๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฌ Population Growth Rate of Papua New Guinea

The current population growth rate of Papua New Guinea is 1.764%. A -2.16% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 1.803%. In the future, Papua New Guinea's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.06%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Papua New Guinea by -96.6% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Papua New Guinea (1950-2024)

Papua New Guinea has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.06% 31,787
1951 1.952% 30,726
1952 2.362% 37,992
1953 2.492% 41,065
1954 2.567% 43,379
1955 2.653% 46,023
1956 2.707% 48,236
1957 2.718% 49,757
1958 2.72% 51,176
1959 2.687% 51,936
1960 2.682% 53,256
1961 2.297% 46,756
1962 2.258% 47,024
1963 2.174% 46,295
1964 2.118% 46,080
1965 2.136% 47,459
1966 2.252% 51,163
1967 2.202% 51,152
1968 2.285% 54,267
1969 2.339% 56,864
1970 2.387% 59,411
1971 2.397% 61,100
1972 2.362% 61,670
1973 2.291% 61,217
1974 2.236% 61,121
1975 2.189% 61,178
1976 2.156% 61,572
1977 2.122% 61,898
1978 2.087% 62,171
1979 2.052% 62,420
1980 2.041% 63,352
1981 2.058% 65,218
1982 2.076% 67,161
1983 2.109% 69,667
1984 2.131% 71,908
1985 2.156% 74,320
1986 2.167% 76,354
1987 2.18% 78,501
1988 2.177% 80,114
1989 2.359% 88,808
1990 2.922% 112,913
1991 3.487% 139,133
1992 3.679% 152,163
1993 3.676% 157,727
1994 3.65% 162,483
1995 3.618% 167,007
1996 3.592% 171,905
1997 3.572% 177,184
1998 3.495% 179,596
1999 3.487% 185,522
2000 3.419% 188,297
2001 3.371% 192,086
2002 3.329% 196,128
2003 3.294% 200,640
2004 3.238% 203,732
2005 3.194% 207,572
2006 3.149% 211,227
2007 3.099% 214,471
2008 3.074% 219,371
2009 3.023% 222,433
2010 2.985% 226,326
2011 2.824% 220,410
2012 2.734% 219,406
2013 2.653% 218,758
2014 2.579% 218,294
2015 2.508% 217,748
2016 2.43% 216,243
2017 2.359% 215,010
2018 2.292% 213,852
2019 2.229% 212,665
2020 2.068% 201,644
2021 1.99% 197,950
2022 1.858% 188,413
2023 1.803% 186,211
2024 1.764% 185,504

Future Population Growth Rate of Papua New Guinea (2024-2100)

Papua New Guinea's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 1.803% all the way down to 0.06% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 1.764% 185,504
2025 1.731% 185,208
2026 1.697% 184,698
2027 1.652% 182,850
2028 1.62% 182,312
2029 1.587% 181,451
2030 1.554% 180,526
2031 1.528% 180,285
2032 1.5% 179,602
2033 1.463% 177,845
2034 1.43% 176,289
2035 1.399% 174,957
2036 1.369% 173,579
2037 1.339% 172,097
2038 1.309% 170,470
2039 1.273% 168,006
2040 1.248% 166,734
2041 1.215% 164,391
2042 1.181% 161,741
2043 1.158% 160,430
2044 1.112% 155,740
2045 1.096% 155,304
2046 1.069% 153,078
2047 1.04% 150,507
2048 1.012% 147,898
2049 0.98% 144,682
2050 0.954% 142,297
2051 0.925% 139,258
2052 0.9% 136,738
2053 0.875% 134,084
2054 0.846% 130,841
2055 0.816% 127,138
2056 0.791% 124,202
2057 0.774% 122,593
2058 0.747% 119,176
2059 0.719% 115,559
2060 0.696% 112,609
2061 0.668% 108,798
2062 0.646% 106,029
2063 0.625% 103,248
2064 0.613% 101,879
2065 0.591% 98,711
2066 0.567% 95,238
2067 0.553% 93,458
2068 0.532% 90,498
2069 0.516% 88,084
2070 0.503% 86,354
2071 0.484% 83,558
2072 0.462% 80,093
2073 0.441% 76,782
2074 0.422% 73,749
2075 0.405% 71,134
2076 0.383% 67,574
2077 0.36% 63,737
2078 0.348% 61,880
2079 0.331% 59,020
2080 0.318% 56,931
2081 0.308% 55,297
2082 0.289% 51,949
2083 0.277% 49,977
2084 0.261% 47,180
2085 0.246% 44,576
2086 0.229% 41,640
2087 0.216% 39,318
2088 0.196% 35,818
2089 0.186% 34,035
2090 0.177% 32,406
2091 0.167% 30,693
2092 0.16% 29,400
2093 0.146% 26,924
2094 0.133% 24,447
2095 0.117% 21,610
2096 0.108% 19,994
2097 0.093% 17,135
2098 0.085% 15,802
2099 0.075% 13,826
2100 0.06% 11,117

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Papua New Guinea

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Papua New Guinea.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Papua New Guinea is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Papua New Guinea's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

Data Disclaimer

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