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🇷🇸 Population Growth Rate of Serbia

The current population growth rate of Serbia is -0.897%. A -19.48% increase from 2022, when the population growth rate only was -1.114%. In the future, Serbia's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -1.215%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Serbia by 35.45% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Serbia (1950-2023)

Serbia has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.237% 74,436
1951 0.867% 52,721
1952 1.295% 79,592
1953 1.143% 71,122
1954 1.011% 63,596
1955 0.838% 53,231
1956 0.797% 51,004
1957 0.597% 38,449
1958 0.698% 45,295
1959 0.642% 41,920
1960 0.856% 56,315
1961 1.071% 71,142
1962 0.961% 64,497
1963 0.966% 65,458
1964 0.899% 61,525
1965 0.934% 64,443
1966 0.893% 62,213
1967 0.836% 58,716
1968 0.803% 56,869
1969 0.773% 55,189
1970 0.704% 50,671
1971 0.661% 47,868
1972 0.805% 58,731
1973 0.815% 59,930
1974 0.842% 62,430
1975 0.856% 64,010
1976 0.86% 64,843
1977 0.823% 62,628
1978 0.78% 59,829
1979 0.708% 54,716
1980 0.595% 46,310
1981 0.364% 28,448
1982 0.336% 26,374
1983 0.281% 22,105
1984 0.308% 24,288
1985 0.27% 21,379
1986 0.231% 18,309
1987 0.182% 14,475
1988 0.211% 16,796
1989 0.139% 11,076
1990 0.103% 8,227
1991 -0.683% -54,373
1992 0.157% 12,465
1993 0.184% 14,674
1994 0.139% 11,086
1995 0.175% 13,935
1996 0.101% 8,034
1997 0.002% 123
1998 -0.303% -24,160
1999 -0.344% -27,363
2000 -0.278% -22,082
2001 -0.156% -12,375
2002 -0.186% -14,675
2003 -0.24% -18,936
2004 -0.371% -29,201
2005 -0.456% -35,700
2006 -0.47% -36,605
2007 -0.472% -36,630
2008 -0.442% -34,130
2009 -0.46% -35,389
2010 -0.434% -33,183
2011 -0.426% -32,477
2012 -0.351% -26,661
2013 -0.3% -22,687
2014 -0.301% -22,744
2015 -0.348% -26,184
2016 -0.35% -26,232
2017 -0.41% -30,584
2018 -0.424% -31,540
2019 -0.459% -33,985
2020 -0.708% -52,117
2021 -0.964% -70,355
2022 -1.114% -80,451
2023 -0.897% -64,127

Future Population Growth Rate of Serbia (2023-2100)

Serbia's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of -1.114% all the way down to -1.215% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2023 -0.897% -64,127
2024 -0.563% -39,971
2025 -0.585% -41,315
2026 -0.608% -42,627
2027 -0.634% -44,173
2028 -0.657% -45,524
2029 -0.682% -46,889
2030 -0.7% -47,820
2031 -0.72% -48,868
2032 -0.741% -49,900
2033 -0.758% -50,663
2034 -0.775% -51,428
2035 -0.792% -52,101
2036 -0.809% -52,810
2037 -0.821% -53,199
2038 -0.835% -53,662
2039 -0.847% -53,964
2040 -0.856% -54,078
2041 -0.865% -54,166
2042 -0.871% -54,085
2043 -0.877% -53,974
2044 -0.885% -53,974
2045 -0.891% -53,884
2046 -0.894% -53,586
2047 -0.9% -53,416
2048 -0.907% -53,360
2049 -0.912% -53,193
2050 -0.92% -53,154
2051 -0.925% -52,948
2052 -0.936% -53,086
2053 -0.948% -53,239
2054 -0.961% -53,465
2055 -0.974% -53,682
2056 -0.99% -54,055
2057 -1.011% -54,625
2058 -1.027% -54,929
2059 -1.047% -55,408
2060 -1.067% -55,870
2061 -1.086% -56,295
2062 -1.105% -56,619
2063 -1.124% -56,960
2064 -1.142% -57,229
2065 -1.159% -57,416
2066 -1.174% -57,466
2067 -1.186% -57,400
2068 -1.196% -57,207
2069 -1.208% -57,085
2070 -1.215% -56,718
2071 -1.222% -56,359
2072 -1.228% -55,935
2073 -1.23% -55,365
2074 -1.23% -54,683
2075 -1.227% -53,885
2076 -1.226% -53,164
2077 -1.223% -52,371
2078 -1.219% -51,607
2079 -1.21% -50,594
2080 -1.207% -49,854
2081 -1.199% -48,936
2082 -1.193% -48,107
2083 -1.184% -47,198
2084 -1.177% -46,357
2085 -1.172% -45,624
2086 -1.167% -44,893
2087 -1.16% -44,123
2088 -1.153% -43,345
2089 -1.154% -42,892
2090 -1.153% -42,336
2091 -1.154% -41,889
2092 -1.157% -41,513
2093 -1.159% -41,135
2094 -1.164% -40,823
2095 -1.17% -40,557
2096 -1.176% -40,292
2097 -1.182% -40,031
2098 -1.195% -39,980
2099 -1.203% -39,770
2100 -1.215% -39,698

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Serbia

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Serbia.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Serbia is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Serbia's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

Data Disclaimer

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