๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡บ Population Growth Rate of Vanuatu

The current population growth rate of Vanuatu is 2.253%. A -1.83% decrease from 2023, when the population growth rate was 2.295%. In the future, Vanuatu's population growth rate is projected to decrease to 0.504%, by the year 2100. A total decrease of the population growth rate of Vanuatu by -77.63% from today's standard.

Historic Population Growth Rate of Vanuatu (1950-2024)

Vanuatu has seen an increase in population growth rate since the 1950's.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
1950 1.62% 835
1951 1.532% 802
1952 1.879% 1,000
1953 1.98% 1,075
1954 2.111% 1,170
1955 2.209% 1,251
1956 2.303% 1,334
1957 2.641% 1,568
1958 2.694% 1,643
1959 2.765% 1,733
1960 2.778% 1,790
1961 2.833% 1,877
1962 2.847% 1,941
1963 2.892% 2,029
1964 2.898% 2,093
1965 2.936% 2,183
1966 2.978% 2,281
1967 3.017% 2,381
1968 2.959% 2,406
1969 2.958% 2,477
1970 2.95% 2,545
1971 2.977% 2,645
1972 3.01% 2,756
1973 3.013% 2,843
1974 3.036% 2,953
1975 3.057% 3,065
1976 3.071% 3,175
1977 3.08% 3,284
1978 3.098% 3,406
1979 2.432% 2,749
1980 2.154% 2,491
1981 2.271% 2,685
1982 2.387% 2,889
1983 2.449% 3,036
1984 2.506% 3,185
1985 2.539% 3,309
1986 2.557% 3,419
1987 2.563% 3,516
1988 2.573% 3,621
1989 2.531% 3,654
1990 2.489% 3,685
1991 2.488% 3,777
1992 2.476% 3,853
1993 2.418% 3,856
1994 2.354% 3,845
1995 2.275% 3,803
1996 2.191% 3,745
1997 2.11% 3,684
1998 2.069% 3,690
1999 2.076% 3,780
2000 2.516% 4,686
2001 2.52% 4,814
2002 2.476% 4,850
2003 2.449% 4,916
2004 2.438% 5,014
2005 2.412% 5,084
2006 2.428% 5,243
2007 2.469% 5,462
2008 2.547% 5,778
2009 2.531% 5,891
2010 2.159% 5,143
2011 2.181% 5,309
2012 2.214% 5,511
2013 2.234% 5,686
2014 2.24% 5,829
2015 2.215% 5,894
2016 2.234% 6,077
2017 2.429% 6,764
2018 2.363% 6,739
2019 2.299% 6,713
2020 2.354% 7,035
2021 2.284% 6,985
2022 2.355% 7,371
2023 2.295% 7,353
2024 2.253% 7,385

Future Population Growth Rate of Vanuatu (2024-2100)

Vanuatu's population growth rate is projected to decrease in the future. According to the United Nation, it will drop from today's growth rate of 2.295% all the way down to 0.504% by the year 2100. The yearly downward trend is clearly visible from the charts and data below.

Year Population Growth Rate Overall Population +/-
2024 2.253% 7,385
2025 2.207% 7,398
2026 2.158% 7,392
2027 2.119% 7,415
2028 2.087% 7,457
2029 2.058% 7,510
2030 2.033% 7,573
2031 2.004% 7,616
2032 1.974% 7,654
2033 1.967% 7,778
2034 1.946% 7,846
2035 1.924% 7,908
2036 1.907% 7,990
2037 1.89% 8,070
2038 1.873% 8,151
2039 1.844% 8,175
2040 1.82% 8,219
2041 1.791% 8,236
2042 1.774% 8,304
2043 1.742% 8,298
2044 1.726% 8,365
2045 1.69% 8,329
2046 1.664% 8,344
2047 1.621% 8,260
2048 1.597% 8,271
2049 1.565% 8,235
2050 1.543% 8,248
2051 1.502% 8,150
2052 1.476% 8,131
2053 1.455% 8,130
2054 1.425% 8,080
2055 1.402% 8,058
2056 1.366% 7,966
2057 1.348% 7,964
2058 1.326% 7,941
2059 1.302% 7,903
2060 1.276% 7,845
2061 1.25% 7,782
2062 1.244% 7,843
2063 1.229% 7,845
2064 1.213% 7,834
2065 1.188% 7,770
2066 1.17% 7,738
2067 1.145% 7,665
2068 1.122% 7,593
2069 1.1% 7,532
2070 1.083% 7,496
2071 1.068% 7,470
2072 1.047% 7,404
2073 1.024% 7,312
2074 0.995% 7,179
2075 0.974% 7,098
2076 0.954% 7,016
2077 0.926% 6,880
2078 0.917% 6,877
2079 0.891% 6,740
2080 0.866% 6,606
2081 0.848% 6,528
2082 0.828% 6,428
2083 0.815% 6,375
2084 0.801% 6,316
2085 0.78% 6,203
2086 0.751% 6,014
2087 0.738% 5,959
2088 0.72% 5,853
2089 0.697% 5,708
2090 0.684% 5,637
2091 0.665% 5,522
2092 0.653% 5,454
2093 0.643% 5,409
2094 0.623% 5,274
2095 0.602% 5,128
2096 0.574% 4,917
2097 0.565% 4,870
2098 0.545% 4,720
2099 0.528% 4,595
2100 0.504% 4,415

Why is the chart for future population growth rate mostly flat?

Predicting and projecting future population growth rate is extremely hard. Especially, the further you move into the future. Thus, the scientist and data collectors of the United Nations tend to add a flat number when reasonable projections can't be made.

Understanding Population Growth Rate: How Births, Deaths, and Migration Impact Population Size of Vanuatu

Population growth rate is defined as the annual average rate of change of population size, for a given country, territory, or geographic area, during a specified period. It is considered an international standard for measuring population change. The United Nations uses population growth rate as one of the key indicators for measuring population trends, and for forecasting future population size. Part of that data is used on this page to visualize and explore historic and future population growth rate over time.

What is Population Growth Rate?

Population growth rate is a measure of how quickly a population is increasing or decreasing in size over time. It is expressed as a percentage of change over a time period. Most commonly, its typically messured on a yearly basis, allowing you to evaluate percentage on year over year basis. However, population growth rate can be applied and calculated on any timeframe.

  • Population growth rate is used to indicate population increase or decrease in size over time.
  • It is measured as a percentage of change, from previous to current population size.
  • It is often expressed as a yearly rate, but can be applied to any timeframe.
  • A positive population growth rate indicates that a population is increasing.
  • A negative population growth rate indicates that a population is decreasing.
  • Birth rate, death rate, and migration affect the population growth rate.
  • A high birth rate and low death rate will result in a high population growth rate.
  • A low birth rate and high death rate will result in a low population growth rate.
  • Net migration also affect the population growth rate of Vanuatu.
  • Population growth rate is an important metric for demographic, environmental and economic forecasting.

How is Population Growth Rate calculated?

The population growth rate indicates the increase or decrease of a population in percent (%). The formula to calculate population growth rate can be used on any timeframe. In this case it indicates the population growth reate year over year, where a negative population growth rate is presented with red coloring and positive with green. The population growth rate of Vanuatu is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.

Population Growth Rate Formula

Population Growth Rate = New Population - Original Population / Original Population * 100

What Causes Population Growth Rate to Increase or Decrease?

Just like any other country or region, Vanuatu's population growth rate is influenced by a variety of factors that causes it to increase or decrease.

Birth Rate

The number of births per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time affects population growth. Higher birth rates contribute to population growth, while lower birth rates slow down growth.

Death Rate

The number of deaths per 1,000 individuals in a population over a specific period of time also influences population growth. Higher death rates can reduce population growth, while lower death rates contribute to growth.

Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children born to women of childbearing age is known as the total fertility rate. Higher fertility rates can lead to population growth, while lower fertility rates can result in slower growth or even population decline.

Life Expectancy

The average number of years a person is expected to live affects population growth. Higher life expectancy can result in population growth, as people live longer and contribute to the population for a greater duration.

Immigration and Emigration

Migration patterns, including immigration (inflow of individuals from other countries) and emigration (outflow of individuals to other countries), can significantly impact population growth rates. Higher immigration rates can contribute to population growth, while high emigration rates can slow down growth.

Government Policies

Government policies related to family planning, healthcare, immigration, and social welfare can also influence population growth rates. For example, policies promoting contraception and family planning can lead to lower birth rates and slower growth.

Socioeconomic Factors

Factors such as economic development, education, and urbanization can affect population growth rates. Higher levels of education and economic opportunities often correlate with lower birth rates and slower population growth.

Data Information

Data found on this page is based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations Revision of World Population Prospects 2024.

Data Published: 2024-07-11

Data Sources

The United Nations - Department of Economic and Social Affairs (Population Division)

UN Revision of World Population Prospects 2024

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