๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ด Population Growth Rate of Somalia

The current population growth rate of Somalia is 3.402%. A -4.57% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 3.565%. In the future, Somalia's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.424%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Somalia by -87.54% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Somalia (1950-2024)

Somalia has seen an increase in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.871% 63,527
1951 2.793% 63,573
1952 2.716% 63,564
1953 2.625% 63,079
1954 2.61% 64,405
1955 2.586% 65,477
1956 2.569% 66,751
1957 2.548% 67,918
1958 2.469% 67,489
1959 2.564% 71,881
1960 2.594% 74,600
1961 2.603% 76,846
1962 2.615% 79,229
1963 2.614% 81,310
1964 2.617% 83,559
1965 2.642% 86,597
1966 2.611% 87,867
1967 2.634% 90,996
1968 2.626% 93,111
1969 2.63% 95,739
1970 2.652% 99,127
1971 2.589% 99,358
1972 2.643% 104,131
1973 2.674% 108,182
1974 2.513% 104,318
1975 2.515% 107,069
1976 2.508% 109,484
1977 2.832% 126,991
1978 11.116% 534,695
1979 13.486% 733,753
1980 4.049% 240,321
1981 -2.456% -146,930
1982 3.147% 188,911
1983 3.231% 200,270
1984 4.04% 259,648
1985 4.037% 270,153
1986 4.199% 292,843
1987 2.963% 214,186
1988 -2.765% -200,070
1989 -0.576% -41,016
1990 -0.325% -22,995
1991 -7.563% -515,110
1992 -1.881% -122,196
1993 7.409% 494,780
1994 2.79% 196,015
1995 4.399% 320,406
1996 2.893% 218,527
1997 4.11% 321,576
1998 4.172% 340,208
1999 3.923% 333,077
2000 4.076% 360,230
2001 3.907% 359,330
2002 3.6% 343,810
2003 3.779% 374,378
2004 3.592% 369,304
2005 3.356% 357,156
2006 2.783% 305,391
2007 3.434% 388,769
2008 2.506% 292,236
2009 2.542% 303,998
2010 2.423% 297,113
2011 -0.996% -122,966
2012 2.79% 347,627
2013 3.647% 469,241
2014 3.528% 470,552
2015 3.364% 464,393
2016 4.316% 619,160
2017 3.464% 516,619
2018 3.593% 555,095
2019 3.755% 601,874
2020 3.835% 638,565
2021 3.485% 601,917
2022 2.579% 459,014
2023 3.565% 654,422
2024 3.402% 646,650

Future Population Growth Rate of Somalia (2024-2100)

Somalia's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 3.565% all the way down to 0.424% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 3.402% 646,650
2025 3.28% 644,526
2026 3.24% 657,810
2027 3.094% 648,501
2028 2.949% 637,005
2029 2.943% 654,802
2030 2.967% 679,848
2031 2.839% 669,656
2032 2.755% 668,348
2033 2.639% 657,739
2034 2.68% 685,923
2035 2.726% 716,632
2036 2.636% 711,875
2037 2.64% 732,073
2038 2.52% 717,089
2039 2.425% 707,204
2040 2.507% 749,560
2041 2.382% 729,791
2042 2.228% 698,354
2043 2.238% 717,548
2044 2.219% 727,337
2045 2.185% 732,138
2046 2.171% 743,594
2047 2.152% 753,105
2048 2.076% 742,066
2049 1.972% 719,382
2050 2.0% 744,259
2051 1.977% 750,322
2052 1.912% 740,013
2053 1.914% 755,081
2054 1.968% 791,345
2055 1.926% 789,699
2056 1.825% 762,683
2057 1.76% 748,645
2058 1.678% 726,347
2059 1.836% 808,580
2060 1.791% 803,122
2061 1.613% 735,665
2062 1.562% 723,915
2063 1.552% 730,868
2064 1.56% 745,883
2065 1.527% 741,674
2066 1.424% 701,714
2067 1.386% 692,640
2068 1.321% 668,985
2069 1.331% 683,175
2070 1.343% 698,716
2071 1.295% 682,719
2072 1.24% 661,917
2073 1.233% 666,711
2074 1.213% 663,946
2075 1.06% 586,711
2076 1.071% 598,994
2077 1.114% 629,809
2078 1.074% 614,271
2079 1.061% 612,882
2080 0.97% 566,013
2081 0.853% 502,562
2082 0.949% 564,060
2083 0.913% 547,640
2084 0.901% 545,247
2085 0.923% 563,678
2086 0.861% 530,815
2087 0.754% 468,894
2088 0.72% 450,958
2089 0.686% 432,447
2090 0.759% 481,780
2091 0.724% 463,400
2092 0.666% 428,907
2093 0.635% 412,099
2094 0.611% 398,937
2095 0.58% 380,687
2096 0.58% 382,779
2097 0.503% 334,113
2098 0.498% 332,390
2099 0.504% 337,966
2100 0.424% 285,958

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Somalia

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Somalia.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Somalia is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Somalia's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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