๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ Population Growth Rate of Northern Africa

The current population growth rate of Northern Africa is 1.606%. A -1.23% decrease from 2022, when the population growth rate was 1.626%. In the future, Northern Africa's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.135%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Northern Africa by -91.59% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Northern Africa (1950-2023)

Northern Africa has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.397% 1,199,605
1951 2.419% 1,240,197
1952 2.524% 1,326,505
1953 2.554% 1,377,042
1954 2.554% 1,412,207
1955 2.566% 1,455,973
1956 2.512% 1,461,950
1957 2.459% 1,466,864
1958 2.366% 1,445,778
1959 2.469% 1,545,902
1960 2.465% 1,581,791
1961 2.39% 1,571,208
1962 2.444% 1,646,501
1963 2.431% 1,677,854
1964 2.483% 1,756,600
1965 2.426% 1,758,746
1966 2.534% 1,883,357
1967 2.546% 1,941,016
1968 2.527% 1,976,136
1969 2.485% 1,992,751
1970 2.47% 2,029,651
1971 2.437% 2,052,623
1972 2.462% 2,125,120
1973 2.506% 2,217,754
1974 2.656% 2,411,245
1975 3.08% 2,877,895
1976 3.093% 2,980,959
1977 2.873% 2,852,909
1978 2.921% 2,986,009
1979 2.979% 3,136,169
1980 3.045% 3,303,393
1981 3.034% 3,392,653
1982 3.012% 3,471,930
1983 2.86% 3,394,748
1984 2.676% 3,265,612
1985 2.645% 3,314,724
1986 2.583% 3,322,343
1987 2.387% 3,148,326
1988 2.243% 3,027,220
1989 2.31% 3,188,955
1990 2.229% 3,148,235
1991 2.095% 3,023,579
1992 2.046% 3,015,360
1993 2.075% 3,121,657
1994 2.107% 3,236,549
1995 1.976% 3,097,845
1996 1.955% 3,125,040
1997 1.926% 3,139,105
1998 1.82% 3,022,319
1999 1.848% 3,125,944
2000 1.841% 3,172,412
2001 1.805% 3,167,165
2002 1.81% 3,233,705
2003 1.773% 3,224,667
2004 1.806% 3,345,576
2005 1.798% 3,390,033
2006 1.85% 3,552,627
2007 1.896% 3,709,486
2008 1.885% 3,758,608
2009 1.914% 3,889,999
2010 1.872% 3,876,337
2011 1.58% 3,329,595
2012 1.978% 4,242,872
2013 2.098% 4,592,944
2014 2.139% 4,783,159
2015 2.067% 4,719,572
2016 2.026% 4,721,795
2017 2.019% 4,800,860
2018 1.892% 4,588,627
2019 1.775% 4,384,647
2020 1.751% 4,403,259
2021 1.657% 4,236,672
2022 1.626% 4,227,748
2023 1.606% 4,244,357

Future Population Growth Rate of Northern Africa (2023-2100)

Northern Africa's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 1.626% all the way down to 0.135% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2023 1.606% 4,244,357
2024 1.588% 4,263,569
2025 1.544% 4,210,484
2026 1.508% 4,174,899
2027 1.472% 4,137,014
2028 1.438% 4,101,759
2029 1.409% 4,076,774
2030 1.383% 4,056,265
2031 1.36% 4,043,614
2032 1.346% 4,056,886
2033 1.337% 4,083,774
2034 1.327% 4,106,697
2035 1.31% 4,110,751
2036 1.299% 4,127,654
2037 1.281% 4,124,682
2038 1.265% 4,124,856
2039 1.247% 4,117,567
2040 1.227% 4,100,381
2041 1.21% 4,094,030
2042 1.189% 4,071,226
2043 1.163% 4,030,785
2044 1.135% 3,978,500
2045 1.113% 3,944,027
2046 1.091% 3,910,837
2047 1.067% 3,866,765
2048 1.035% 3,788,722
2049 1.007% 3,723,222
2050 0.981% 3,666,326
2051 0.95% 3,584,359
2052 0.928% 3,532,020
2053 0.899% 3,452,591
2054 0.87% 3,374,682
2055 0.846% 3,308,304
2056 0.823% 3,245,851
2057 0.799% 3,174,326
2058 0.772% 3,092,790
2059 0.753% 3,038,575
2060 0.734% 2,986,355
2061 0.713% 2,921,618
2062 0.693% 2,857,679
2063 0.674% 2,798,036
2064 0.657% 2,748,678
2065 0.639% 2,689,878
2066 0.624% 2,644,241
2067 0.61% 2,597,963
2068 0.597% 2,560,184
2069 0.58% 2,502,453
2070 0.565% 2,449,868
2071 0.554% 2,417,245
2072 0.54% 2,366,319
2073 0.522% 2,302,357
2074 0.507% 2,247,661
2075 0.494% 2,201,884
2076 0.479% 2,145,903
2077 0.463% 2,082,174
2078 0.447% 2,017,605
2079 0.434% 1,969,514
2080 0.421% 1,919,910
2081 0.409% 1,873,459
2082 0.397% 1,823,363
2083 0.382% 1,760,424
2084 0.367% 1,699,748
2085 0.354% 1,643,758
2086 0.339% 1,578,466
2087 0.326% 1,526,512
2088 0.312% 1,464,081
2089 0.297% 1,400,291
2090 0.281% 1,327,762
2091 0.266% 1,258,987
2092 0.252% 1,196,825
2093 0.24% 1,141,291
2094 0.225% 1,074,372
2095 0.209% 1,000,060
2096 0.196% 936,717
2097 0.18% 863,491
2098 0.167% 804,108
2099 0.15% 721,851
2100 0.135% 652,668

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Northern Africa

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Northern Africa.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Northern Africa is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Northern Africa's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

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