๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ Population Growth Rate of Upper-middle-income countries

The current population growth rate of Upper-middle-income countries is 0.218%. A -1.8% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 0.222%. In the future, Upper-middle-income countries's population growth rate is projected to decrease to -0.726%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Upper-middle-income countries by -433.03% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Upper-middle-income countries (1950-2024)

Upper-middle-income countries has seen a decrease in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.908% 17,174,461
1951 1.909% 17,514,482
1952 2.266% 21,228,166
1953 2.12% 20,309,493
1954 2.242% 21,950,599
1955 2.242% 22,442,447
1956 2.143% 21,929,849
1957 2.357% 24,668,255
1958 2.094% 22,410,080
1959 1.313% 14,292,041
1960 0.931% 10,251,778
1961 1.186% 13,197,219
1962 2.393% 27,099,146
1963 2.851% 33,153,826
1964 2.505% 29,910,856
1965 2.462% 30,144,656
1966 2.36% 29,593,446
1967 2.193% 28,143,100
1968 2.449% 32,156,749
1969 2.343% 31,519,221
1970 2.333% 32,117,132
1971 2.191% 30,854,627
1972 2.097% 30,172,776
1973 2.027% 29,772,003
1974 1.892% 28,336,812
1975 1.715% 26,150,535
1976 1.645% 25,520,546
1977 1.564% 24,645,680
1978 1.547% 24,769,115
1979 1.584% 25,753,073
1980 1.602% 26,464,227
1981 1.618% 27,168,580
1982 1.724% 29,438,592
1983 1.567% 27,202,960
1984 1.602% 28,239,430
1985 1.633% 29,255,975
1986 1.742% 31,755,104
1987 1.776% 32,933,339
1988 1.665% 31,411,895
1989 1.632% 31,305,891
1990 1.629% 31,765,744
1991 1.282% 25,373,528
1992 1.153% 23,095,084
1993 1.128% 22,845,564
1994 1.046% 21,417,197
1995 1.003% 20,750,097
1996 0.949% 19,826,567
1997 0.901% 18,991,686
1998 0.851% 18,103,079
1999 0.82% 17,599,578
2000 0.84% 18,178,949
2001 0.795% 17,329,734
2002 0.773% 16,983,120
2003 0.741% 16,416,940
2004 0.762% 16,992,022
2005 0.746% 16,768,578
2006 0.723% 16,385,101
2007 0.727% 16,585,121
2008 0.792% 18,210,242
2009 0.799% 18,501,649
2010 0.796% 18,602,179
2011 0.77% 18,132,506
2012 0.882% 20,934,766
2013 0.856% 20,503,167
2014 0.862% 20,827,024
2015 0.785% 19,117,960
2016 0.727% 17,844,972
2017 0.721% 17,826,301
2018 0.599% 14,889,426
2019 0.52% 13,013,531
2020 0.363% 9,112,552
2021 0.225% 5,660,429
2022 0.256% 6,454,908
2023 0.222% 5,621,939
2024 0.218% 5,541,884

Future Population Growth Rate of Upper-middle-income countries (2024-2100)

Upper-middle-income countries's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 0.222% all the way down to -0.726% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 0.218% 5,541,884
2025 0.203% 5,153,000
2026 0.19% 4,843,430
2027 0.173% 4,416,123
2028 0.155% 3,969,284
2029 0.138% 3,533,324
2030 0.121% 3,108,179
2031 0.105% 2,685,785
2032 0.089% 2,279,291
2033 0.071% 1,830,945
2034 0.053% 1,353,374
2035 0.037% 941,058
2036 0.021% 530,269
2037 0.007% 170,735
2038 -0.009% -219,903
2039 -0.025% -645,411
2040 -0.042% -1,068,478
2041 -0.058% -1,486,692
2042 -0.075% -1,928,904
2043 -0.096% -2,465,586
2044 -0.115% -2,948,926
2045 -0.139% -3,566,865
2046 -0.163% -4,170,728
2047 -0.189% -4,820,502
2048 -0.217% -5,540,212
2049 -0.247% -6,282,131
2050 -0.277% -7,031,703
2051 -0.309% -7,818,865
2052 -0.338% -8,515,758
2053 -0.367% -9,211,438
2054 -0.395% -9,892,241
2055 -0.424% -10,562,352
2056 -0.451% -11,178,868
2057 -0.474% -11,702,471
2058 -0.493% -12,105,866
2059 -0.513% -12,545,616
2060 -0.528% -12,855,603
2061 -0.54% -13,077,620
2062 -0.552% -13,274,333
2063 -0.559% -13,389,964
2064 -0.567% -13,492,482
2065 -0.574% -13,580,012
2066 -0.579% -13,632,395
2067 -0.583% -13,634,627
2068 -0.589% -13,688,787
2069 -0.592% -13,686,401
2070 -0.596% -13,695,286
2071 -0.6% -13,711,270
2072 -0.606% -13,758,674
2073 -0.614% -13,866,722
2074 -0.621% -13,926,640
2075 -0.63% -14,049,370
2076 -0.64% -14,180,128
2077 -0.65% -14,309,780
2078 -0.66% -14,438,190
2079 -0.67% -14,555,499
2080 -0.681% -14,683,430
2081 -0.689% -14,757,200
2082 -0.696% -14,805,594
2083 -0.701% -14,816,302
2084 -0.707% -14,824,230
2085 -0.71% -14,786,738
2086 -0.711% -14,708,032
2087 -0.713% -14,634,596
2088 -0.712% -14,526,703
2089 -0.711% -14,400,787
2090 -0.71% -14,268,714
2091 -0.709% -14,157,545
2092 -0.708% -14,038,560
2093 -0.71% -13,966,059
2094 -0.71% -13,875,061
2095 -0.712% -13,809,414
2096 -0.713% -13,737,460
2097 -0.716% -13,693,659
2098 -0.719% -13,651,581
2099 -0.721% -13,595,895
2100 -0.726% -13,597,229

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Upper-middle-income countries

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Upper-middle-income countries.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Upper-middle-income countries is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Upper-middle-income countries's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2022.

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2022

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