2,461,109
1968 6.4195 47.161 2,519,965
1969 6.4378 47.261 2,581,934
1970 6.4664 47.384 2,648,473
1971 6.5316 47.765 2,732,849
1972 6.5791 47.953 2,810,108
1973 6.633 48.194 2,895,609
1974 6.7034 48.658 3,001,195
1975 6.7727 49.009 3,107,689
1976 6.8063 49.001 3,197,711
1977 6.8621 49.115 3,302,205
1978 6.921 49.252 3,414,498
1979 6.8871 48.797 3,488,883
1980 6.8473 48.288 3,561,961
1981 6.8198 47.858 3,640,502
1982 6.7985 47.529 3,725,277
1983 6.7747 47.529 3,823,155
1984 6.7011 46.541 3,840,878
1985 6.6164 45.899 3,896,700
1986 6.5573 45.292 3,951,095
1987 6.5037 44.848 4,018,041
1988 6.4979 44.715 4,114,696
1989 6.4935 44.79 4,234,043
1990 6.4588 44.513 4,323,148
1991 6.4257 44.321 4,419,699
1992 6.3906 44.211 4,526,023
1993 6.3539 44.109 4,636,869
1994 6.3193 43.991 4,748,227
1995 6.2734 44.079 4,884,848
1996 6.2172 43.85 4,988,092
1997 6.1382 43.509 5,079,895
1998 6.0695 43.218 5,179,498
1999 6.0819 43.447 5,346,097
2000 6.1244 43.892 5,547,161
2001 6.1278 43.934 5,705,335
2002 6.1163 43.822 5,848,982
2003 6.1 43.71 5,997,118
2004 6.0895 43.474 6,132,384
2005 6.0627 43.37 6,289,434
2006 6.053 43.172 6,435,928
2007 6.0272 42.897 6,574,697
2008 6.0245 42.803 6,745,470
2009 5.9926 42.497 6,886,601
2010 5.9485 42.139 7,022,105
2011 5.8932 41.793 7,162,528
2012 5.7974 41.116 7,244,727
2013 5.6939 40.441 7,321,803
2014 5.6219 39.892 7,415,859
2015 5.5032 38.951 7,426,774
2016 5.3425 37.771 7,382,060
2017 5.1819 36.693 7,347,957
2018 5.0213 35.69 7,314,240
2019 4.8606 34.685 7,266,105
2020 4.7 33.732 7,218,484
2021 4.6362 33.546 7,330,875
2022 4.5525 33.192 7,406,815
2023 4.4817 32.954 7,509,758
2024 4.3818 32.493 7,560,407

Future Total Fertility Rate of Nigeria (2024-2100)

Nigeria's negative downward trend in fertility rate is set to decrease even further in the future. From 4.3818 to an average of 1.9129 children born per woman. An additional decrease of -56.34% from 2024 to 2100.

Year Total Fertility Rate (births per woman) Crude Birth Rate Overall Births
2024 4.3818 32.493 7,560,407
2025 4.2965 32.167 7,640,590
2026 4.2046 31.81 7,711,752
2027 4.1027 31.386 7,764,061
2028 4.0066 31.008 7,824,729
2029 3.92 30.696 7,899,761
2030 3.8217 30.279 7,944,601
2031 3.7333 29.918 8,000,667
2032 3.6511 29.577 8,059,354
2033 3.5614 29.141 8,088,355
2034 3.4836 28.762 8,128,869
2035 3.41 28.374 8,162,901
2036 3.3416 27.986 8,192,471
2037 3.2731 27.554 8,204,968
2038 3.2117 27.146 8,219,284
2039 3.1554 26.748 8,232,118
2040 3.0969 26.306 8,226,065
2041 3.0396 25.855 8,211,809
2042 2.9859 25.42 8,196,614
2043 2.9378 25.019 8,187,221
2044 2.8907 24.616 8,172,186
2045 2.8454 24.22 8,153,979
2046 2.804 23.849 8,139,254
2047 2.7642 23.486 8,122,372
2048 2.7249 23.124 8,101,318
2049 2.6907 22.802 8,090,108
2050 2.6584 22.496 8,080,118
2051 2.626 22.189 8,066,177
2052 2.5993 21.931 8,066,238
2053 2.5688 21.641 8,051,077
2054 2.5378 21.348 8,030,698
2055 2.51 21.083 8,017,096
2056 2.4849 20.84 8,008,822
2057 2.4585 20.585 7,992,458
2058 2.4357 20.359 7,984,043
2059 2.4132 20.132 7,972,427
2060 2.3914 19.908 7,958,840
2061 2.3685 19.67 7,936,912
2062 2.3445 19.421 7,907,219
2063 2.3228 19.188 7,880,988
2064 2.3026 18.963 7,855,152
2065 2.2834 18.743 7,828,275
2066 2.2645 18.523 7,798,125
2067 2.2492 18.329 7,776,106
2068 2.233 18.125 7,747,113
2069 2.2165 17.917 7,713,292
2070 2.2013 17.718 7,680,672
2071 2.1864 17.522 7,646,175
2072 2.1722 17.332 7,611,826
2073 2.1586 17.148 7,576,933
2074 2.1459 16.972 7,543,279
2075 2.1328 16.794 7,506,489
2076 2.1198 16.62 7,468,523
2077 2.1072 16.452 7,430,715
2078 2.0956 16.294 7,395,121
2079 2.0853 16.15 7,363,550
2080 2.0732 15.995 7,324,512
2081 2.062 15.85 7,287,814
2082 2.0532 15.727 7,258,496
2083 2.0426 15.59 7,221,159
2084 2.0344 15.475 7,191,997
2085 2.024 15.346 7,154,241
2086 2.0146 15.227 7,119,014
2087 2.0059 15.115 7,085,493
2088 1.9969 15.002 7,049,587
2089 1.9902 14.908 7,020,651
2090 1.982 14.804 6,985,656
2091 1.9736 14.699 6,948,651
2092 1.9636 14.583 6,905,166
2093 1.9568 14.492 6,871,727
2094 1.9509 14.408 6,840,119
2095 1.945 14.323 6,807,178
2096 1.9397 14.245 6,776,066
2097 1.9329 14.156 6,739,111
2098 1.9275 14.077 6,706,166
2099 1.919 13.977 6,661,669
2100 1.9129 13.895 6,624,188

How is Total Fertility Rate calculated?

A population's fertility rate is most commonly calculated as Total Total Fertility Rate or TFR for short. The Total Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is a standard demographic indicator that is used internationally to estimate the average number of children born per woman in a population. It is calculated by adding up all the age-specific fertility rates, multiplying this sum by five (the width of the age-group interval), and then dividing by 1,000.

Total Fertility Rate Formula

Total Total Fertility Rate = (Sum of ASFR x 5 ) / 1,000

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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