๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ด Population Growth Rate of Somalia

The current population growth rate of Somalia is 3.049%. A -0.65% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 3.069%. In the future, Somalia's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.483%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Somalia by -84.16% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Somalia (1950-2024)

Somalia has seen an increase in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 2.864% 63,369
1951 2.776% 63,196
1952 2.699% 63,135
1953 2.604% 62,562
1954 2.59% 63,846
1955 2.564% 64,870
1956 2.547% 66,092
1957 2.528% 67,293
1958 2.45% 66,861
1959 2.545% 71,199
1960 2.574% 73,884
1961 2.579% 75,977
1962 2.592% 78,353
1963 2.59% 80,332
1964 2.592% 82,507
1965 2.617% 85,501
1966 2.584% 86,642
1967 2.604% 89,626
1968 2.594% 91,616
1969 2.596% 94,093
1970 2.615% 97,312
1971 2.554% 97,512
1972 2.607% 102,151
1973 2.637% 106,080
1974 2.446% 100,894
1975 2.461% 104,039
1976 2.468% 106,940
1977 2.799% 124,512
1978 11.144% 531,884
1979 13.523% 730,336
1980 4.014% 236,485
1981 -2.545% -151,056
1982 3.105% 184,790
1983 3.201% 196,626
1984 4.026% 256,387
1985 4.025% 266,848
1986 4.184% 289,036
1987 2.931% 209,814
1988 -2.862% -204,900
1989 -0.643% -45,266
1990 -0.39% -27,299
1991 -7.511% -505,489
1992 -1.612% -103,631
1993 7.386% 488,806
1994 2.721% 189,393
1995 4.339% 312,810
1996 2.814% 210,230
1997 4.054% 313,496
1998 4.116% 331,602
1999 3.86% 323,632
2000 4.018% 350,340
2001 3.839% 348,224
2002 3.533% 332,487
2003 3.709% 361,869
2004 3.522% 356,279
2005 3.283% 343,596
2006 2.705% 291,766
2007 3.368% 374,472
2008 2.439% 279,083
2009 2.483% 291,252
2010 2.511% 301,973
2011 0.642% 78,403
2012 2.963% 368,575
2013 3.546% 455,742
2014 3.44% 457,758
2015 3.281% 451,585
2016 4.243% 606,296
2017 3.609% 536,452
2018 3.617% 557,293
2019 3.649% 583,121
2020 3.195% 528,309
2021 3.099% 528,822
2022 3.041% 535,038
2023 3.069% 556,697
2024 3.049% 570,389

Future Population Growth Rate of Somalia (2024-2100)

Somalia's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 3.069% all the way down to 0.483% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 3.049% 570,389
2025 3.006% 579,574
2026 2.975% 590,991
2027 2.945% 602,625
2028 2.903% 611,704
2029 2.878% 624,138
2030 2.83% 631,418
2031 2.807% 644,247
2032 2.765% 652,670
2033 2.731% 662,637
2034 2.703% 673,761
2035 2.658% 680,629
2036 2.608% 685,513
2037 2.584% 697,140
2038 2.531% 700,524
2039 2.496% 708,314
2040 2.452% 713,427
2041 2.42% 721,463
2042 2.376% 725,431
2043 2.338% 730,781
2044 2.3% 735,945
2045 2.256% 738,586
2046 2.22% 743,218
2047 2.185% 747,792
2048 2.132% 745,546
2049 2.097% 749,069
2050 2.049% 747,143
2051 2.015% 749,881
2052 1.973% 748,878
2053 1.939% 750,709
2054 1.903% 750,885
2055 1.86% 747,768
2056 1.82% 745,479
2057 1.781% 742,499
2058 1.742% 739,162
2059 1.702% 734,688
2060 1.669% 733,098
2061 1.622% 724,076
2062 1.592% 722,277
2063 1.559% 718,320
2064 1.525% 713,612
2065 1.491% 708,538
2066 1.455% 701,647
2067 1.426% 697,385
2068 1.382% 685,561
2069 1.353% 680,181
2070 1.318% 671,956
2071 1.291% 666,687
2072 1.259% 658,631
2073 1.229% 650,992
2074 1.198% 642,312
2075 1.172% 635,826
2076 1.127% 618,350
2077 1.097% 608,360
2078 1.073% 601,622
2079 1.043% 591,250
2080 1.005% 575,311
2081 0.974% 563,271
2082 0.953% 556,349
2083 0.927% 546,641
2084 0.9% 535,522
2085 0.874% 524,256
2086 0.831% 503,264
2087 0.813% 495,959
2088 0.794% 488,177
2089 0.758% 469,865
2090 0.733% 458,128
2091 0.707% 445,126
2092 0.678% 429,225
2093 0.651% 415,490
2094 0.627% 402,686
2095 0.596% 384,748
2096 0.569% 369,843
2097 0.542% 354,088
2098 0.529% 347,143
2099 0.505% 333,253
2100 0.483% 320,712

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Somalia

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Somalia.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Somalia is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Somalia's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

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