๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Population Growth Rate of Nigeria

The current population growth rate of Nigeria is 2.07%. A -1.24% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 2.096%. In the future, Nigeria's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.023%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Nigeria by -98.89% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Nigeria (1950-2024)

Nigeria has seen an increase in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.882% 701,701
1951 1.896% 720,432
1952 1.87% 723,817
1953 1.834% 723,420
1954 1.866% 749,587
1955 1.879% 769,035
1956 1.898% 791,806
1957 1.908% 811,035
1958 1.854% 803,305
1959 1.972% 870,765
1960 2.028% 913,438
1961 2.082% 957,618
1962 2.117% 994,346
1963 2.131% 1,022,219
1964 2.152% 1,054,665
1965 2.186% 1,094,829
1966 2.165% 1,108,111
1967 2.107% 1,101,551
1968 2.205% 1,177,887
1969 2.234% 1,220,373
1970 2.332% 1,303,475
1971 2.339% 1,338,218
1972 2.45% 1,435,910
1973 2.538% 1,524,873
1974 2.706% 1,669,136
1975 2.83% 1,794,207
1976 2.912% 1,900,180
1977 3.054% 2,052,981
1978 3.074% 2,130,904
1979 3.095% 2,212,515
1980 3.146% 2,320,285
1981 3.006% 2,286,639
1982 2.979% 2,334,556
1983 2.219% 1,784,562
1984 2.898% 2,391,804
1985 2.77% 2,351,255
1986 2.665% 2,324,706
1987 2.664% 2,386,819
1988 2.684% 2,469,930
1989 2.7% 2,551,918
1990 2.706% 2,627,904
1991 2.578% 2,570,569
1992 2.671% 2,734,649
1993 2.629% 2,763,949
1994 2.653% 2,863,340
1995 2.621% 2,904,088
1996 2.608% 2,966,613
1997 2.598% 3,033,413
1998 2.628% 3,149,513
1999 2.644% 3,252,618
2000 2.704% 3,417,730
2001 2.728% 3,542,471
2002 2.755% 3,676,317
2003 2.759% 3,784,995
2004 2.782% 3,923,806
2005 2.756% 3,996,611
2006 2.766% 4,123,549
2007 2.777% 4,256,306
2008 2.792% 4,399,200
2009 2.783% 4,509,700
2010 2.807% 4,677,143
2011 2.799% 4,796,281
2012 2.75% 4,845,773
2013 2.68% 4,851,864
2014 2.605% 4,843,080
2015 2.469% 4,706,846
2016 2.475% 4,836,798
2017 2.39% 4,784,959
2018 2.237% 4,583,393
2019 2.153% 4,510,380
2020 2.108% 4,510,700
2021 2.085% 4,555,511
2022 2.101% 4,687,707
2023 2.096% 4,776,392
2024 2.07% 4,816,673

Future Population Growth Rate of Nigeria (2024-2100)

Nigeria's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 2.096% all the way down to 0.023% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 2.07% 4,816,673
2025 2.055% 4,879,935
2026 2.033% 4,928,166
2027 2.004% 4,956,695
2028 1.976% 4,987,035
2029 1.953% 5,025,986
2030 1.917% 5,030,677
2031 1.888% 5,049,533
2032 1.863% 5,075,602
2033 1.826% 5,067,344
2034 1.793% 5,067,220
2035 1.759% 5,059,511
2036 1.724% 5,047,756
2037 1.686% 5,019,940
2038 1.651% 4,998,289
2039 1.614% 4,966,506
2040 1.575% 4,924,813
2041 1.533% 4,868,844
2042 1.494% 4,817,287
2043 1.458% 4,769,973
2044 1.418% 4,708,864
2045 1.381% 4,649,423
2046 1.345% 4,589,100
2047 1.311% 4,535,392
2048 1.276% 4,472,128
2049 1.245% 4,417,184
2050 1.216% 4,369,077
2051 1.185% 4,307,033
2052 1.156% 4,253,159
2053 1.126% 4,187,273
2054 1.095% 4,119,721
2055 1.068% 4,062,425
2056 1.041% 4,001,948
2057 1.013% 3,932,883
2058 0.987% 3,872,353
2059 0.961% 3,804,963
2060 0.937% 3,746,828
2061 0.913% 3,685,427
2062 0.887% 3,610,171
2063 0.863% 3,542,823
2064 0.838% 3,470,940
2065 0.81% 3,382,178
2066 0.783% 3,295,653
2067 0.759% 3,220,310
2068 0.73% 3,119,390
2069 0.705% 3,035,822
2070 0.676% 2,928,598
2071 0.652% 2,846,573
2072 0.626% 2,748,066
2073 0.599% 2,645,400
2074 0.574% 2,550,994
2075 0.55% 2,457,133
2076 0.522% 2,344,546
2077 0.495% 2,235,194
2078 0.473% 2,144,996
2079 0.447% 2,039,799
2080 0.419% 1,917,792
2081 0.394% 1,810,437
2082 0.368% 1,697,418
2083 0.346% 1,602,091
2084 0.324% 1,506,369
2085 0.298% 1,389,405
2086 0.276% 1,290,172
2087 0.252% 1,183,594
2088 0.231% 1,083,658
2089 0.211% 992,843
2090 0.19% 898,091
2091 0.172% 814,503
2092 0.148% 702,217
2093 0.131% 619,226
2094 0.113% 537,973
2095 0.101% 478,918
2096 0.086% 411,424
2097 0.071% 340,200
2098 0.057% 272,201
2099 0.038% 181,355
2100 0.023% 110,400

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Nigeria

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Nigeria.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Nigeria is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Nigeria's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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