๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฏ Population Growth Rate of Tajikistan

The current population growth rate of Tajikistan is 1.874%. A -4.49% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 1.962%. In the future, Tajikistan's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.025%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Tajikistan by -98.67% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Tajikistan (1950-2024)

Tajikistan has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 4.031% 61,602
1951 3.681% 58,457
1952 3.405% 56,034
1953 3.227% 54,885
1954 3.099% 54,405
1955 3.022% 54,697
1956 2.986% 55,705
1957 3.0% 57,662
1958 3.1% 61,417
1959 3.219% 65,825
1960 3.214% 67,871
1961 3.276% 71,475
1962 3.325% 74,969
1963 3.365% 78,450
1964 3.343% 80,599
1965 3.325% 82,876
1966 3.318% 85,496
1967 3.318% 88,396
1968 3.306% 91,040
1969 3.227% 91,809
1970 3.106% 91,204
1971 3.068% 92,912
1972 3.099% 96,797
1973 3.116% 100,400
1974 3.129% 104,017
1975 3.144% 107,837
1976 3.149% 111,464
1977 3.146% 114,914
1978 3.067% 115,572
1979 2.905% 112,794
1980 2.812% 112,335
1981 2.804% 115,198
1982 2.865% 121,099
1983 2.903% 126,309
1984 2.946% 131,994
1985 3.16% 145,961
1986 3.36% 160,310
1987 3.514% 173,530
1988 3.487% 178,329
1989 2.396% 126,193
1990 2.535% 136,844
1991 2.672% 148,030
1992 1.21% 68,360
1993 1.447% 82,827
1994 2.024% 117,922
1995 2.16% 128,511
1996 1.77% 107,365
1997 0.639% 39,248
1998 0.549% 33,888
1999 0.484% 30,058
2000 1.952% 122,673
2001 1.914% 122,610
2002 1.929% 125,974
2003 1.92% 127,838
2004 2.004% 136,105
2005 1.91% 132,241
2006 1.891% 133,453
2007 1.951% 140,369
2008 2.01% 147,482
2009 2.085% 156,172
2010 2.191% 167,649
2011 2.27% 177,641
2012 2.508% 200,956
2013 2.487% 204,323
2014 2.532% 213,334
2015 2.583% 223,242
2016 2.485% 220,340
2017 2.425% 220,290
2018 2.391% 222,484
2019 2.338% 222,782
2020 2.215% 215,907
2021 2.2% 219,289
2022 2.076% 211,338
2023 1.962% 203,815
2024 1.874% 198,443

Future Population Growth Rate of Tajikistan (2024-2100)

Tajikistan's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 1.962% all the way down to 0.025% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 1.874% 198,443
2025 1.791% 193,169
2026 1.736% 190,561
2027 1.693% 189,021
2028 1.656% 188,043
2029 1.634% 188,686
2030 1.593% 186,878
2031 1.577% 187,932
2032 1.581% 191,424
2033 1.568% 192,844
2034 1.571% 196,365
2035 1.583% 201,025
2036 1.597% 205,993
2037 1.561% 204,505
2038 1.528% 203,291
2039 1.502% 202,964
2040 1.474% 202,194
2041 1.439% 200,304
2042 1.414% 199,578
2043 1.351% 193,358
2044 1.332% 193,169
2045 1.271% 186,817
2046 1.225% 182,236
2047 1.187% 178,726
2048 1.147% 174,731
2049 1.091% 168,140
2050 1.06% 165,079
2051 1.023% 160,995
2052 1.012% 160,943
2053 0.958% 153,830
2054 0.954% 154,667
2055 0.933% 152,598
2056 0.921% 152,154
2057 0.917% 152,803
2058 0.898% 151,124
2059 0.88% 149,424
2060 0.863% 147,810
2061 0.816% 140,844
2062 0.813% 141,422
2063 0.806% 141,398
2064 0.772% 136,581
2065 0.738% 131,487
2066 0.735% 131,857
2067 0.699% 126,308
2068 0.669% 121,711
2069 0.656% 120,129
2070 0.621% 114,477
2071 0.589% 109,371
2072 0.554% 103,390
2073 0.522% 97,894
2074 0.502% 94,674
2075 0.478% 90,638
2076 0.469% 89,248
2077 0.424% 81,048
2078 0.404% 77,508
2079 0.38% 73,196
2080 0.375% 72,520
2081 0.341% 66,293
2082 0.338% 65,942
2083 0.34% 66,561
2084 0.322% 63,119
2085 0.295% 58,069
2086 0.275% 54,198
2087 0.276% 54,687
2088 0.252% 50,084
2089 0.238% 47,272
2090 0.224% 44,653
2091 0.218% 43,651
2092 0.204% 40,837
2093 0.157% 31,508
2094 0.157% 31,620
2095 0.133% 26,731
2096 0.118% 23,803
2097 0.09% 18,093
2098 0.068% 13,783
2099 0.044% 8,894
2100 0.025% 5,107

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Tajikistan

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Tajikistan.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Tajikistan is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Tajikistan's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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