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🇵🇹 Population Growth Rate of Portugal

The current population growth rate of Portugal is -0.103%. A 5050.0% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was -0.002%. In the future, Portugal's population growth rate is projected to increase to -0.049%, by the year 2100. A total increase of the population growth rate of Portugal by -52.43% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Portugal (1950-2024)

Portugal has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 0.773% 65,039
1951 0.538% 45,600
1952 0.62% 52,855
1953 0.534% 45,792
1954 0.495% 42,634
1955 0.568% 49,221
1956 0.381% 33,129
1957 0.518% 45,325
1958 0.61% 53,651
1959 0.47% 41,536
1960 0.272% 24,158
1961 0.069% 6,155
1962 0.097% 8,648
1963 -0.04% -3,596
1964 -0.017% -1,481
1965 -0.121% -10,796
1966 -0.265% -23,495
1967 -0.337% -29,781
1968 -0.482% -42,493
1969 -0.782% -68,439
1970 -1.165% -100,991
1971 1.533% 133,108
1972 1.44% 126,922
1973 1.346% 120,357
1974 1.319% 119,522
1975 1.38% 126,731
1976 1.387% 129,175
1977 1.342% 126,646
1978 1.149% 109,810
1979 1.076% 104,005
1980 0.99% 96,639
1981 0.521% 51,284
1982 0.457% 45,221
1983 0.339% 33,618
1984 0.298% 29,657
1985 0.155% 15,489
1986 0.118% 11,761
1987 0.06% 6,038
1988 -0.008% -845
1989 -0.056% -5,583
1990 -0.181% -18,120
1991 -0.226% -22,575
1992 0.049% 4,901
1993 0.192% 19,103
1994 0.332% 33,187
1995 0.332% 33,341
1996 0.382% 38,456
1997 0.468% 47,349
1998 0.498% 50,599
1999 0.588% 60,093
2000 0.745% 76,573
2001 0.634% 65,667
2002 0.497% 51,772
2003 0.293% 30,630
2004 0.226% 23,643
2005 0.186% 19,581
2006 0.215% 22,672
2007 0.216% 22,737
2008 0.111% 11,775
2009 0.119% 12,598
2010 -0.074% -7,812
2011 -0.335% -35,403
2012 -0.498% -52,402
2013 -0.548% -57,303
2014 -0.451% -46,895
2015 -0.241% -24,968
2016 -0.221% -22,822
2017 -0.08% -8,234
2018 -0.027% -2,748
2019 0.372% 38,468
2020 0.156% 16,143
2021 0.238% 24,729
2022 0.264% 27,505
2023 -0.002% -174
2024 -0.103% -10,717

Future Population Growth Rate of Portugal (2024-2100)

Portugal's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of -0.002% all the way down to -0.049% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 -0.103% -10,717
2025 -0.156% -16,201
2026 -0.161% -16,741
2027 -0.174% -18,023
2028 -0.206% -21,341
2029 -0.197% -20,324
2030 -0.182% -18,754
2031 -0.197% -20,240
2032 -0.219% -22,528
2033 -0.217% -22,247
2034 -0.232% -23,726
2035 -0.227% -23,137
2036 -0.236% -24,028
2037 -0.233% -23,700
2038 -0.25% -25,376
2039 -0.269% -27,172
2040 -0.281% -28,281
2041 -0.26% -26,139
2042 -0.273% -27,384
2043 -0.301% -30,104
2044 -0.305% -30,408
2045 -0.316% -31,381
2046 -0.33% -32,719
2047 -0.335% -33,084
2048 -0.332% -32,655
2049 -0.369% -36,209
2050 -0.364% -35,525
2051 -0.363% -35,386
2052 -0.385% -37,331
2053 -0.397% -38,396
2054 -0.387% -37,224
2055 -0.406% -38,892
2056 -0.389% -37,177
2057 -0.387% -36,797
2058 -0.416% -39,408
2059 -0.396% -37,314
2060 -0.398% -37,397
2061 -0.38% -35,551
2062 -0.39% -36,349
2063 -0.387% -35,978
2064 -0.391% -36,165
2065 -0.362% -33,406
2066 -0.353% -32,399
2067 -0.343% -31,384
2068 -0.351% -31,977
2069 -0.325% -29,540
2070 -0.305% -27,655
2071 -0.291% -26,250
2072 -0.253% -22,812
2073 -0.263% -23,635
2074 -0.25% -22,389
2075 -0.214% -19,143
2076 -0.204% -18,163
2077 -0.164% -14,613
2078 -0.154% -13,653
2079 -0.139% -12,322
2080 -0.121% -10,757
2081 -0.114% -10,134
2082 -0.091% -8,086
2083 -0.07% -6,188
2084 -0.075% -6,649
2085 -0.06% -5,265
2086 -0.053% -4,636
2087 -0.069% -6,123
2088 -0.052% -4,607
2089 -0.052% -4,561
2090 -0.048% -4,269
2091 -0.045% -3,987
2092 -0.058% -5,105
2093 -0.054% -4,745
2094 -0.053% -4,646
2095 -0.086% -7,515
2096 -0.068% -5,988
2097 -0.06% -5,287
2098 -0.045% -3,986
2099 -0.059% -5,131
2100 -0.049% -4,302

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Portugal

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Portugal.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Portugal is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Portugal's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

Data Disclaimer

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