๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Population Growth Rate of Nigeria

The current population growth rate of Nigeria is 2.369%. A -0.92% decrease from 2022, when the population growth rate was 2.391%. In the future, Nigeria's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.141%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Nigeria by -94.05% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Nigeria (1950-2023)

Nigeria has seen an increase in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.903% 707,510
1951 1.9% 720,095
1952 1.87% 722,412
1953 1.841% 724,175
1954 1.86% 745,346
1955 1.881% 768,142
1956 1.89% 786,554
1957 1.903% 807,022
1958 1.841% 795,766
1959 1.96% 863,190
1960 2.014% 905,031
1961 2.07% 949,301
1962 2.1% 983,374
1963 2.129% 1,018,073
1964 2.148% 1,049,454
1965 2.182% 1,089,480
1966 2.155% 1,099,515
1967 2.06% 1,073,255
1968 2.131% 1,133,620
1969 2.148% 1,167,642
1970 2.248% 1,249,385
1971 2.265% 1,287,316
1972 2.381% 1,385,125
1973 2.48% 1,478,097
1974 2.66% 1,626,875
1975 2.8% 1,759,885
1976 2.868% 1,854,122
1977 3.017% 2,008,559
1978 3.029% 2,078,817
1979 3.046% 2,155,110
1980 3.081% 2,247,155
1981 2.928% 2,200,740
1982 2.875% 2,224,619
1983 2.145% 1,702,419
1984 2.79% 2,269,515
1985 2.663% 2,225,882
1986 2.578% 2,211,985
1987 2.576% 2,268,020
1988 2.597% 2,346,540
1989 2.63% 2,438,655
1990 2.628% 2,501,729
1991 2.498% 2,440,477
1992 2.548% 2,552,894
1993 2.563% 2,633,945
1994 2.586% 2,727,368
1995 2.529% 2,735,609
1996 2.525% 2,801,538
1997 2.521% 2,868,457
1998 2.511% 2,930,237
1999 2.573% 3,079,839
2000 2.632% 3,232,997
2001 2.67% 3,368,393
2002 2.695% 3,492,301
2003 2.69% 3,581,249
2004 2.7% 3,692,845
2005 2.687% 3,774,904
2006 2.705% 3,903,181
2007 2.715% 4,025,346
2008 2.725% 4,151,609
2009 2.73% 4,274,893
2010 2.758% 4,439,299
2011 2.77% 4,582,485
2012 2.729% 4,641,887
2013 2.666% 4,658,497
2014 2.591% 4,647,289
2015 2.493% 4,586,247
2016 2.521% 4,756,046
2017 2.533% 4,901,905
2018 2.461% 4,881,529
2019 2.436% 4,952,207
2020 2.445% 5,093,619
2021 2.369% 5,054,217
2022 2.391% 5,225,561
2023 2.369% 5,301,280

Future Population Growth Rate of Nigeria (2023-2100)

Nigeria's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 2.391% all the way down to 0.141% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2023 2.369% 5,301,280
2024 2.354% 5,393,889
2025 2.323% 5,448,884
2026 2.297% 5,512,876
2027 2.271% 5,576,481
2028 2.24% 5,627,605
2029 2.22% 5,702,109
2030 2.181% 5,726,620
2031 2.154% 5,778,931
2032 2.114% 5,793,493
2033 2.078% 5,817,807
2034 2.045% 5,844,094
2035 1.998% 5,827,074
2036 1.958% 5,823,055
2037 1.925% 5,836,811
2038 1.897% 5,864,846
2039 1.854% 5,840,136
2040 1.814% 5,819,355
2041 1.782% 5,819,982
2042 1.735% 5,767,494
2043 1.702% 5,754,686
2044 1.67% 5,741,709
2045 1.619% 5,660,985
2046 1.583% 5,622,801
2047 1.55% 5,593,051
2048 1.517% 5,559,020
2049 1.479% 5,502,347
2050 1.456% 5,496,940
2051 1.41% 5,397,700
2052 1.372% 5,326,761
2053 1.332% 5,240,450
2054 1.3% 5,183,697
2055 1.274% 5,147,684
2056 1.248% 5,105,393
2057 1.219% 5,049,328
2058 1.187% 4,974,466
2059 1.153% 4,890,340
2060 1.128% 4,836,443
2061 1.111% 4,821,022
2062 1.096% 4,808,701
2063 1.057% 4,684,038
2064 1.032% 4,623,409
2065 0.994% 4,499,841
2066 0.961% 4,393,154
2067 0.943% 4,351,111
2068 0.912% 4,246,718
2069 0.881% 4,137,817
2070 0.85% 4,026,146
2071 0.82% 3,918,855
2072 0.804% 3,873,630
2073 0.776% 3,769,028
2074 0.75% 3,672,511
2075 0.715% 3,524,099
2076 0.691% 3,428,169
2077 0.662% 3,311,070
2078 0.634% 3,188,572
2079 0.61% 3,089,766
2080 0.583% 2,966,313
2081 0.56% 2,866,232
2082 0.535% 2,752,453
2083 0.508% 2,627,454
2084 0.488% 2,541,015
2085 0.461% 2,407,417
2086 0.43% 2,257,531
2087 0.41% 2,159,397
2088 0.386% 2,045,315
2089 0.364% 1,933,533
2090 0.34% 1,815,059
2091 0.323% 1,727,850
2092 0.301% 1,616,565
2093 0.277% 1,489,596
2094 0.259% 1,399,579
2095 0.235% 1,273,078
2096 0.22% 1,191,891
2097 0.196% 1,064,848
2098 0.178% 969,295
2099 0.16% 872,817
2100 0.141% 772,305

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Nigeria

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Nigeria.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Nigeria is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Nigeria's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

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